June 2004

An 18 Term Incumbent is in Danger?

Hmmm…that’s unusual:

Speaker J. Dennis Hastert (R-Ill.) is asking Illinois Republicans to do everything possible to help Rep. Phil Crane (R-Ill.) beat back a strong challenge from Democrat Melissa Bean, Rep. Ray LaHood (R-Ill.) said late last week.

But that isn’t all, Ray LaHood gives a great quote about the problem:

?It?s a race to watch,? LaHood said. ?Every year there?s the November surprise, and a lot of people are worried that the November surprise could be Phil Crane. The problem is he just has not really worked [his district] that well, and he hasn?t paid attention to it.?

Crane is a relic and a right wing nutter of a relic at that. And the GOP is worried. Hastert is doing a fundraiser for him on 6/27. Apparently Crane can’t raise money other than from PACs that owe him for years of service, so for those that can–look up to the left hand corner and donate to Melissa Bean to ensure the Speaker can’t beat her.

Today Is Crane Day

Why? Well the sharks are in the water after the LaHood quote and it has me thinking about it. Who says piling on is bad..

I wrote not long ago that Crane was interesting in that he appears to be well to the right of the NRA on guns. He doesn’t believe in former felons being restricted from gun ownership nor does he believe in background checks. Both positions the NRA is comfortable with.

However, one group is right in line with Crane and that is the Gun Owners of America. Set up by wingnut extraordinaire Larry Pratt. They are against essentially any restriction on firearm ownership. How do the rate Phil Crane? A. Top of the Illinois class, congratulations Phil! Way to go. Closest to him? Manzullo at A and Rural MoC Shimkus at A-.

Hyde C-
Biggert C-
Weller C-
Kirk F
Johnson B
LaHood B-
Hastert C-

Closest too him–Kirk F, Hastert C-, Hyde C-

Jack and Guns

Berkowitz also responds on Jack’s views on gun control which is pretty interesting:

Archpundit, that might be too strong an inference by you. The general issues above come up in part with respect to closing the gun show loophole, which allows guns to be sold without the background check that is required by gun stores. If a three day waiting period is imposed on trade shows, that would close down the trade shows, many of which only last for about two days. So, the instant background check technology allows the gun shows to exist without (1) being used as a loophole for “bad guy,” sellers and buyers of guns to avoid the background check requirement and (2) without infringing on the Second Amendment.

It’s hard to see how a 24/72 hour waiting period would infringe on the 2nd Amendment even if you see it as a personal right (something the Courts don’t do). But more troubling to me is why is it that buying at a trade show should be privileged? What is the reasoning there? Because of convenience? Already it is inconvenient for many people who live farther away from where they want to buy a gun. For long guns and rural hunters it is seldom just 24 hours before they can pick up their rifle or shotgun.

This also avoids the Illinois law that requires the federal background check, but also a check with the state police. The state check isn’t instant, though it is usually pretty fast. As I read the law, those still have to be performed by federal licensed dealers. Individual sales are allowed without background checks (even though such a system would be easy in Illinois and the $3 fee insignificant).

Gun regulations in Illinois are rather mild–tougher than most states, but it is hard to imagine that any hunter has lost a day of hunting to Illinois regulations or that anyone looking to protect themselves have been impaired by the hand gun waiting period or having to get an FOID card (which is far longer than 72 hours). If Jack thinks they are too strong, that would put him out of the mainstream with most Illinois voters—something that a guy calling his opponent at radical might want to think about.

Voucher Accountability

In response to a small point about accountability for vouchers, Jeff Berkowitz responds:

I mean, Archpundit should ask himself who sets the accountability standards for computers. Well, I think Dell knows you can go to any one of a number of competitors. That fear of losing customers tends to make Dell pretty accountable. Same with cars, watches and indeed, blogs. The reason people like Jack Ryan favor school vouchers/school choice, especially for the inner cities, is that they want low income minorities to have similar, if not identical, market power and accountability to the market power and accountability that Cong. Jackson’s parents got by sending Jesse Jr. to St. Albans, that Speaker Mike Madigan and his wife got by sending Lisa Madigan to the Latin School, that Governor Blagojevich and Patti get by sending their daughter to a Montesouri school and that affluent suburbanites get, albeit to a lesser extent, by sending their kids to high priced public schools, with the cost of admission being the ability to live in the affluent neighborhood and pay the high property taxes, mortgages and rents.

