Dick Lugar’s Translator

Was in the Trib this weekend.

I’m an interventionist. A liberal one who believes that judicious use of US power can make the world a better place. I’ve seen the horrors of the misuse of that power in Nicaragua, but I still believe the US can be a productive force in keeping the world stable and avoiding genocide. And both those goals make us more secure.

Despite my change of heart on Iraq, I’ve supported most of our international efforts over the last 10-12 years. Used within the context of world institutions American power can do amazing things. Used outside of that context it is far less powerful. And I believe that there are decent Republicans who have similar beliefs. While partisan rancor is high right now, there are several Republicans I have a great deal of respect for–one of them being Dick Lugar. From the Trib article are some excellent insights:

“Unless the United States commits itself to a sustained program of repairing and rebuilding alliances, expanding trade, pursuing resolutions to regional conflicts, supporting democracy and development and controlling weapons of mass destruction, we are likely to experience acts of catastrophic terrorism that would undermine our economy, damage our society and kill hundreds of thousands if not millions of people,” Lugar said.

Simple sentences are not his friend. But the point is obvious: The present strategy isn’t working.

“The United States, as a nation, simply has not made this commitment,” he continued. “We are worried about terrorism, but the evolution of national security policy has not kept up with the threat. We have relied heavily on military options and unilateral approaches that weakened our alliances. We have engaged in self-flagellation over the Sept. 11 tragedy rather than executive affirmative global strategies aimed at addressing the root causes of terrorism.”

The administration, which often regards Congress as little more than a nuisance, has even been reluctant to have key witnesses testify before Lugar’s committee.

Lugar isn’t perfect. He thought our efforts in the former Yugoslavia would fail. He was wrong there, but on Afghanistan and Iraq he has a depressingly nearly perfect record.

An Interesting Article in Harper’s

Though I haven’t read it yet and Harper’s isn’t full text The Washington Post gives a decent overview

Too often Americans buy into really easy stereotypes of who we are fighting in various conflicts. Part of this is the lack of attention spans by individuals and part is by the press so a good take on who is actually fighting can do a lot to explain incredibly complex situations. Some people we fight are violent Islamicists. Some are opportunists and some are simply patriots who think American forces won’t be benevolent in the long run. Each of these three are different challenges. One you defeat, one you jail, and the other you demonstrate your values to.

The sad irony is contained at the end of the first page:

Last November, Mohammed was arrested by American troops and sent to the now-notorious Abu Ghraib prison. But Abu Ali has fared better: He was hired to do contracting work for the occupation government and used his profits to support the resistance. This means, Graham notes, that “the American taxpayer was funding both sides of the conflict.”

What strikes me most about this is that we went in unprepared to deal with this sort of situation. Idiots like Perle suggested the Iraqi people would celebrate and be ready for full sovereignty right way almost, while realists such as Dick Lugar suggested a broader coalition and preparing the population for a long war.

Instead of understanding how complex this situation was, the civilians in the Pentagon sold this war on the cheap and full of hubris. The uniformed leaders suggested more troops. The civilians balked and suggested a new way. And now we know they wanted a way around the international law–or to put more plainly, the law of the land given the United States is a signatory to the Geneva Conventions and treaties approved by the Senate are just that.

Well that new way is failing. War is never simple and there was no chance this would be a World War II that was straightforward (though not easy). We face multiple problems in Iraq, but the Secretary of Defense would like to make you think the problems are simply evil incarnate in a few places. Some of our foes are evil–others need to be shown what being American means. Instead of trusting Americans to understand the need for a prolonged effort, Pentagon civilians sold a lie that the problems were isolated and not a big deal. They were wrong and now there must be accountability at the top. Fire Rumsfeld.

A Political Science PhD in Congress? Heaven Forbid

The Leader is reporting that Bill Lipinski is stepping down and working to hand the seat over to Dan Lipinski, a PhD from Duke who teaches at University of Tennessee (a university much maligned for its rather moronic law school faculty that blogs). I’ve heard Dan is a nice guy and bright who is a stellar teacher and researcher, though I can’t be too excited about handing over a seat to a son.

I believe there is only one other PhD in political science currently serving in Congress though Jeff Smith running in the 3rd essentially is editing his dissertation down so that he might well be a PhD by the time he takes office.

Generally, a PhD in Political Science means one is likely to have a five sided discussion with oneself and thus is a disqualifier for public office.

Steinberg Seems a Bit Slow

His column today misses that the Blagorgeous Administration didn’t get the final agreement to the Attorney General until 2 Days before the closing date.

So Steinberg might be right—it might not be a coincidence, Team Blagorgeous might have tried to set her up knowing full well what a legal analysis would conclude.

