April 2008

Steve Chapman on the Presidential Race

Yep

It came as a revelation to hear that Obama, who I thought was plotting to become president, has been shrewedly maneuvering to lead the pom squad at McCain’s inauguration. But there was something else that struck me as strange about Clinton’s reaction: Obama was not the first of the two Democrats to say something nice about the Arizona senator. He was the second.

A few weeks ago, campaigning in Texas, Clinton sounded downright glowing about McCain. Referring to those 3 a.m. phone calls at the White House, she said, “I think you’ll be able to imagine many things Sen. McCain will be able to say. He’s never been the president, but he will put forth his lifetime of experience. I will put forth my lifetime of experience. Sen. Obama will put forth a speech he made in 2002.”

Let’s review. Clinton criticized Obama for ranking McCain No. 3 in a four-person assessment, ahead of Bush. But Clinton herself put McCain No. 2—or maybe even in a tie for No. 1—in her evaluation of the three candidates.

She thinks McCain is better than Obama and McCain is no better than Bush. Which can mean only one thing: Bush is better than Obama!

Of course that’s probably not what she actually believes.

But it’s a tribute to her talent for bold deceit and bizarre logic that she can attack Obama for doing something that she herself had done so recently, and more fervently.

What the Ata Plea Tells Us

Rereading the Ata plea tells us a whole lot about how business was done in the Blagojevich administration. Strictly speaking there isn’t a smoking gun for the Governor, though there is a lot of circumstantial evidence and the meeting at Rezmar Offices reads like a bad movie plot.

It does shed light on Rezko’s use of the administration as his personal playtoy. He attempted to manipulate Ata into providing IFA funds to his pizza business.

Later that year, Rezko approached the defendant for additional monetary support.
Defendant Ata agreed to contribute $25,000 in additional monies to the campaign of Public Official A.  The defendant, subsequently and by prior arrangement with Rezko, brought a check in this amount to Rezko’s Rezmar offices on Elston Avenue in Chicago.  After he arrived at the Rezmar offices, the defendant was greeted by Rezko to whom he handed the check in an envelope.  Rezko, carrying the check, ushered the defendant into a conference room where he met with Rezko and Public Official A.  Rezko placed the envelope containing the defendant’s $25,000 check to Public Official A’s campaign on the conference room table between himself and Public Official A and stated to Public Official A that the defendant had been a good supporter and a team player and that the defendant would be willing to join Public Official A’s administration.  Public Official A expressed his pleasure and acknowledged that the defendant had been a good supporter and good friend.  Public Official A, in the defendant’s presence, asked Rezko if he (Rezko) had talked to the defendant about positions in the administration, and Rezko responded that he had.

Reading further, it’s clear that whether the Governor knew what was going on or not, Rezko had set himself up to control particular appointments and use that leverage for personal gain.  Not only that, but Rezko weaseled his way into Ata’s LLC by promising the continuation of a state lease.

What some have brought up is that this is simply the Governor accepting a contribution from an ally and then giving an ally a job.  The concern being that Fitzgerald is criminalizing politics, but I think the above goes a lot further.  It’s clear that Ata is claiming he bribed and was coerced by Rezko for official state favors and a job.  Assuming that’s true, the only question remaining if one assumes Ata is telling the truth, is whether Blagojevich knew or was involved in the process.

That such a question is a legitimate question means impeachment hearings are the responsible action.  Molaro tried to say that it was the Fed’s job to investigate potential wrongdoing, but that is what I found to be the most obnoxious claim.   It’s the Fed’s job to search for criminal wrongdoing, it’s the Legislature’s job to determine if the State Government is being used in a scheme for personal gain and as candidate’s machine.

More to the point, even if Blagojevich wasn’t directly involved criminally, that does  not mean impeachment is an unreasonable solution to what has happened under him.  Turning over agencies to a political ally who then used it to benefit himself and sold state positions, fits in that category of incompetence that cannot be left in place.

The defense of Blagojevich comes down to gross incompetence over corruption.  Not the position any public official wants to be in.

