March 2004

Illinois Presidential Poll

The Peoria-Journal Star reports that a Mason Dixon poll puts the race at 47 for Kerry and 39 for Bush. While it has Kerry slightly lower than recent polls, Bush still doesn’t break 40. He will in the general, but not by much. 12 percent undecided and 2 for Nader. I’m unconcerned about Nader in Illinois. In fact, the little bastard should have campaigned here instead of Florida last time.

Chicago and Cook (note margins of error are greater in subsamples)
Kerry 58
Bush 29
Undecided 10

Collar Counties
Kerry 39
Bush 48
Undecided 11

Central Illinois
Kerry 38
Bush 45
Undecided 15

Southern Illinois
Kerry 39
Bush 44
Undecided 16

That Bush is held under 50 in Central Illinois is a pretty ominous sign.

Mason-Dixon Polling and Research Inc. of Washington, D.C., conducted the poll of 625 registered voters Monday through Wednesday. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Illinois Republican Senate Nomination Cattle Call 3-13

1. Ryan. No evidence of mass exodus and no hard evidence. Have to wonder if dangling will kill him.

2. Rauschenberger. If only.

3. Oberweis. Old white guys who don’t like minorities are a significant portion of the Republican voting block. However, Mark Brown is wrong about the price of his ice cream, it is indeed worth the price, especially for the pumpkin. Brown is correct about the 10,000 scoops of bigotry.

4. McKenna. Bus tour downstate. People confused over why the boring guy wants to shake their hand.

5. Borling. Mainly going for comedy at this point making fun of Ryan. The Channel 2 clip was classic.

6. Wright. Right wing Wright has a future.

7. Kathuria. Touts health benefits of hormone free cows for producing milk for his home delivery milk business on his resume.

Illinois Democratic Senate Cattle Call 3-13

1. Obama. On the air downstate. Strangely the only one I’ve seen today. Otherwise stable. Getting love from the DSCC, and Dodd gave him a call.

2. Hynes. Pumping up the machine, working on turnout.

3. Hull. All over the air apparently and workers everywhere. Halsted had volunteers on every corner.

4. Pappas. On the air south, but while the commercial introduces her well, it doesn’t tell anything about her views. A little late in the cycle.

5. Chico. Not much happening except that downstate Officer claims Hull’s people tried to bribe him.

6. Skinner. What is the point again?

7. Washington. Thanks for playing and I’m glad to hear you are successful in business. You have something to fall back on.