September 2004

Asked And Answered

Alan seems to think that clarifying his immigration positions is beneath him and repeatedly says to 848’s ….. that he asked and answered the question. Besides being utterly stupid from the point of view of someone who might actually be trying to win votes, it is absolutely hysterical.

Start at about 3:30 if you want to skip the preliminaries. The contentious part starts around 5:10.

It’s all great if you think you are the clearest spoken person in the world–not so great if you actually want to reach the public. When you are too, ahem, ‘smart’ to even clarify for NPR audiences, you have pretty much found a way to avoid connecting with a signifcant chunk of the electorate.

More fun as he tangles with Mora on Channel 2–largely consisting of Keyes being presented with evidence that he isn’t connecting well and then Keyes simply stating the world is different.

More Numbers

Blagojevich is ridind decently, but not as high as previously with an 8 % Excellent rating and 45% Good rating for overall approval of 53%. 36% Fair, 6% Poor and 7% don’t know. Over all pretty good, though not as strong as he once was.

Finally, in probably the most surprising bit:
Would you favor or oppose placing limits on the amount of money a person can be awarded in medical malpractice lawsuits for pain and suffering in Illinois?
FAVOR 36%
OPPOSE 55%
NOT SURE 9%

I’m wondering if the issue is framed the way most people think about it and if the wording might have confused people, or it could be that people don’t see pain and suffering damages as the cause of the problem.

Polling Fun

In comments a bunch of folks are asking questions about what is going on with polling this year. The best place to check out the polling issues is Donkey Rising which offers some good coverage of this cycles polling.

And Greg Blankenship suggests one should be skeptical of polling which is true–especially of any single poll. I have two big days coming up this week, but I hope to do a series on polling and how to intelligently consume them without getting too up or too down. I think the one safe result we have regardless is that Alan Keyes couldn’t be sinking any faster than if you tied him to a boulder and threw him in Lake Michigan–something I’m pretty sure a few folks have considered.

That said, Leader Loopers come to his defense: (passed along from Tim Sasse in mail)

I believe that the recently published “polls” that were referenced in the title of this thread are skewed, biased deceptions perpetrated on us to tamp down the sizable and enthusiastic Amb. Keyes vote.

I have to tell you that down here in Southern Illinois, the Amb. Keyes is catching fire and building a huge bulwark of support the likes of which I have never seen before in this state.

I believe that Dr. Keyes? support is growing with each passing week and I have heard rumors of internal polls showing the Amb. Keyes pulling within the margin of error of the opponent. These true and accurate polls that I have heard show the Amb. Keyes overtaking the opponent sometime in the next couple of weeks and riding this glorious momentum to power in Nov.

Renewal with Keyes in 04 and Beyond.

That’s delusional.

In more fun

Here is the silver lining: I believe that this move
indicates some very favorable internal polling that I
have been hearing about for the Amb. Keyes. I have
heard from several sources that internal polls show
the Amb. Keyes as pulling within the margin of error
and gaining momentum fast. Therefore the campaign
probably recognized that the kind of outreach that
Fran was brought on to organize was largely already
achieved and thus unnecessary at this time.

Amb. Keyes is coming on strong people and it is only a
matter of time before he overtakes his opponent.
Don?t pay attention to those skewed ludicrous and
liberal polls, Keyes is building a huge bulwark of
support and is going to be virtually unstoppable by
Nov.

Anticipation Builds for Keyes

As the press tries to figure out how to bait him next (a good thing given the race is a farce), but the Leader has a different idea:

Much has been written about Alan Keyes. We owe it to ourselves, as inheritors of that noble title, ?American citizen? to see for ourselves whether this man is what others say he is. Let Alan Keyes and his issues speak for themselves. Join us for breakfast or for a run, but only if you are ready to be challenged, informed and encouraged by a man of principle.

Drum on the Memos

Kevin Drum tracked down a lot of the early leads on Bush’s guard service and given the just released apology from CBS/Rather, he has this interesting statement:

I really want to hear this story. I talked with Burkett at length back in February, and speaking as someone who believes his story about Bush’s files being purged, I still wouldn’t trust him for a second if he suddenly produced a bunch of never-before-seen memos out of nowhere. If he really is CBS’s “unimpeachable source,” they’ve got some very serious problems with their news judgment.

So congrats to CBS for infuriating everyone.