Call It A Comeback
Criticizing Ronnie Earle in Travis County Texas for going after Tom DeLay is sort of like criticizing the Pope in Vatican City for being a Papist.
I wonder if they have to file an in-kind donation form on behalf of Earle for the commercial?
Between the hurricane and this being a slow quarter, expect the 3rd Quarter numbers to be down overall. Those that needed a quick out of the gate number already did it, and lots of money went to charitable donations this quarter.
Lindy just entered the race and put up a small, but admittedly first fundraising quarter. I don’t pay much attention to the first fundraising quarter, though he still did show numbers above what many other new candidates do if they aren’t trying to make a splash.
Raised:21509.58
Spent:4523.58
On-Hand: 16986.00
Next quarter will be the telling quarter for him.
Raised:11139.44
Spent: 9331.46
On Hand: 18181.36
With about $6000 in debt
Peter dropped out and probably due to mediocre fundraising, but more to the point, what a pain the ass fundraising is and still trying to raise a family and the sort. I do hope we’ll see Peter back in a local race in a couple years or something as he seemed like a good guy.
Raised:30616.00
Spent:10564.48
On-Hand:43881.23
Looks to be another subpar challenger who will make noise, but not seriously challenge Evans.
Raised:239962.39
Spent:141816.93
On-Hand:178503.88
$80,000 for FEC fine so given that, not a bad quarter. Big PAC contributions from the unions and Obama’s PAC.
The way I’m reading the report, he still has $25,000 he owes the FEC, but I may be wrong on that.
Small, but just started:
Raised:6303.00
Spent:5440.74
On-Hand: 862.26
In fact, self funded so far, so this is seed money.
Okay, I screwed up reporting his last one so let’s see if I can get this right:
Raised: 58372.24
Spent: 296351.07
On-Hand: 239120.32
Debt is high, but that’s too himself and he’s partially self funding.
Donations from both LaHood and Peter Fitzgerald of 1307 Skipworth Road
McLean, Virginia 22101. Both have endorsed him as has Da Coach (who will probably be on the next report).
High spending, but hard to tell how much of that is for later in the primary too–self-funders often spend money upfront.
Overall, nothing spectacular, but since he’s self-funding–who cares?
From the outside, he’s certainly getting the headlines and in a divided primary including Bartels, Churchhill, Salvi and him, all that money and all those headlines count for a lot.
I will link to the archive when it’s up
But wait for it….
The Governor was late.
The problem with some suggestions that it is due to blogging is that Dan’s at the University of Chicago and any tenure decision is a far higher standard than at other Universities. Dan would have received tenure at most other schools other than Ivy’s or Ivy like institutions where he’d still have a great shot most of the time.
The truth is that overall tenure decisions result in good results…high quality and productive academics being given large degrees of freedom of inquiry. The problem is that like all outcomes in general, there are exceptions and some well qualified people fall through. Whether Dan should have gotten tenure is a question for his colleagues in one sense. His publication record is quite impressive, but again, the standard at U Chicago isn’t just to be a productive working scientist who will make contributions to the field, but a social scientist who will dramatically contribute to the field. Where that line is, is hard to define. In addition, Dan’s work is evaluated by outside people who, depending on their work and how compatible it is with Dan’s, may simply have said he is a good scholar when U Chicago is looking for a great scholar.
I think the tenure granting rate is around 50% at most institutions and I don’t know if U Chicago is above or below that or if PoliSci there is higher or lower than the rest of the institution, but assuming from two recent cases it was the blogs fault is making a mistake.
And while I feel bad for Dan, he’ll land on his feet with his CV and a high quality institution will grant him tenure if he stays in academia (something I hope he does). He’s got books with great academic press’ and some high quality publications in high powered journals.
As someone who hopes to be in a tenure track job eventually, I can say, he’ll have a far better job than I hope to get.
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