Polling Memo key graph:
In addition, there is EVERY indication that the undecided vote will
behave in the typical fashion and move decisively against the incumbent on
Election Day. For example, undecided voters say by a decisive four to one
that they prefer to elect a Democrat to Congress in the generic trial heat. As
well, undecided voters give President Bush a negative job rating by an
astounding 86% to 12%.
From the Hotline
A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 2/7-8 for ’06 nominee Dan Seals (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 2/12). Tested: Seals and Rep. Mark Kirk (R).
General Election Matchup M. Kirk 46% D. Seals 39 Undec 15
These look like good numbers to me, seven months out. And just wait until Obama does an ad for him.