The problem is the public school choice programs demonstrate that parents often don’t have the ability to tell between a good school and a poor school. One of the larger examples is the St. Louis voluntary transfer program that operated for over 10 years below capacity despite thousands of children going to substandard schools. The Saint Louis Public Schools is riddled with bad schools (I’ve been in many of them and evaluate test scores from some on a regular basis) and yet parents despite choices to go to excellent county schools, magnet schools and now some charter schools, continue to send their kids to neighborhood schools that are often failing.

The reality that no one wants to talk about in inner-city schools is that many of the parents don’t have the capacity to make informed decisions. This is actually true of more than inner-city districts, but in other districts proxies work marginally well and parents do okay. Parents suffer from abject poverty, drugs, families that are falling apart, irregular work schedules, neighborhood violence, family violence and low generally low level of education. Given many of these parents didn’t do well in school and most had bad experiences in school, what makes them capable of evaluating the quality of a school?

One argument is that this view is paternalistic, and it is to some degree, but it also is a reality of what goes on in inner-city education. Parents are often unable or incapable of making choices that are in the best educaitonal interest of their children.

This doesn’t mean you take away the choice, but that you regulate it with standards just as we do with public schools–though the current standards are silly and pointless. Public money=public accountability. If you are going to start up a school that is receiving public money there is no reason it shouldn’t meet standards set by the public sphere. We can allow some of those standards that are based on specifically being a public school such as faith be put to the side as long as children have a choice, but in terms of instruction and standards I’m at a loss as to why we shouldn’t enforce those standards.

The assumptions of the market assume that the information is equally and freely distributed. That isn’t the case in schools and even amongst middle class parents they often make choices that we wouldn’t describe as rational. One of the better examples is Gary Orfield’s research that points out that parents often choose whiter school districts than one’s with higher performance. That isn’t rational, but it is certainly a choice. It is doubtful that they are studying the test scores as much as using race as a proxy of quality.

Putting in a voucher system that relies solely on parental choice in what schools survive and what schools don’t is asking for Harold Hills to get in the business to take advantage of poor students already being taken advantage of in our society.

Serious Question For Berkowitz

He asks Jack Ryan about his views on gun control and Jack gives reasonably decent answers. The question I have though is that Jack has said he wants background checks that are instant–would that include a law preempting Illinois waiting periods of 72 hours for hand guns and 24 hours for long guns? Or preempting the FOID requirement?

From his issue page he says:

uick and instant background checks that are not de facto waiting periods are a first step towards guaranteeing the constitutional rights of law abiding citizens while at the same time keeping firearms away from those who shouldn?t have them.

To me, this reads as if Ryan doesn’t support current Illinois law and that is perhaps arcane, but very interesting.

The interview also goes into some very good details on vouchers that people should take a look at if they have time to think through what is being said. Jack isn’t unreasonable in terms of understanding the level of costs, though accountability still needs to be present (no one touched that so no assumptions are made about whether Ryan has good or bad ideas there).

We Won’t Talk About My Results

But one of the better moves to improve health for teenagers would be to ban junk food from schools. In fact, that ban was pretty much in effect when I was in high school–let’s not talk about my currently oversized condition (you try and workout regularly with twins). Join Cross guys bring it up in relation to Tom Cross’ efforts to ban junk food in schools.

Illinois is actually one of the smarter states that requires physical education from grade school through high school every day with exceptions for health class and drivers ed (or those were the exceptions when I was in school). It is an important way to promote exercise and taking care of oneself–improving phys ed education for teachers would go along way to making it a field that isn’t just for coaches, but Illinois is on the right path.

Looks Like Both Campaigns Visit the Leader Board

Message by mayerbrown on 08 June 2004 at 5:48 am – IP: 68.20.207.214
Location: United States Joined: 15 January 2004 Posts: 23 Profile Search Quote
Well this is interesting…not sure which is more interesting, that people think JACKS! file will go away, or that anyone really cares what that cranky, bitter old fart Tom Roeser thinks. You have to wonder why they run his column in the Saturday SunTimes….yeah, that’s a highly read edition.

“His eyes are too close together”

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