Dan Johnson-Weinberger challenges the notion that any of the current Republican Seats can be picked up by Dems this cycle.
But first Dan, the first rule of speeding on 55 is get behind the Lege plates and draft them–they’ll think you are together and not even think about pulling you over.
But back to the point–four of the Districts are competitive in general for Dems and three in particular this cycle with decent challengers. My rankings of the likelihood of those upsets are
1) Bean
2) Renner
3) Cegelis
I’ll cover the details in the next couple days, but all three have a reasonable shot and Bean has the extra factor of being especially well suited to the district. When you look at the Gore-Bush numbers in 2000 (adjusted for new districts) all three are possible pickups.
In terms of asking DeLay–rumors are Mr. DeLay will be having his attorney doing most of the speaking for a while….
What do you think about Gloria Anderson running against Judy Biggert in the 13th? I realize it’s a long shot, but she is very motivated, and her blog ain’t bad either.
1) Camaros as state police vehicles has been around for a while now. My folks visited four years ago and saw a Camaro having pulled over a speeder on 55 around Illinois 111. A couple of hours later, he had someone else pulled over.
2) The corollary to the first rule of drafting people with Lege plates: Have Illinois plates yourself. I’m not experienced with this myself, but I get the feeling that if the Illinois State Police sees that you have Missouri plates and you’re tailing someone from the Lege, the officer will just think you’re being a douche and pull you over.
Yeah, I don’t use the method much anymore. Then again, I have the traps along 55 in memory.
My Illinois plates didn’t absolve me of getting pulled over. Maybe my Obama bumper sticker was a red flag.
Anyway, ArchPundit, show me the numbers. What are the Gore/Nader numbers in each of the districts? What are the 2002 numbers? (Yeah, I could look them up too, but I’m the contrarian in this exchange, so you have the burden of proving your case!)
Cegelis as one of “Dean Dozen” Critiqued
Stuart Rothenberg of Roll Call critiques Democracy for America’s “Dean Dozen” and the selection of Christine Cegelis. His criticism is mainly based on electability, but that really misses the point of the “Dean Dozen,” whose purpose clearly points out …