Rich’s Source on Boehner Comments over at CapFax

Fascinating:

I was Rich’s source at the Boehner event. Boehner stated there was no way to win the district with Oberweis, and that he wanted him out: “unlikable, a terrible candidate.” This was said in the presence of at least 30 Illinois fundraisers. He even stated to a questioner at the event that “we can quote him”, and that he would help get Oberweis out of the race. I believe there is no way Oberweis can win, and if he does not get out, the GOP will lose the seat for a decade. Anyone who gives him 2 cents is just wasting cash. Mr. Oberweis, you can stop calling us. We are not going to provide any further assistance.

Correction

The earlier post about the Ozinga campaign, was not the Ozinga campaign, but the Ozinga business.  Same basic point remains, but I wanted to be accurate.  If you are an interested party in something I post, either identifying yourself publicly in response or e-mailing me privately is your best bet. As long as you say it’s off the record, I’m always happy to listen to complaints and keep it quiet if you so wish.  In some cases I may even allow anonymous comments after I know the situation.

The Attack of the Hacks

Download Title (Kudos to WTTW going to embeddable video!)

Via Rich

Molaro actually argues the Lege’s job is to not investigate allegations of corruption in a WTTW panel with Ronen and Fritchey. Same stupid argument used to avoid any oversight of the Bush administration by Republicans. Congrats to Molaro and Ronen for matching the most hypocritical and corrupt administration in national politics by defending the most corrupt and hypocritical administration at the state level.

It’s not news that Lege Members say stupid things, however, it’s news that they go on TV and back a guy somewhere between 13-20 points approval who was just named as selling jobs for campaign donations.

Bonus chutzpah in attacking Franks’ ethics while he isn’t there and did nothing comparable and then calling on Fritchey for being hypocritical because he didn’t back some bill by Ronen in the past.

There should be some shame amongst Democrats to not do their best impersonations of John Boehner and Mitch McConnell.

The Cost of Waiting

Obama cannot role out a 50 State Strategy for the General Election. That said, this is a good first step:

CHICAGO, IL—Senator Barack Obama’s campaign today announced the kickoff of Vote for Change, an unprecedented 50-state voter registration and mobilization drive. The campaign will work with grassroots volunteers and partner with local organizations to register new voters and boost engagement in our Democratic process. The program will launch on May 10 with dozens of events around the country.  

“If we’re going to push back on the special interests and finally solve the challenges we face, we’re going to need everyone to get involved,” said Senator Obama. “Over the next six months, Vote for Change is going to bring new participants into the process, adding scores of new voices to this critical dialogue about our future. I started my career as a community organizer, and I worked to register voters in communities where hope was all but lost. I’ve seen what can happen when Americans re-engage and take ownership in the process.”  

 “We’ve already seen amazing new enthusiasm and involvement over the course of this campaign, and now we’re taking that excitement to the next level in all 50 states,” said deputy campaign manager Steve Hildebrand. “We’ve seen too many elections where turnout was less than 50 percent. At this critical time in our history, we know we can do better—this year and beyond.”  

The campaign has launched a web site to help people get involved no matter where they live:  http://my.barackobama.com/voteforchange. The site has information about 83 Vote for Change registration kick-off events on May 10, and also allows visitors from all 50 states to fill out a mail-in voter registration form, volunteer to register others to votes, and invite others to take part in the program.  

The campaign’s recent voter registration drives have registered more than 200,000 new Democrats in Pennsylvania, more than 165,000 new Democrats in North Carolina, and more than 150,000 new Democrats in Indiana. Those numbers just scratch the surface of what’s possible. 

This primary election is about another repeat every Democratic election since 1980 or a 50 State Strategy that improves our state and local parties as well.  Finding those voters we’ve ignored for too long with have both immediate benefits and benefits for years to come.

National Journals Political Insiders Poll

The press is in some alternate world that makes it sound like Clinton has a serious chance at the nomination. Funny enough, Democratic and Republican party insiders are far more realistic (subscription required)

Q: Who is most likely to capture the Democratic presidential nomination?

