Illinois Congressional Races

Not So Much

OneMan clearly doesn’t understand the depths of my cynicism:

If Jim was the one backing out of forums I know Archpundit and Hiram wouldn’t let it go without a comment (and rightfully so).

It’s true I’m sure I have taunted a candidate or two on this, but I largely see debates about debates to be kind of pointless, especially with this short of a timeline.  If you have several months before an election such events can be kind of useful, but this close out, they don’t do much when you could be doing more effective voter contact.   So if I’m ranting about a debate about debates, you know I’m being disingenuous.

Foster doesn’t do well in such events from what I can tell because he is bad at making quick points–not unlike Obama was at one time.

Bring Out the Self-Funders

Rich runs down a bunch of the potentials to replace Tim Balderman as the Republican nominee for Congress in Illinois-11.  God cannot love me enough to let Chris Lauzen run so I’ll discount that possibility right now.

The name that has floated around the most without being shot down is a potential self-funder in Martin Ozinga, one of the brothers running a concrete pouring company.  The business has some issues.  From the Chicago Tribune January 27, 2005

The trucks have brought their owners, Ozinga Bros. Inc. , tens of millions of dollars in city contracts and launched members of the family-owned firm to noted positions in local political and charitable circles.

But behind the scenes, documents and interviews show, the Ozinga firm repeatedly dodged city rules and exploited an affirmative-action program to win lucrative contracts.

Now Ozinga trucks pour concrete for the city under an unusual deal: The city has exempted the company from virtually all minority set-aside requirements.

As City Hall wrestles with scandals in its programs to lift minority- and women-owned businesses, the Ozingas provide a case study in how a white-owned company can work the system–and win.

The company’s actions include creating a spinoff concrete firm in the 1980s to win city business reserved exclusively for minority-owned companies. Martin, Richard and James Ozinga–all white men–enlisted the help of two African-American churches in Chicago’s depressed South Side, giving nine church members 51 percent ownership to technically meet the city’s rules.

But two of the African-American church members now say the spinoff company was bogus and that minorities had little control of the business. “It was a classic front,” church member Henry Washington says.

It’s messier than that and I’ll have more later, but this looks like a fine choice for the Illinois GOP.

How Dumb is Oberweis

In the debate against Foster he insists universal health care is equivalent to single-payer health care.

You’d think the guy with a German name might have some passing familiarity with Germany that has private health insurance within a universal system–just as Obama, Edwards and Clinton have all proposed.

If the press wants to do their job, this is an obvious either distortion by Oberweis or just complete ignorance.

But that’s not all, Oberweis wants to end employer provided health insurance:

Making Health Care More Affordable and Accessible
America has the best health care in the world; why else would the world’s most powerful people regularly come here for life-saving, cutting-edge treatment? The problem is, the health care delivery system we’ve created for ourselves — a “third party payer” system, in which most Americans get their health insurance through their employer — creates perverse incentives, and, because the consumer of the health services is divorced from paying for those services, offers no incentives to manage health care costs better.Read more…

It’s, of course, not divorced. There are these things called co-pays, deductibles, and most have 80% coverage, not 100%. Perhaps Oberweis should get a clue. More problematic is that the most useful thing about insurance most of us have is that it covers appointments and regular check-ups which is the key way to reduce health care costs is to help people live healthier and take preventative care measures instead of relying on treatment after a problem festers. The Oberweis plan does exactly the opposite by discouraging early care and not paying for preventative measures.

It’s not that Oberweis is just wrong, it’s that he’s completely ignorant of the entire sector of the economy.

Van Hollen in town for Seals

Daily Herald

Buoyed by a rout of his primary challenger, Seals can expect some big-time help in his second try to unseat incumbent U.S. Rep. Mark Kirk, who is seeking a fifth term.

“They called me,” an energized Seals explained Thursday after an event with Chris Van Hollen, a Maryland congressman, who chairs the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

“That’s the reason I’m here — to make it clear we fully support Dan,” Van Hollen said after the event.

With veterans sharing the stage at the United Auto Workers hall in Lincolnshire, Seals and Van Hollen stumped for a change in course in Iraq.

But it was the national chairman’s presence that showed Democrats are intent on unseating Kirk.

