October 2006

Kind of Interesting

opyright 1996 The State Journal-Register
The State Journal-Register (Springfield, IL)

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October 27, 1996, Friday, EARLY AND CITY EDITIONS

SECTION: NEWS, Pg. 1, ELECTION ’96

LENGTH: 1794 words

HEADLINE: Tow candidates – one senator / Durbin, Salvi on the campaign trail in one of the most closely watched races

BYLINE: PUAL KRAWZAK COPLEY NEWS SERVICE

DATELINE: CHICAGO

BODY:
Dick Durbin’s campaign is starting a little late on this beautiful Indian summer Sunday so the candidate can catch up on some rest.

In his quest to succeed Paul Simon as the state’s next senator, Durbin has campaigned seven days a week since August, the last time he took a day off.

At 10:15 a.m., dressed in a conservative gray suit, the seven-term Springfield congressman walks out of the Seneca Hotel near Chicago’s Water Tower, where he stays while campaigning in northern Illinois.

He hops into a beige Chevrolet Suburban that soon is heading north on Lake Shore Drive toward the first destination, a service at the black Second Baptist Church in Evanston. Sailboats dot Lake Michigan.

Responding to someone’s question, Durbin, 51, admits he didn’t get his jog in this morning. “I jog . . . you probably can’t tell,” he quips.

Durbin is accompanied by his driver, an advance man and a woman who has close ties to the city’s black churches.

Talking from time to time, he expresses his enjoyment of a book he is reading by Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate for Alice Palmer’s south side state Senate seat. The book, “Dreams from My Father,” is about Obama’s return to Africa to trace his roots.

No endorsements this time

The entire point is to provide voters with reasons to vote a certain way and frankly, the Tribune pretty much hits the points I’d make. Down and Up ballot, I I may make some endoresment. That said, I largely agree with this.

The only thing to add is that while I find Rutherford interesting, he’s not made a terribly compelling case to change.

That the Trib and I agree on statewide races may well be a sign of the apocalypse.

What the hell happened to Illinois Republicans?

If it isn’t entirely clear by now, if I lived in Illinois I wouldn’t vote for Rod Blagojevich or Rich Whitney. And I wouldn’t be entirely happy about my vote for Governor. That said, sweet Jesus this is one of the worst campaign cycles I’ve ever observed. The incumbent doesn’t have just one investigation such as Operation Safe Roads circling around him, but many. One was originally run by Lisa Madigan which she handed over to the feds.

It’s a sign of very bad things to come for the idiot, and yes that’s the term even though I find her personally humorous, since she can’t even make hay out of it.

JBT is one of the last Republicans I can imagine supporting. After her I expect a series of right wing loons running because they are offended by THE GAY!, just as her primary primary opponent attempted and then when that wasn’t enough, discovered THE BROWN GUY.

That said, no one should vote for her. They shouldn’t vote for her opponents either. Whitney should be an attractive opponent on the left that allows one to hold to their principles while sending the mainstream candidate down to defeat. Instead, he decided John Kass and the spotted owl were more important.

Rod, well, shit. He’s lying his fucking ass off. It’s really an admirable attempt. He lies better than most. Clinton lied better, but about smaller things. Okay, that’s assuming a lot about both of their personal business that I don’t care to think about.

The sad public reality is that Rod’s scandal, as of now, isn’t much worse than the Edgar MSI scandal. Seriously, look it up. The average Joe Public is probably responding to a deep seated cynicysm that says most Illinois pols have friends they can’t trust. It’s not a bad interpretation since it’s generally true. The problem is that the scandal isn’t in isolation.

With at lesat several other investigations ongoing, the relative problem for Rod is far greater, but voters have other things to which to pay attention and Rod is probably going to be reelected even though Whitney will probably have one of the best showings for an independent candidate.

What about Thompson?

Oh, the hilarious nature of Illinois politics
For Immediate Release.

Contact: Transition Team Arch

Archpundit to Announce Transition Team

Beloved Leader to Guide Blogger in New Role as Supreme Leader of the World

St. Louis, IL?Blogger Archpundit announced today that he has chosen Santa Claus a respected, worldwide leader to lead his transition team after being elected Supreme Leader of the World.

The popular local blogger chose Jolly Ole St. Nick after much deliberation and review of the nearly 1,000 other fictional characters available for such an important fantasy.

?Though this is only a dream, I feel like I need to be prepared for such a life changing experience,? said Archpundit today in front of the St. Louis Arch.

Santa Claus, beloved by children and adults alike, was honored to accept such a position.

?I?ve spent my life granting wishes, and this is something I would be happy to do for Archpundit. Clearly, he recognizes the new reality of these times because if Judy Baar Topinka is preparing to lead the State of Illinois, he should be preparing for this.?

The Painful Thing About Obama Speculation

Is the effort to be counter-conventional wisdom and poke holes in the armor by people who know nothing about what they are talking about…

I’m not getting into the speculation—I’m against a run because I think it’s very hard to put together that kind of operation and win with only two years in the Senate (four by the time the election is here) and I don’t see the rush for him to run.

That said, and especially since Warner is out of the race, I’d support him. No surprise there.

Trib Polling

Roskam in lead, Bean way ahead

From the analysis section

Once finely balanced between the city and the suburbs, the political scales of metropolitan Chicago have been tipping ever more Democratic, and fierce congressional races in two long-safe Republican bastions now are putting that trend to an important new test.

What no one pays attention to is how these two Districts have voted recently. In Illinois 8 the 2000 Presidential vote (converted for the new boundaries) was 56-42. In 2004 it was 56-44. Republican, but not overwhelmingly so like say IL-5 in which 2/3 of voters voted Democratic in both years for President.

IL-06 is even closer and many ignore the partisan changes going on there. In 2000 converted to the 2002 boundaries it was 53% Bush to 44% Gore. In 2004 it went 53% Bush to 47% Kerry. The Cook partisan index is R +3 which is a Republican advantage, but not overwhelming.

In terms of numbers, no one seems to have hardened support beyond about 40% of the voters and for McSweeney differing polls are giving him pretty divergent numbers–my guess, and just a guess since the Trib gives no detailed numbers, is that his name recognition is still relatively low.

More Nativist Every Day

Fererners!, Fererners people!

Roskam told the crowd at the GOP’s campaign headquarters that the “entire world is watching this campaign” against Democrat Tammy Duckworth for the west suburban seat being given up by retiring Rep. Henry Hyde.

As proof, he said a radio producer told him that Al Jazeera–the Arabic language news network–had covered his debate with Duckworth last week. The crowd gasped.

“Now that’s a real interesting group that would come out and cover the 6th Congressional District,” Roskam observed. “Al Jazeera has an interest in who wins in the 6th Congressional District? I’m telling ya, let’s send them an answer, whaddya say?” The crowd cheered.