Democrats (88 votes)

                        Now             3/8/08
Hillary Rodham Clinton  17 percent      46 percent
Barack Obama            82 percent      53 percent
Neither (volunteered)    1 percent       1 percent

Republicans (89 votes)

                        Now             3/8/08
Hillary Rodham Clinton  17 percent      50 percent
Barack Obama            80 percent      46 percent
Neither (volunteered)    3 percent       4 percent

On electability:

Q: Which Democratic presidential candidate would do better against John McCain in November?

Democrats (88 votes)

Hillary Rodham Clinton  45 percent
Barack Obama            50 percent
Both (volunteered)       5 percent

Republicans (89 votes)

Hillary Rodham Clinton 55 percent

Barack Obama 42 percent

Both (volunteered) 3 percent

The Democratic group has 88 members meaning about 15 think Clinton will win. Of those in the group there are members of both campaigns, but to give you an idea of where the 15 come from, Terry McCauliffe, Harold Ickes, Mike Henry, Tony Podesta, Bruce Reed, Doug Sosnick, Steve Richetti, Gerald McEntee, Mame Reilly, JoDee Winterhof, Bonnie Campbell, and Laura Hartigan are all included and that’s just from skimming the list. If you aren’t familiar with them they are Clinton employees, Hillraisers, or close allies. IOW, from a list of 88 people, 15 think Clinton can win and just a cursory look shows 12 who are a part of the campaign. No one, and probably even some in the campaign, thinks she can win the nomination.

More Homeland Security Incompetence

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Here for 50 years and the bureaucracy cannot finish her paperwork in a year.

Via Illinois Coaltion for Immigrant and Refugee Rights and Progress Illinois 

According to Chicago Public Radio, CIS received a record 1.4 million naturalization applications nationwide last year, many of which arrived before fees rose dramatically in August. In fact, the agency saw a 350 percent increase in applications in June and July 2007 over the same period the previous year. Given the glut, many of the applications are still awaiting approval. But not in Chicago, says the Chicago District Director Marilou Cabrera, who addressed the crowd. She claims Chicago’s office had no backlogs and processing is averaging eight-and-half months when the applications aren’t complex.

Two elderly immigrants with personal experience disagreed. One of the women, who has lived in the country for 50 years and would like to ensure her citizenship so she can cast a ballot in the 2008 elections, says she’s been waiting since July to hear a final verdict.

Illinois Circular Firing Squad Team Goes National

Rich reports on a report to him that Boehner said Oberweis should get out of the race.

I’m told House Republican Leader John Boehner said at a recent event that he wants Oberweis out of the race. Boehner’s campaign office did not return a call asking for comment. I’m not sure Oberweis will ever drop out, but the pressure continues.

The problem with this is that the RNCC is short on cash and they don’t have the money unless they can find a self funder. Especially given their self funders are refusing to self fund.

Speaking of Ozinga, as Obama has shown, getting people to donate to buy into a campaign and feel ownership can be very effective and I even respect Ozinga for doing it.  However, it’s a losing strategy when the party cannot come in later since it’ll be strapped and he’s starting late.  He has to build a donor base up without ever having one before and that’s tough when you get a an early start.

Daily Dolt: Illinois Review

I’m starting to like Steve Sauerberg even if I’ll never endorse him. The Illinois Review continues its attacks on his campaign staffer because the staffer is gay.

Mr. Barron’s history as the former National Political Director of Log Cabin Republicans concerned us a few weeks ago, and we wrote about it on Illinois Review. Dr. Sauerberg was aware of the controversy, and chose to back Mr. Barron despite his political baggage problematic to conservatives.

Mr. Barron was obviously emboldened by his boss’ loyalty and evidently now has time to spend promoting himself online as a Republican gay political consultant. Must be nice work, if you can get it.

Sauerberg is ignoring calls to fire Barron because Barron is gay. Good for him.