It’s Not Just Dawn Clark Netsch Anymore Governor

Rich Miller has a hysterical column up at the Capitol Fax that debates the different way he could take the column, settling on pointing out that women in the Illinois Government don’t expect to be treated like the pioneering women were decades ago, they now back each other when some dimwit takes a swipe at their gender:

Rep. Sara Feigenholtz (D-Chicago) said Madigan was “just doing her job,” and the governor “shouldn’t insult her.”

Sen. Christine Radogno (R-Lemont) called the governor a “Neanderthal.”

“She is not carrying water for her father,” insisted Rep. Julie Hamos (D-Evanston).

Treasurer Judy Baar Topinka called the governor a “chauvinist pig.”

The lesson here, I think, is that you can get away with throwing all the showy windup fastballs you want at the Springfield establishment. But after years of being dismissed and discriminated against, women at the Statehouse have come together to form a fearsome, bipartisan team, and they’ll hit those goofy pitches out of the park. The governor should stick to safer targets.

And if I may, the Guv ought to remember the last Illinois politician to ignore women’s issues in the Democratic Party. I hear retirement as a lobbyist is working out just fine for Alan Dixon, Governor.

Who Does Schoenberg Like Least?

It’s hard to say, though Rod is probably ahead of Jack! right now, but he is quickly developing a dislike of both of them similar to the late Steve Neal’s deep dislike of Dick Durbin and Peter Fitzgerald.

In Thursday’s column he takes on Jack!’s new communications director.

# First, understand why your opponent has problems with significant elements of his base, and drive wedges where you can, to the maximum extent possible;

# “Second, recognize that it is not your campaign’s job to tell the objective truth, it’s your campaign’s job to tell the version of the truth that puts your opponent in the worst light possible (it’s his campaign’s job, after all, to do the same to you);

# “Third, don’t get suckered into the trap of only talking about issues the media says are important – instead, choose the issue matrix over which you want to wage war, and stick to it no matter what;

# “And fourth, if need be, if you can’t make a legitimate argument against your opponent on a key issue, use your opponent’s party’s position on the issue as the battleground, and wrap it around his neck. Make him pay for the sins of his party. Guilt by association still works, so don’t be shy in exploiting it.”

The problem with the Ryan campaign is every time they put out a fire, another story pops up about how it is running essentially a negative campaign and getting it from enunciating any message of its own.

There are two sides to that. Jack! partisans can point out this is lazy journalism looking to fit the evidence to the preconceived story. To a degree that has some merit, though I wouldn’t tar Schoenberg with that claim.

The flip side is if the shoe fits…

And Jack! is making the shoe fit a bit too easily.

Case in point from the column:

But then what does a May 26 news release from the Ryan campaign say about the kind of campaign Ryan wants to run? The release, titled “Knock, knock. Who’s there? Obama, the criminals’ good friend,” got personal about Ryan’s Democratic opponent, BARACK OBAMA.

Obama, now a state senator, voted against a bill in the legislature that would allow people to defend themselves against local ordinances banning gun possession if they have to use a gun to protect themselves on their own property.

“Once again, Barack Obama has shown his true colors,” the release quotes Pascoe. “He’s an outside-the-mainstream, weak-on-crime liberal who cares more for the rights of criminals than he does for those of law-abiding citizens.”

Jack! has never defined himself in any sense of what he stands for to the public. Yes, we can go to his website and see his issue positions, but despite a fairly good bio to run on, since the primary it has been all attack all the time instead of defining himself, locking up his base and then going to war over the center–which in Illinois is slightly to the left.

The real story appears to be at the top and it is tied back to everything that is loony in Conservative Republican Politics in Illinois–the Illinois Leader and its co-founder Dan Proft:

After the second column, Proft let me know in a 1 1/2-page e-mail that he wasn’t happy.

“Barack, er uh, I mean Bernie,” it began.

“I’m willing to try and do damage control for you with your friends in the Democratic Party but I don’t know … people are expressing a lot of disappointment with you for your personal assault on Bill Clinton. … But I stood up for you, I said, ‘Bernie is a good Democrat. … I mean, look at all the water he’s carrying for Sen. Obama.'”

Proft said he was embarrassed for me because I let Obama “get away” with his explanation of his vote against the fees, and he wondered why I didn’t press Obama on the budget problems of the Democrats now running the state.

“I know you’re loathe (sic) to report on any infighting among the Democrat hegemons much less make Obama have to answer any difficult questions about who’s right. …”

Well, it’s always nice to know they’re reading your stuff. But Proft may have missed some of the not-so-glowing columns I’ve written about the style and “substance” of Gov. ROD BLAGOJEVICH, who happens to be a Democrat.

Antagonizing the press is generally a really bad strategy. Of course, Proft was probably the guy who decided an unsigned editorial in the attacking Judy Baar Topinka and Frank Watson would be a good idea.

You get a mighty small coalition as a Republican if Frank Watson is too conciliatory.

The ultimate problem though? Staffers keep get press over the candidate. That should never, ever happen. I know other campaigns do everything they can to avoid that.

