May 2004

White is Black

Joining the Holy War against gay marriage is Kevin McCullough who says:

Check Obama?s own campaign literature. The State Senator was a co-sponsor of Senate Bill 101. Defeated for years by narrow margins in Springfield the State Senator is proud to have associated himself with a bill that mandates discrimination on the simple basis of chosen sexual behavior.

For those playing at home, SB 101 would make sexual orientation a suspect classification meaning taking it into account in employment would face a high legal barrier. How that is mandating discrimination is beyond those who understand the English language.

The rest is an attack on Obama’s position on gay marriages, but fails to mention that Obama is against gay marriage and for civil unions with the same rights. While I’m for the same rights, I understand the political tightrope he is playing on. So let’s be clear here, Obama is for civil unions that have the same rights under law as marriage, but doesn’t want to call them marriage because he sees that as a religious sacrament.

For those wondering why African-Americans, who consistently poll as more socially conservative than other groups, continue to vote for the more liberal social party, you might notice that the Republican Party also has another set of issues that poll poorly amongst African-Americans–racial issues. There is a way to reach out to African-Americans and it is the issues that matter most to them. I think both parties would be better off and African-Americans would be better off with more competition for their votes. However, we aren’t at that point yet.

Of politicians making serious efforts, I can only think of Jim Talent (R-MO) who spends significant time talking to African-Americans in their communities. He has monthly meetings with small business owners who are African-American. While results are not so big so far, a sustained effort like that is more likely to work than demagoguing on gay marriage.

After all, something the supposedly small government party might want to remember is–don’t like Gay Marriage? Don’t perform one, don’t have one, and it isn’t your problem.

The Circular Firing Squad Team of the GOP is By Design

Greg’s point about the Republicans deserves more attention:

The circular firing squad is often used to describe the Illinois GOP. However, they are the exception rather than the rule. The IL GOP is still fighting the 1970’s battles between the old line GOP permanent minority and the Reaganites. Since that battle has been won at the national level, and the Republican Party is the Party of Reagan, look for it to happen in Illinois, too.

(This of course begs the question of whether or not the Repbulican party becoms the dominant party in Illinois. That’s a different discussion>)

Republican conservatives understand that tearing down the old party is what they want. They want to have those fights and then build the party up to challenge Democrats on a host of social conservative issues including taxes and morality issues.

The argument is that once the party is pure, the party can then win elections again by being correct. The problem is that the way to win elections is get 50% +1 of the vote and I am always confused by how moving to the right attracts that moderate voter.

Politics is a game of coalitions, and I just don’t see how a conservative based party can hope to win in a moderate to moderately liberal state. California’s recent recall election I think makes my point–Arnold won largely because he ran in the middle–not to the far right. He doesn’t appear to be helping down ballot social conservatives gain a foothold so I’m all for the plan to remake the Illinois Republican Party as conservative only–it’ll help Democrats.

On the other hand, a more effective strategy is to include people like Tom Cross who isn’t socially conservative and is close to the median voter.

Are There Two Illinois Circular Firing Squad Teams?

Greg asks a good question over at a New Can of Worms.

The liberal make up of the democrats makes a split a forgone conclusion. This is because they are all competing for government attention. Nationally, Republicans have determined they only want one thing from government and that is to be left alone.

It’s easier to unify around not wanting something than competing for funding…That’s the current national Republican coalition’s advantage.

Logrolling, Greg, logrolling builds coalitions. It isn’t pretty, but it always works.

That said he points out the recent strains between the Governor and, well, everyone else.

Let’s run down the issues:

The following is a summary of several issues Rich Miller is covering at the Capitol Fax:

1) Madigan on the budget–Blagorgeous wants to borrow for essentially current expenditures, Madigan thinks its irresponsible

2) Madigan on education–Madigan is actually worried that the Illinois Constitution may matter. Blagorgeous has moved to a position that is at least Constitutional

3) Everone on University’s health care options–DOA and being allowed to rebid

4) Everyone on reorganization of state agencies–Senate Exec Committee voted a bill out to kill the move

5) Hynes points out the State Constitution to Filan. Filan asks for an audit from the Comptroller apparently unaware of the only appointed State Officer who would normally be in charge of Audits. He’s called the State Auditor.

6) Madigan on trucking fees—Madigan is calling for relief for trucking companies from the last series of fees by Blagorgeous

7) Madigan on Spending–Madigan has called for reductions in Blagorgeous’ call for increased spending

Now there are some issues of tension between Madigan and Emil Jones.

