Hull obviously collapsed, but given his campaign was built upon name recognition to be followed up with issues, once he was taken off message the result shouldn’t be that surprising. He spent the last three weeks talking about personal issues.
Hynes is coming in at the bare base of what might be expected for him. While it removes any sense that he is invincible, I wouldn’t bet against him in the 2010 Governor’s race.
Pappas just ran into a buzzsaw. One thing that became clear over the last few days is that Obama’s campaign had taken on a life of its own. Not as much of a life as it took on, but a life of its own. Pappas just fell into the background.
On the Republican side, Jack! kept his share of the vote, but certainly wasn’ t overwhelming. Rauschenberger did have a large surge, but just a little too late. Expect him in the next Governor’s race. The wildcard is whether he’ll run against O’Malley who has been running since Jim Ryan beat him last time. By the time the general election is over, I have a feeling the Republicans will be wishing they had voted for the less exciting Rauschenberger.
In a Democratic leaning state any Republican faces an uphill battle. That said, I think a variety of issues will keep Ryan from getting traction. Frankly, I think he is just too conservative for Illinois. Charisma helps, but his speaking skills aren’t as good as advertised. But I’ve been wrong before.
Rich Miller pointed out that Daley has every reason to work hard for Obama, or he might just run for something more locally and with the numbers tonight, he win in just about anything except maybe a showdown with the Mayor himself.
But Kass says it in a much more entertaining way
“O’Bama!” Musical. (PG). Cuba Gooding Jr. Gene Hackman. Musical about Irish-American Democratic political bosses led by Hackman, who rush to adopt an African-American Senate candidate (Gooding). No, I mean, they really adopt him. Includes the hit song: “Youse Can’t Run Fer Mare If Yer Stuck in Washington, D.C.”
This is absolutely a stunning win. I thought Pundit was being overly optimistic at 36% and I expected a Hynes surge. Reports that voting was down in Madison county led me to believe that Hynes was finished, but he was MORE than finished.
I would like to point out the loss of Charles Morrow to Milton Patterson. I’m pretty shocked about this loss. Morrow is a good guy and I have a lot of respect for him. I worked with him and while I wouldn’t say we were friends (he didn’t like downstate crackers like me), he was a great representative. I hope Patterson does as well for his constituents.
Congrats to Obama.
Happy St. Patricks day, all. Go on home, British soldier, go on home…
Arch-
Last week, you ran my post where I stated that people were vastly over-stating the Hynes organizational strength. Thanks.
Now we have proof — just look at the 19th Ward numbers — Tom Hynes’ ward — in the Senate race.
Dad’s home ward organization delivered the home ward for only a 2,000 vote plurality — Hynes barely broke 50% in his own “machine ward.
Madigan and Daley produced huge margins for Hynes.
Mark my words — this will be the inside talk of the entire Chicago Democrat community over the coming days. The 19th ward performance for Hynes is a political catastrophe for both father and son.
Look at the vote totals. Obama may get more votes than all the Republicans COMBINED. Holy Cow.