General Election Match up
———–Support/——–High/ Low Opinion
Weller______45%_______ 40/16
Renner_____25 ________12/6
Undec._____30
Generic Ballot
Dem___36%
GOP___32
General Election Match Up-Informed on Outsourcing
Renner__40%
Weller___39
The outsourcing measure is when informed about views on outsourcing people then change their votes.
A Bannon Communications poll; conducted 9/26-27 for Tari Renner; surveyed 353 likely voters; margin of error +/- 5.3% (meaning a Democratic Poll)
So the basic results here are virtually the same as the poll done by Weller (update). Don’t know why I missed this–one huge difference is Weller is under 50% reelect which is the magic number.
The interesting thing, and why Weller is avoiding debates, is that when informed of positions, Renner jumps in support.
Does this mean this race is close? No–but it means there is a hell of a lot of upside potential to this race in a closely divided CD where the Gore – Bush split in 2000 was 48 – 50.
Is it too late? Possibly. I can’t say that and dismiss the Zinga potential in the 17th so I’ll try and stay consistent, but hopeful. Renner needs to get his name out there, the positions out there and fast–and you can help by donating or helping with their ground game. If this isn’t at least close, the Democrats will be missing a huge opportunity.
This is incredible! Anyone who thinks this race isn’t close isn’t
paying enough attention. The “Renner Numbers” mean nothing. All that matters is how low Weller’s numbers are. And wow, they’re low. Any incumbent below 50% is bad, and 45% means someone in Weller’s staff should be fired. He’s a 10-year incumbent after all. Also remember, Weller’s been on TV and radio for the last 3 weeks. Renner’s been saving his money, and raising more of it. It’s not as if Renner’s been buying ads and is only at 25%, that came strictly from free media.
Oh, and did I mention those Outsourcing numbers!?!?
I’m also excited for when Renner really gets going. He’s using Pete (Edwards/Obama) Giangreco for mail, and with all the ammunition Weller’s provided, those pieces should be hot.