May 2004

Me Too

Via the Stakeholder

Friedman channels me. Only I kind of got there a few months ago

I admit, I’m a little slow. Because I tried to think about something as deadly serious as Iraq, and the post- 9/11 world, in a nonpartisan fashion ? as Joe Biden, John McCain and Dick Lugar did ? I assumed the Bush officials were doing the same. I was wrong. They were always so slow to change course because confronting their mistakes didn’t just involve confronting reality, but their own politics.

I guess that makes me a little less slow than Friedman. Feint praise for myself….

The Dean Dozen

Democracy for America just endorsed its first 12 candidates it is endorsing. While the organization is picking out hundreds of races in the longer term, these first 12 are special and seem to be a special breed of grass roots activism.

The Illinois news is that Barack Obama got the nod. After an astonishing election that no one predicted the margin of victory, that shouldn’t be surprising. He is one of the most amazing politicians I’ve ever seen. Despite being from a state known for insider politics, he has run a campaign of grass roots excitement.

But I have a special reason to be excited.

In a strange twist, a woman down the block from me is one of the 12 and is running for my State Rep. I have yet to meet her, but everyone seems to think she is impressive.

Maria Chappelle-Nadal for Missouri State House. Maria has won the support of the grassroots in this race. Democracy for America is behind her in her campaign to take back the State House for Democrats. www.maria2004.com

But I’m still holding back on you about why I’m so excited. As I made impassioned pleas at the end of last quarter, several of you met the call to donate to Jeff Smith’s campaign. That helped him match fundraising with a longtime conservative state legislator, and Russ Carnahan–a man who has had millions spent on his name here in Missouri the last few years. I thank you for that. Jeff is positioned to be one of the three to come out of that race.

Jeff is a close personal friend and pretty much if I could build a Congressional Candidate from scratch, he would be it. Smart, principled, funny and dedicated to social justice while fiscally responsible all describe Jeff.

Jeff and I aren’t the typical political science grad students. First, Jeff can’t do hard math. But that is a different story. Second, we care passionately about the actual communities we live in and have stayed in grad school longer largely due to our concern and commitments. We sit around and talk about Congressional Districts while many of our colleagues talk about regressions. Okay, I’m a geek and do both.

At the American Political Science Association meetings in 2002, Jeff went while I was busy preparing for the twins. He met a Governor running for President we both had a great deal of respect for who was talking to academics. He seemed a bit of a wildcard–fiscally responsible and not too exciting he was definitely my kind of guy. My first reaction was why the hell would a serious candidate bother with academics. Apparently Governor Dean made the same joke to Jeff. Jeff and him talked over the 2002 and 2003 and we both marvelled at how he was the only one taking the fight to the Bush. Being in Gephardt territory, we were sort of lonely though Jeff had worked in Iowa before and was considering what to do next. Go back to Iowa and work for someone or finish his dissertation.

Then Gephardt announced he woudn’t seek reelection, but this wasn’t too big of a deal. Several established progressives were considering the race and Jeff went over the demographics with them. When none entered, he decided that the race was too important to pass up and got in himself.

Much like a Governor from a small state without a lot of press, everyone wondered what the hell this guy was doing. Now, everyone is wondering how he is doing it. While he has a ways to go before the primary, no one is dismissing him anymore. He has won grassroots endorsements over bigger names in trench warfare. Carnahan did everything he could to beat Jeff for the state’s largest township organization and still came up short.

Jeff isn’t likely to flame out–in fact, he can only improve at this point. This is the good fight and I’m happy to have a front row seat.

Thank you Democracy for America and thank you Governor Dean for continuing this fight. Dean isn’t going to be President, but his legacy can still lead to change. And I can think of no one better than Jeff.

Crane On Negotiating Drug Prices

Melissa Bean’s newsletter came out and gave me a bit of attention to which I’m always appreciative.

The newsletter (not available for linkage, but you can sign up at her site to the right) pointed out high level of PAC money Crane is pulling in (not mentioning that his fundraising is quite lethargic for a veteran member of Ways and Means) and how much of it is coming from the drug companies.

Now, I don’t demonize drug companies–neither does Bean–but the most bizarre part of the Medicare drug benefit is supported by Crane. Crane backed the provision banning the federal government from negotiating for drug prices through the new Medicare program.

Why would it be bad to get a bulk discount? My drug coverage gets one–why shouldn’t the federal government?

Did the PAC money cause Crane to vote that way? I don’t know.

But think about which is worse:

That he really believes this was a good bill?

or

That he sold out?

Just Keep Making It Up

From Comments:

AP, while 70 percent of Iraqi detainees have been picked up for merely “Driving While Iraqi,” the particular Iraqis Sen. Inhofe refers to were segregated because they were caught doing mean things, such as shooting and blowing up Americans.