“This is one (congressional race) where we’re involved very early on,” Van Hollen said. “It’s not one of those ‘we’re wondering if it will emerge.’ It has emerged as a priority race in the country.”

Let me explain to some of the short bus members of the conservative blogosphere.  This is going to be a targeted race. If you think not, you are a delusional fool.  The DCCC has over 6 times the cash on hand and no major accounting scandals not to mention only one competitive open seat defense compared to at least 10 for Democrats. Mark Kirk has a big ole bulleyes on his back and Seals’ performance last time with no help has the DCCC especially excited in an Presidential election year in a Democratic majority district, with GOP numbers tanking on both the war and the economy.

You keep believing Kirk isn’t a targeted race.

Obviously, It’s Good News for Rudy Giuliani

Somehow the Politico comes up with this:

In Illinois, however, Baldermann’s withdrawal from the race could possibly play to the GOP’s advantage. Since the primary has already taken place, the county GOP committees in the district appear like they will be able to appoint a replacement to take Baldermann’s spot on the November general election ballot.

It is true that Illinois’ early primary means the Republicans have plenty of time to recruit someone.  At the same time, losing your nominee who had the best name recognition and a solid base of support is not good for anyone.

IL-GOP: The Gang That Cannot Shoot Straight

It’s not just that they attack each other over everything, they just have candidates who seem to be oblivious:

New Lenox Mayor Tim Baldermann, whose campaign was dogged by fundraising woes, didn’t gain much momentum in his campaign to succeed Weller in the GOP-leaning exurban Chicago district.

Leading Republicans in House leadership gave money to Baldermann’s campaign, but he never was able to garner much financial support from individual contributors.

Baldermann told his local newspaper last month that he had “done very little fundraising,” raising concerns among the party establishment.

“I have done very little fundraising. It makes me sick to my stomach. My campaign people gave me a list of people who gave money to [Weller]. I told them, ‘If you think I’m going to call somebody who’s never heard of me and ask for $2,300, that’s insane.’ I fight with them every single day over it,” Baldermann told the Southtown Star newspaper in January.

‘If you think I’m going to call somebody who’s never heard of me and ask for $2,300, that’s insane’

I think it’s insane to run for Congress and not think you are going to do that.  Apparently the turnip truck dumped him at Jerry Weller’s door?

You could see this coming:

* This is not good news for Republicans hoping to hold onto retiring Congressman Jerry Weller’s seat…

“I have done very little fundraising,” [GOP candidate Tim Baldermann] said. “It makes me sick to my stomach. My campaign people gave me a list of people who gave money to (Weller). I told them, ‘If you think I’m going to call somebody who’s never heard of me and ask for $2,300, that’s insane.’ I fight with them every single day over it.

“They wanted my Christmas card list. I’m not doing that stuff. I refuse to do it. The Republican Party wanted me to run; the Republican Party should help fund my campaign.”

So, he’s only gonna raise money from people he knows, except he won’t even do that? Yeah, that’ll work out well.

Campaigning is not a pretty business, but there are things that just have to be done unless you’re wealthy. Cold calls, putting the arm on friends and family are all necessary if you want to compete in a game where contributions are capped and the competition is stiff.

Debbie Halvorson and the Democrats must’ve smiled broadly when they read that passage. [See update below.]

=======

*** UPDATE *** A representative from Tim Baldermann’s campaign just called. I was assured that while Baldermann doesn’t love fundraising he is diligently making calls and doing what it takes.

Just thought I’d let you know.

No one enjoys fundraising, but most people kind of understand it goes with the process.

To add to the fun, The Hill has this:

One source said Baldermann was disappointed with the amount of fundraising support he was getting from the party.

The Party?  You mean the Party that has a broke House Campaign Committee?

Currently the net Cash on Hand minus Debts for the NRCC is around $4 million and the DCCC has about $30 million.  Let’s make this clear to the GOP candidates for the House–you are on your own.  Just suck it up and deal.  On top of this the number of Republican retirements is huge leaving a ton of Districts with open seats such as Illinois 11.