A blog being a pithy medium and all, I’m sure I do this sort of thing with some regularity, but I’m not getting paid in a major daily paper.

Not All Republicans Are Clueless

Chris Rhodes takes on the hip factor between the major parties right now…

Keep up the Good work

It works for those on the other side of the aisle, but seriously, a rock band that is primarily known amongst young devout evangelicals isn’t exactly a way to target the average young person. That doesn’t mean they can’t have the evangelical band, but you might think of some other activities to attract others–I doubt you’ll get Wilco, there, but there are more than one way to skin a cat.

I’ll say the DTripC has gotten much hipper just as I’m getting much older. But I’m happy to see it. The Survivor bit is a riot and I think even in good fun everyone can find it funny.

Bringing me to the biggest problem of a potential Kerry presidency–the guy isn’t funny. At all. And he isn’t fun to make fun of. I mean, Bubba was fun. W is Gold. What will I do? Make fun of Inhofe every day?

Bush Still Not on the Ballot

I can think of worse things for the Illinois Republicans. Namely both Bush and Ryan being off the ballot or essentially dead, but that is about it. There is currently a fight over the legislation. One bill that would have expanded state locations for voter registration and lessened the time to register was never brought up in the Senate–see DJWinfo for the details.

The Leader is making up their version of reality again:

The RNC chose to have their convention the first week of September, navigating around the Olympics and Democratic National Convention.

This is,to put it mildly, BS.

The Democrats originally set their date for July 18th. Then the Republicans set the date of August 29th – September 2nd. Then the Democrats moved their date back to July 26th. The Republicans would have had three weeks in that period to schedule the convention before the beginning of the Olympics.

Why? Trying to get advantage from September 11th. Nice. It’ll backfire too.

Bush should get on the ballot, but the fair thing would be to allow other parties to get on the ballot in an easier manner. That won’t affect Dems, but see if the Republicans will vote for a bill that is fair.

Of course, if you take Tom Roeser’s argument seriously, the Republicans could end up with neither a Presidential Candidate nor a Senate candidate on the ballot. Given there is no manner for replacement if the Ryan campaign does fall and the judiciary isn’t friendly, the Republicans have a real problem.

I doubt they are too worried about either campaign–both seem pretty much doomed to many at this point. But having no one at the top of the ballot makes it even harder to get the base out to vote. And this year has a feel of it of Republicans needing every last vote. The Democratic base is energized and angry and to get them out to vote against George Bush isn’t going to take much–even if he isn’t on the ballot. In addition, the base is especially excited about the Senate Candidate-Barack Obama. He’s a rock star in politics. Look at the press fawning over him (I do too).

Republicans have a President who is unpopular in Illinois, a Senate Candidate who can’t seem to shoot straight and several swing seats they’d like to pick up. But if the leaners don’t show up because they are discouraged with the chances of the President and the Senate Candidate, the Lege races will be very tough as will the Crane and Weller races. A party needs some excitement to turn out its base–not the people who will crawl over broken glass, but the voters who are generally Republican, but not activists. The Republicans are in danger of having no motivation to those folks destroying their chance at down ballot races and perhaps giving the Dems a few shots at taking more seats.

Lots can happen, but this could develop into the worst case scenario for Republicans.

All that said, some of the Republicans are doing a hell of a job organizing including the Join Cross guys. But generating that kind of excitement from below is tough. Very tough.

Two Bits on the Budget

Over at the Capitol Fax.

The first is the most damning for the Blagorgeous. Despite his caterwauling, the budget doesn’t add up.

BUDGET HAS BIG HOLE (excerpt) The budget endorsed by Blagojevich and Jones appears to be fatally flawed. A House Democratic analysis claims, with credibility, that even with all the new taxes and a 2.25 percent across-the-board cut, it’s still more than $700 million in the red. Sen. Steve Rauschenberger suggested last night that the governor is spending like the drunken legislative sailors he infamously blasted last spring.

It’s like giving Rauschenberger fodder for good lines. If anything he’s been reserved so far, probably letting the Dems get themselves in to a fine fix. The Blagorgeous obliged so I expect Rauschenberger, now with leverage, will start having fun again.

BUDGET WRANGLING (excerpt) The four legislative leaders met for a short while yesterday, and agreed that the governor’s budget director should provide a list of what cuts he would make if the General Assembly goes ahead with a planned 2.25 percent across-the-board reduction. All but one leader, Senate President Emil Jones, are unwilling to trust the director with such a limitless power. The Senate approved a bill that would give the director carte blanche to skim money from just about everything except the school fund, but including a fund for local governments.

Interesting that the closet Lege ally doesn’t really trust Filan, Rod’s budget director.