1) The Willmette Bill advanced out of a sub-committee designed to kill it in the House. The Bill would allow for self-defense as a defense against charges for illegally having a hand gun where banned. It’s a strange bill for obvious legal reasons, but it uncovers a little known bit that the Illinois House is far more friendly to gun owners than people realize.

2) Educational issues with a compromise coming out of the Senate on the Board of Ed

3) Madigan brought Senate Minority Leader Frank Watson over for testimony on a bill to reduce the Governor’s ability to borrow

Mostly though, we aren’t seeing a circular firing squad, we are seeing a firing squad with a nice hair cut as the target.

Now to make it worse, Blagorgeous is playing hardball with lege members with press tactics:

THE HOLE Governor Blagojevich is employing an unusual, some say patronizing, lobbying method this week.

The governor is asking House Democrats to fill out a form that reveals whether they support or oppose six bills to increase business taxes which made it through the House Revenue Committee yesterday. The state representatives are required to put their names on the top of the form.

This is a highly unusual method, to say the least. Usually, legislative liaisons wander through the chamber or visit members in their offices and mark up their own rollcalls. This can lead to some misunderstandings and outright flip-flops, however, so the guv has decided to put everyone on record. Word is the governor’s staff has told some legislators that they want to use the form to find out “who our friends are.”

Jones has said no to ag ‘fee’ increases

JONES NIXES AG TAXES Senate President Emil Jones met with some farmers early yesterday morning, then returned to Springfield and said he wouldn’t back the governor’s tax hikes on farmers. The farmers were constituents of Sen. John Sullivan, Jones’ most highly targeted incumbent. The announcement was yet another blow to the governor, whose tax hike plans are rapidly falling apart.

Jones and Madigan have issues, but those are normal tensions. The Blagorgeous is starting to see a wholesale defection and given his apparent inability to do anything, but hold press conferences and look Blagorgeous, he is seriously reducing his ability to work with the Lege.

And he is making a fairly effective challenger within the party of Miguel de Valle.

Normally, the Executive has the ability to divide and conquer his legislative allies, but that is a balancing act and currently, the Governor has shown little ability to attract support and the Lege is showing a fairly decent ability to ignore him.

The DCCC Name That Book Contest

Denny, the Speaker (only the truly important Mike Madigan and actual south sider gets Da in Illinois politcs), has written a book entitled

“Speaker”

That?s why HOH is proud to announce the first-ever ?Give Denny Hastert?s Book a Better Name Contest.?

Send your ideas to hoh@rollcall.com, and the best suggestions will be published in an upcoming column. Please keep it clean, folks, because Roll Call is a family newspaper. HOH is also sure that there will be lots of uses of the words ?coach,? ?team? and ?teamwork,? so be sure to use your imagination.

Kjellander, O’Hare, wrestling, and other jokes are encouraged. Either e-mail hoh@rollcall.com. Keep those clean, feel free to be more ‘free’ in comments.

Though frankly, I’d love for a Blagorgeous book right now. Given his attention span each chapter would be a page.

If it was Only Abu Ghraib

I would be upset, but understand that one series of incidents doesn’t warrant the SecDef being fired during wartiem.

The reality is that Rumsfeld has a series of screw-ups that are amazing in their breadth.

In comments, Greg Blankenship made a point that some in the Pentagon are probably trying to get Rumsfeld with this scandal because of the way he has tried to remake the Pentagon as well as other turf battles. This may be true and I don’t doubt there are folks out there looking to make like difficult for him.

That said, he has run two wars and the Pentagon transformation in many ways that are simply not tolerable. If transformation is needed (and I think that is questionable right right now) then let someone capable do it.

Check over the weekend

Check back over the weekend for content–there will be some this weekend. No GOP convention though–sick little girl.

in the meantime go to the right–Barack Obama, Melissa Bean and Join Cross–the Join Cross folks will probably update from the convention, but probably skip the juicy stuff….

And Tari Renner! has joined us! The ad is a special one so it won’t be in rotation, but will be up. More on Tari’s campaign over the weekend and more on the Bean race. I still have a couple slots available for anyone else. The rules are they rotate except for the Obama ad which was my very first ad and I a made a promise for it. The others rotate one spot each day. $10/week–$15/two weeks–$20/month. The site averages between 350-500 visits on a weekday.