Berkowitz On Berkowitz

Berkowitz describes why so many missed the Obama surge. I certainly fit within his description.

The key line is:
“Mencken was wrong: somebody did go broke underestimating the taste of the Illinois people.”

Some of us who watch politics become somewhat cynical and jaded about the public. I very much fit in that category and I think the one thing that most people sense about Barack whether they agree with him or not on ideology or policy, is that he is decent and smart. I believe Rauschenberger had the same mojo going, though in a much more lowkey way.

Other Good News: Robert Shaw Lost

While much of the big story has been the defeat of the remnants of the white machine, there is another significant story in the burbs where the machine of the Shaw brothers took another hit and Robert Shaw was defeated by Larry Rogers.

In this case it isn’t so much being replaced by the more modern versions of politics, but by the Jacksons who, say what you will, are better than the Shaws. Most importantly, the kind of static patronage driven operations aren’t nearly as effective as they used to be.

But, you know, if Illinois didn’t count

The Novak column today, had a corker,

Illinois also appears to be getting eliminated from serious consideration in the battle between George W. Bush and John Kerry for the presidency because of a change in the way the state is perceived. No longer a classic swing state that could go either way and produce famous standoffs in 1960 and 1976, Illinois is now considered the most reliably Democratic state in the Midwest.

The 2000 election had a lot to do with that revised image. Al Gore won 55 percent of the vote to Bush’s 43 percent, with a 570,000 vote margin. If Illinois were subtracted from the national totals, Bush actually enjoyed a popular vote plurality in the rest of the country.

Josh Marshall tees off on it and another similar argument regarding African-Americans.

Both are based on the rather odd idea that if you eliminate a legitimate part of the electorate, things would be different. It is certainly true, but utterly pointless. Now, if one wants to complain about African-American, American Indian, or, as I’m guessing with the amendment to ban gay marriages, homosexual voters, voting in big blocks then one should address the concerns they have. Not only is the assumption that a group isn’t just as valid as any other, but it assumes they don’t know what is best for them. I’m not willing to be that paternalistic.

Chief Referendum

I’ve been swamped with the Primary, but the Squire has been all over an on campus referendum over Chief Illiniwek.

I’ve argued before that I find the Chief to be a horrible anachronism that uses stereotypes to represente American Indians.

Certainly a mascot could be a proud figure representing everything noble about American Indian culture in general and the Illini Tribe specifically. Instead, the student playing him performs an atrocious and stereotypical dance that degrades the proud heritage of American Indians.

U of I students still have 2 hours to vote. Squire had this to say in comments:

The two-day campus voting period ends at midnight tonight, and with it the referendum on the Chief. As I stated earlier, the Pro-Chief option will likely win due to the heavy amounts of social ignorance in the student body. The pro-Chief faction will likely decide that might/numbers makes right and trumpet the results while still not getting what the issue is truely about. At least spring break is next week so hopefully no group on either side will do anything too terribly stupid.

With the (underhanded) cancellation of the April meeting the Chief resolution will be voted upon at the June meeting of the Board of Trustees. That meeting will be Allen’s last before his term as UIUC Student Trustee expires. The BoT really does not want to vote on the issue – it’s a lose-lose situation for them – but they really have to sometime soon. Tension on campus is getting a tad out of hand and we need a vote one way or another just to settle the student body down a bit.

He also points to this article on David Gill, Democratic Candidate for the 15th District.

Missouri Panhandling

A good friend of mine is running in the 3rd Congressional District to replace Dick Gephardt. His name is Jeff Smith and I’d appreciate if you could drop by and help him reach his March Madness Goal of $10,000. You can just donate, or you can enter a pool for the NCAA Tournament. If you win, you get to play Jeff in a game of basketball. Given his stature, that might not seem like much, but he is very fast.

Also, for those of you in Chicago, he will be having a fundraiser on March 27th. Donations start at $50 so consider attending. Details will follow.

Jeff is running in a fairly crowded field. Amongst them he is the most progressive candidate with a chance to win the primary. He has had good success raising money to date, but needs more help.

His opponents includ State Senator Steve Stoll, former State Rep. Joan Barry, and State Represenative Russ Carnahan. Stoll is conservative for a Democrat, but a decent guy. He is pro-life, anti-gun control an pro-death penalty. Barry is pro-life and also a very decent person. Russ Carnahan has the largest name recognition largely due to his parents, former Governor Mel Carnahan and former US Senator Jean Carnahan. Russ is more liberal than the others, but suffers from a bad case of being inept and horrible in public.

I’m sure Russ is a nice guy, but he is one of the most ill-prepared candidates for office I have ever observed. The reason this matters is that the Republican in the race is one Bill Federer. For those unfamiliar with the wing-nuttery of Federer, you will know that he has the strong endorsement of Phyllis Shafly and Grover Norquist. And he has money-he is already at $450,000 for the race.

While I don’t shun more conservative Democrats like some, I will say that I’d far prefer a progressive candidate in the 3rd to challenge Federer and replace Gephardt. A conservative Democrat isn’t necessary here. The District is 60% Democratic.

I’m asking you to donate to Jeff today to ensure that he remain competitive. For those concerned over whether he is viable, take a look at the articles on the front page–Jeff has already shown that he can raise money and Roll Call has even noticed.

I’ll be asking for lots of donations for candidates in Illinois throughout the year. For those that can do it–that money is essential to a winning campaign by Barack, Bean and others, but this is an option to help out another candidate who can make a difference in Washington.

Nuke ‘em Newcom Wins

Lee Newcom was running in the Republican Party for Recorder and beat his opponent Ruth Weber. Weber is reportedly a very nice woman, but probably not up for the job anymore.

However, Newcom is an ethical black hole.

He isn’t as colorful as the two morons who ran for McLean County Prosecutor and got in a fist fight, but he still shouldn’t be in office.

Many idiots have had positions in McLean County government–my own grandfather being one of them on the McLean County Board years ago. But do they keep having to find morons? Break the cycle.