2004
ArchPundit
The Shorter Emerging Democratic Majority
Is in the Christian Science Monitor last week. Good bit on the demographic and party changes underway in Illinois.
UPDATE: Chillinois has a bit more critical view of some of the article–all of which is good.
Survey USA Poll from Last Week
763 Registered Illinois Voters with 3.6 % +/-
Obama-Ditka
Obama 51
Ditka 44
Other 4
Obama-Ryan
Obama 55
Ryan 37
Other 8
Obama-Oberweis
Obama 57
Oberweis 35
Other 8
Obama beats Oberweis and Ryan in every category except Republicans.
But most staggering are the Ryan numbers when it comes to likely voters. This was a poll of registered voters which this early in a cycle is probably a good idea. We simply don’t know who will turn out this far out. But when you look at the numbers for those with
High Interest in Politics
Obama 55
Ryan 38
Other/Undecided 7
Moderate Interest in Politics
Obama 63
Ryan 31
Other Undecided 6
Low Interest in Politics
Ryan 44
Obama 42
Other 14
As you go down interest level the difference in the likelihood of voting goes down too. And the last number is probably a name recognition measure than anything.
If Ryan gets back in this race he is in deep, deep trouble.
Charter Schools on 848
848 is just about to have a discussion of charter schools this morning. Tune in if interested.
Be Slow for the weekend
the new computer is here! Hooray! I have a ton of stuff in the pipeline so check in now and again.
Illinois Republican Senate Cattle Call 7-17
1. The wide, wide abyss. Oh so deep.
2. John Cox. Even Republicans don’t like this guy and he’s the best that can be mentioned. The Central Committee hates him.
3. Jack! Still hasn’t turned in the paperwork. Reports are he was down at the Ditka restaurant event. Why?
4. County Commission Elizabeth Gorman. Even she’s insisting the party provide her with a substantial warchest. A Cook County Commissioner is putting strings on running!
5. Kirk Dillard. Is he flaky enough to run? Keeps saying how hard it would be, but strangely his name keeps getting mentioned.
6. Corinne Wood. Conservatives and establishment pretty much hate her after 2002 primary against Jim Ryan.
7. Robert Plummer. Edwardsville rich guy. Who? What? How about the Edwardsville dog catcher? Oh, he can’t self fund and is probably supporting Obama.
8. Andrea Grubb Barthwell. Umm…you quit your job to possibly run for a Senate seat the Republicans are trying to fill because of a scandal about sex…and you have a hostile environment complaint? Fortunately survival of the fittest should mean your line won’t continue for long.
10. The Ober-Furher. Apparently the only people who dislike this guy more than liberals are conservatives–especially Latino conservatives. Rich Miller had some hysterical anecdotes in the subscription end of the Capitol Fax that suggested there might be a Republican Latinos for Obama. I’m not sure that means much, but when you would start down 20 points every pinprick hurts.
Also, a significant Hispanic Republican leader told me at the same event that he would work hard to elect Obama if Oberweis were the R senate candidate. And, that was probably the mildest statement he made to me.
The man is toxic to conservatives themselves. But he is a favorite of Dems who hope to score a huge victory and free ice cream.
11. Borling. At least John McCain will make some trips to Illinois
12. Norm! George Wendt is more likely
13. Durkin. Uh…remember when he thought this would be a suicide mission before all of this.
14. Chris Lauzen. I just wanted to mention he sued someone over claims whether he had a CPA and then tried to change his name to Chris Lauzen, CPA.
15. Jonathan Wright. It’s only a matter of time before he demands party money to run.
16. Kathuria. Well, on his resume he’ll score a moral victory.
17. Judy Biggert. Offended that she was even asked–“What? Do I look THAT Stupid?”
18. Ted Nugent. Hell, if you are going to lose, really lose.
19. Gilberto Simoni. About as much chance of being US Senator as he is of winning the Tour de France. Given that, that citizenship thing would be a non-issue. The Black Knight of Cycling and the biggest whiner ever. Not to mention doping scandals.
Incredibly Witty Cattle Call Post Lost
Sometime Saturday it’ll be up. Tired and watching the Tour rerun.
Obvious Technical Problems
But we’ll be back with new stuff tonight.
Sigh…Illinois Republican Senate Nomination Cattle Call Comment Period 7-15
Let’s throw out some names and have some fun with this.
Jack!
Uberveis (and if he is the nominee Glenn had better be working on that Edelweis spoof)
Biggert
Barthwell
Durkin
Kathuria
Borling
Wright
Corrinne Wood
Norm!
Nalepa
Kirk Dillard
Clark Pellet
Cook County Commissioner Elizabeth Gorman