Wrong. It’s unfortunate that people don’t actually read the Red Cross report before that it’s details are different. The report concerns the treatment of prisoners who are covered under the Geneva Convention and thus the segregated unit are prisoners of war or similar and who are covered in the report–not the street criminals and such are in the other portions of the prison.

Suggesting that they were arrested for driving while Iraqi is nothing more than an attempt to divert attention from a very real scandal. And if one were to read the report, one would see serious allegations of random arrests and abuse during those arrests. But one wouldn’t want that to get in the way of a good story, would one?

The stunning thing is the ‘regular’ criminals were pretty much running the Iraqi guards.

Sen. Inhofe is probably correct in his facts.

In the end this is probably a wash. I know how much many on the left are hoping for the US to be swiftly defeated — alas, this incident isn’t going to do it.

Bull. Absolute bull. And Greg is getting his talking points from Tom DeLay apparently. The point isn’t to raise money. The point isn’t to lose a war (a war I supported initially and currently think we have to win). The point is to install competence into the position of Secretary of Defense who despite multiple failures this President says is doing a ‘superb job’.

I don’t want Rumsfeld to step down because it would hamper the effort in Iraq and in a separate fight against Al Qaeda, I want him to step down because he is hampering the effort in Iraq and in tracking down Al Qaeda.

Don’t Let the Facts Get in the Way of Hate

As the scandal over the treatment of prisoners at Abu Ghraib continues to unfold, some of our dim bulbs are coming out to defend the torture.

First up, the embarrassment to the State of Oklahoma known as the dumbest of the dumbest delegation, James Inhofe.

“I’m probably not the only one up at this table that is more outraged by the outrage than we are by the treatment,” the Oklahoma Republican said at a U.S. Senate hearing probing the scandal.

“These prisoners, you know they’re not there for traffic violations,” Inhofe said. “If they’re in cellblock 1-A or 1-B, these prisoners, they’re murderers, they’re terrorists, they’re insurgents. Many of them probably have American blood on their hands and here we’re so concerned about the treatment of those individuals.”

Coalition military intelligence officers estimated that about 70 percent to 90 percent of the thousands of prisoners detained in Iraq had been “arrested by mistake,” according to a report by Red Cross given to the Bush administration last year and leaked this week.

Oops. Mistakes happen.

Ah, but we have some home grown Illinois morons too:

Make the decision to invest the troops to win a battle in Iraq and prove to the insurgents there (and elsewhere) we can win. Remember, also, the Democrats didn?t care about the prisoners until pictures came out; it is all about the politics. Realize, too, as most Americans do, that our soldiers caught these prisoners with weapons they intended to use to ambush and kill Americans.

Tell them those prisoners? objective was to terrorize and that a quivering terrorist in women?s panties is turn-about and fair play. Humiliation is temporary and different from loosing roadside bombs or commandeering airplanes.

Never forget that, Secretary Rumsfeld.

Well between 10 – 30% of them were doing bad things. Of course, if we can stop the semantic vandalism, attacking troops in a combat zone is not terrorism, but guerrilla warfare. Depending on their status they may or may not be subject to the Geneva Convention. However, treating them with dignity, even if that is better than they would treat captured Americans is what a moral people do.

Word is McCain walked out on Inhofe. I think Senator McCain might understand the issues a bit better than the blowhard from Oklahoma.

Now the particular idiot from the Leader seems to miss the issue that such conduct specifically limits our ability to win in Iraq.

Senate Poll

by Wilson Research Strategies –no clear indication who the survey was for….
Obama 44%
Ryan 28%
Undecided 18%

Both candidates perform well among their party base with Ryan currently receiving 71% of the vote among registered Republicans and Obama taking 79% of Democrats. However, Obama has a commanding lead among Independent voters leading 44% to 15% among those self described as being registered Independent. Obama also leads Ryan among men 41% to 31% and women 46% to 24%.

“Clearly, if Ryan has any hope of making this a competitive race he must do two things, first continue to grow his lead with Republicans and find a way to communicate with Independents,” Adams said. “With 33% of those surveyed self describing as independents, the Independent vote will play a crucial part of any winning coalition and right now Obama is doing a better job of winning their trust.”

MOE +/-4.9%

Why Can’t Phil Crane Raise Money in His District?

One of my favorite Congressman, who happens to be a Republican is Jim Leach. He raises nearly all of his funds in District and his attitude is that if he loses–that’s the will of the people. Others in Congress have a different idea. One of them is Phil Crane (IL-8) who gets about 2/3 of his money from PACs, but yet can’t deliver even modest infrastructure to his District.

So today we welcome his opponent, Melissa Bean as an advertiser here on ArchPundit. Let’s help her even out the race by giving or volunteering–click on the ad to the right (below Obama ad for today).