Out of Context McCain

The straight shooter, not so straight:

Q. Put in context your comment about spending 100 years in Iraq.

McCain: “As we know all’s fair in politics. The fact is that everybody in the media who follows me and spends a lot of time with me I was talking about after the war is over. Just as after the war was over in Korea, there was a cease fire, we had American presence there. After the first Gulf War, we still have a presence in Kuwait. It’s very clear what I was talking about, after we succeed in this conflict and we are succeeding unless the Democrats are able to pull the plug out and cause a date for withdrawal, then we will succeed in this confilict and we will enter into negotiation and discussion as far as the military and other relationships between our two countries. I think that’s pretty clea

Yes, he wants permanent bases in Iraq:

After the event ended, I asked McCain about his “hundred years” comment, and he reaffirmed the remark, excitedly declaring that U.S. troops could be in Iraq for “a thousand years” or “a million years,” as far as he was concerned. The key matter, he explained, was whether they were being killed or not: “It’s not American presence; it’s American casualties.” U.S. troops, he continued, are stationed in South Korea, Japan, Europe, Bosnia, and elsewhere as part of a “generally accepted policy of America’s multilateralism.” There’s nothing wrong with Iraq being part of that policy, providing the government in Baghdad does not object.

In other words, McCain does not equate victory in Iraq–which he passionately urges at campaign events–with the removal of U.S. troops from that nation. After McCain told Tiffany that he could see troops remaining in Iraq for a hundred years, a reporter sitting next to me quipped, “There’s the general election campaign ad.” He meant the Democratic ad: John McCain thinks it would be okay if U.S. troops stayed in Iraq for another hundred years…..

60% of the public wants out of Iraq in one year.  They don’t have a fantasy of Iraq becoming some a stable liberal democracy.  He doesn’t want a gradual draw down of troops that isn’t happening as Oberweis is claiming.  He wants to stay there and stay there adn stay there.

And why would he want American troops permanently stationed in Iraq?  To start another war in the Persian Gulf:

McCain: I would at minimum consult with the leaders of Congress because there may come a time where you need the approval of Congress and I believe that this is a possibility that is maybe closer to reality than we are discussing tonight.

It’s not some conspiracy theory, it’s what McCain says he’ll do in the middle of a debate. Why does anyone doubt him?  And is Oberweis ready to back another war in the Persian Gulf also?

Another Fine Moment in Bill Pascoe’s Political Career

You get a big name relatively popular with independents Presidential Candidate to come in for a fundraiser and a story breaks about some odd relationship with a lobbyist who has a strikingly similar look to his wife. 

Pascoe has one of the oddest records in politics–mostly losing and losing bizarrely.   

For more fun, think of the puns

Iseman and Maverick

The Iseman Cometh

True story, the most recent McCain mailer was called The Hard Part

Cue up the “the New York Times held it to hurt Republicans” whine any moment…

Bill Foster’s Blue Plate Special

Hiram says it as well as I can:

Today John “I’ve Embraced Bush” McCain will appear in Illinois’ 14th District at a $1,000 a plate fundraiser for GOP Congressional Candidate Jim “Bush has it Right” Oberweis. Jim Oberweis likes to talk about ‘common people’ – but it’s hard to imagine too many of his Oberweis ice cream store workers can fork over $1,000 for a plate of food. Maybe that’s part of the problem. Jim touts his businessman credentials – but his ice cream workers earn minimal wages, and other workers earn less than minimum wage in his stores. Most Oberweis jobs, even the legal ones, just don’t pay very much. Certainly not enough for a $1,000 meal.

Democrat Bill Foster is also a businessman. He co-founded and then ran a lighting manufacturing company that pays good wages and benefits right here in the Midwest – you can see some of the skilled jobs it offers, along with student internships, here. Right now Bill Foster is also holding a fundraiser – a virtual one that he’s calling a “Blue Plate Special” – asking you to donate $5 or more to help him raise funds for his campaign. As poorly paid as some of Jim Oberweis’ employees are, I’d guess some of them still might be able to scrounge up $5 for a better future.

Please donate $5 or more to Bill for a “Blue Plate Special.” Bill isn’t offering the same fare that Jim Oberweis gives his $1,000 contributors, but you’ll feel a lot better about it. Supporting Bill is a positive investment in our future.

Get a “Blue Plate Special” now. You’ll be happy you did.