That’s Ms. Attorney General to You Blow Dry Boy

I didn’t think he could make this much worse, but The Blagorgeous response to the Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan’s blocking the mortgaging of the Thompson Center is perhaps a classic in stupid things said by public officials.

“It’s her father, you know, I can’t fault her,” Blagojevich said. “I don’t want to get involved in a family deal here, but you know it’s her father. I’ve got two daughters. I hope they back me on stuff that I do.”

Steve Brown, Madigan’s press guy and all around aide responds with just about the nastiest thing I’ve heard in a while in Illinois politics

It speaks more to the pathetic, simplistic world the governor sometimes lives in

So he has alienated the Attorney General and the Speaker of the House of Representatives. But that isn’t all, oh no, our boy Blagorgeous just pissed off the women on both sides of the aisle with that condescending poppy cock:

“She is not carrying water for her father,” said state Rep. Julie Hamos (D-Evanston). “She is the attorney general for the state of Illinois.”

“He is a complete Neanderthal, and I think it’s a complete insult to women,” said state Sen. Christine Radogno (R-Lemont) of Blagojevich. “She’s a professional. There are a lot of professional women, and we don’t necessarily do what our fathers and husbands say.”

State Treasurer Judy Baar Topinka, who also is head of the state Republican Party, called Blagojevich’s remarks “shameful and chauvinistic” and said the governor should apologize to not just Madigan but to all women in the state.

But to really make matters worse, it appears that Lisa Madigan is right:

Though most legislation requires only a simple majority of the House and Senate for approval, Madigan noted in her opinion that the Illinois Constitution requires a special three-fifths vote on measures that authorize new state borrowing. Ironically, Michael Madigan was a sponsor of the Thompson Center bill, which passed his chamber 72-44, one vote more than needed to meet the three-fifths mandate.

But the Senate passed the bill by a 33-25 margin, three votes short of the number needed to attain three-fifths approval.

Blagojevich aides disagreed with Lisa Madigan’s interpretation of the three-fifths rule. But former University of Illinois law professor Ron Rotunda, an expert on the state constitution, sided with Madigan’s view.

“The framers [of the constitution] created this rule to be airtight,” Rotunda said. “The only way the framers could have been any clearer would be to add a sentence at the end of the clause that says, `We really mean it.'”

Never mind that financing current operations out of debt creation is really stupid.

Bring In Cheney–That’ll Help

Given the most recent Rasmussen poll squares with the other polls (also calls into question the Rassmussen poll that had Jack at 40)

Kerry 54%
Bush 38

Having a high profile event with Cheney is, well, stupid.

Then again, Jack is polling below Bush. Tieing himself to Bush gives him nothing to win this election on. The snarky bits about George Soros or Hillary Clinton coming from the campaign aren’t going to work when either has a higher rating than who you are raising cash with.

Jack! is also promising to match every dollar received in donations with $.50.

Now, the millionaire amendment in campaign finance reform is hard to analyze, but that would indicate to me that once this occurs, Jack! triggers higher limits for Obama to exploit. So instead of being limited to $2000 per individual, if Ryan kicks in $509,320 it is $4000. At $1,018,640 its $6,000 and at only $2,037,280 Obama can collect $12,000 a person. At $5,093,200 the limit is $12,000,000 and unlimited party coordinated funds kick in. How realistic is that? If Ryan is planning on spending $15,000,000 in the general–not a huge sum kicks it up to about that. Even at the $3,000,000 for the general he originally pledged, Obama’s collection limits go up. There are some cases where if Obama can raise so much, the limits go back down–but don’t negate early contributions.

Jack has to announce his intentions and once he makes a promise like he does above, he’s going to have file expected amounts and the limits kick in.

Disclaimer: There are about a thousand things I’m leaving out here.

But in a case with a national star running, Ryan spending his own money is going to give Obama the ability to raise high dollar donations again. Now, the one issue there is the less he has to raise nationally, the more available for other races so donate at the right….(sneaky heh?)

Ryan Custody Records

10 of 43 Documents are recommended to be unsealed by the referee. The judge now will decide whether to use that recommendation or go further.

A couple problems here for Jack! First, we will see probably the items not directly related to his son’s personal issues so anything beyond the child’s medical conditions, etc will be open. If there is anything embarrassing, he takes a hit for not being forthcoming. If nothing, he looks sympathetic, but commentators will cluck their tongue (including me) that there was a better way–reinforcing the amateur hour tag his campaign has gotten to date.

Second, if it fits with the file that is floating out there, and there is anything in the floating file that is embarrassing and not released, the floating file is confirmed as accurate and will probably be used by the press.

Unfortunately for Jack! while releasing the whole file might be uncomfortable, nothing happening now looks to stop the drip, drip, drip.

Unfair, yeah, but who said campaigns were fair? This campaign has already surpassed the Hull campaign in handling these issues poorly and seems on track to make the Jim Ryan campaign of 2002 (one I’ve called the 2nd worst campaign ever (Bill Simon being the worst)) look like a model of good practices.