Call It A Comeback
Cegelis would have to take about 1700 out of 2900 votes (all approximate back of the envelope type estimates). That would be 58.6% of the remaining vote. While possible, I don’t see much chance the geography in Cook is that much different from those areas already counted and DuPage.
LOL–The Stroger folks are trying to claim their votes aren’t being counted. Certainly true, but awfully convenient that all the problems occurred down there and now the ballots are floating around. What a coincidence.
There’s a level of cynicism that’s just amazing to watch.
The remnants of the Machine wouldn’t go quietly.
Friggen idiots. Axelrod is pointing out that the chain of ballot security is broken. The damn system isn’t at fault in a case like this–it’s damn basic security procedure.
200 Precincts sealed and in a holding location–no knowledge who controls them.
Don’t even know in the other precincts.
Preponderance on the South Side. Bloom Township.
I’m shocked I tell you, shocked.
UPDATE: Dammit–chatting with Rick I missed the Cook County precinct list–probably won’t be done until tomorrow. Still about 2500 votes in Cook and less than 400 in DuPage.
Christine Cegelis DEM 10369 41.46%
Lindy Scott DEM 4106 16.42%
L. Tammy Duckworth DEM 10511 42.03%
Write-in Votes 22 0.09%
393 precincts 98.5 %
2006-03-21 23:40:30
Duckworth comes out of Cook with just about a 500 point margin.
Christine Cegelis 1534 37.49%
Lindy Scott 527 12.88%
L. Tammy Duckworth 2031 49.63%
Total 4092 100.00%
The AP breakdown confirms what I thought–there aren’t enough outstanding precincts where he’s doing well. He can pick up some in St. Clair and Winnebago, but unless he were to clean up in Cook County (where he’s down now), he can’t make up the difference.
Wish I could be at the Unity Breakfast tomorrow. Congrats to Judy and Joe.
It was a long night–this’ll be longer.
His basic problem is that DuPage and Cook are giving Judy some good numbers, but he’s doing well in places like Rockford. In Winnebago County not including Rockford he had a 13% advantage and a few points in the City of Rockford (6 I think)
The issue then is whether he can pull together enough small vote jurisdictions that are generally more conservative than DuPage and Cook and pull even. Right now, I don’t think so, but there’s a good reason Edgar is very uneasy.
Looks to be longer than his campaign.
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