Archive for November, 2004
Posted in November 8th, 2004
Cegelis. This is one that shouldn’t be entirely surprising given the Gore-Bush results in 2000: 44 Gore 53 Bush Other 3 If Cegelis wants another run, she should signal it soon, because this should be a DCCC targeted race. Keeping a longtime incumbent to 55, with changing demographics is a potential target. If Hyde steps […]
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Posted in November 8th, 2004
No. Will she have a tough reelection race? Absolutely. Will she lose? Maybe. Comparisons to Mike Flanagan who held the 5th CD seat between Rosty and the Blagorgeous are rather poor though. To start with Flanagan wasn’t even running a serious campaign before the last coupe weeks when some polling turned up an opportunity. Bean […]
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Posted in November 8th, 2004
Kevin McCullough just can’t get why those black people aren’t more like whites. Rich points out the end: In the election that redefined the debate over morality and biblical virtues in our time – by and large – the African American church could no longer count itself among the community of values. McCullough is a […]
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Posted in November 8th, 2004
I love the Leader Loopers. When I’m not feeling anything particularly interesting to post, they come through for me.
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Posted in November 5th, 2004
Sunday morning! We now have two of the highest profile members of the Democratic Party nationally. Democratic bloggers from Illinois need to build that relationship to help get that message out.
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Posted in November 5th, 2004
One important thing to keep in mind is that while the conservative evangelicals (evangelical=/conservative as 25% voted for Kerry) aren’t the Republican Party, if about 25% of voters thought moral issues were number one priority and 25% were largely overlapped with white protestant evangelicals with some conservative Catholics thrown on top, what’s going to happen […]
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Posted in November 5th, 2004
Posted in November 5th, 2004
Zorn has the right take on the exit polls, but let me offer just a bit more. The polls are pretty close to right once they were weighted for turnout which happens after the polls close. It’s not a huge deal, really. It does renew my interest in doing a series on polling though and […]
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Posted in November 5th, 2004
Senator Richard Durbin, D-IL, news conference today 3:45 pm (Eastern time) in Chicago, IL to announce he has locked up the votes for democratic whip. ===== Good news. I like Dorgan as a guy, but I think we can see the danger of having a red state Senator in a high visibility leadership position. Durbin’s […]
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Posted in November 4th, 2004
Tribs story on the Keyes debacle and recriminations ends with this: Privately, some Republicans were blaming Keyes’ presence near the top of the ballot for Crane’s defeat. But state Sen. Dave Syverson of Rockford, a state Central Committee member instrumental in bringing Keyes to Illinois, said he doesn’t think Keyes hurt the party. McKenna appears […]
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Posted in November 4th, 2004
Did Jimmy Carter have one in 1976 with a 2 percent win? Because 3% is a win, but not a mandate.
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Posted in November 4th, 2004
If you sent me a message and didn’t get a reply, send it again. I lost most of it with some problems while travelling.
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Posted in November 4th, 2004
Watch the Keyes Explosion in all of his glory. Now that the race is over, all Keyes goes to the ICFST category–Illinois Circular Firing Squad Team. Let me get this straight–the man who lost by historic margins is going to save the Republican Party?
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Posted in November 4th, 2004
2004 Kerry2,826,757 Bush 2,313,415 Total 5,140,172 2000 Gore 2,589,026 Bush 2,019,421 Total 4,608,447 Fascinating numbers. Rove wanted a majority and he got it by pumping up numbers in all states, not just battlegrounds.
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Posted in November 4th, 2004
In 2000 Bush 50456169 Gore 50996116 Nader 2831066 Total 104283351 2004 to date: Bush 59117523 Kerry 55557584 Total 114675107 What is interesting is that Democrats picked up Nader’s voters and improved the number of voters. Bush increased his turnout remarkably. This wasn’t a swing voter election, it was a turnout election and evangelicals turned out.
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