His basic problem is that DuPage and Cook are giving Judy some good numbers, but he’s doing well in places like Rockford. In Winnebago County not including Rockford he had a 13% advantage and a few points in the City of Rockford (6 I think)
The issue then is whether he can pull together enough small vote jurisdictions that are generally more conservative than DuPage and Cook and pull even. Right now, I don’t think so, but there’s a good reason Edgar is very uneasy.