Illinois Senate Republican Nomination Cattle Call 7-31

Not the timeliness, but trying to ferret out names is damn near impossible

1). OneMan. He’s tan he rested, and he’s ready. Actually, I’ve seen a picture and he’s lying about being tan, but it is a good line. I’ll be starting the OneMan Truth Squad within the week.

2) The Obama Truth Squad. It’s not like the GOP is going to win, so might as well go negative cheap. 😉

3). Elizabeth Gorman. Reading the tea leaves at the Trib, it sounds like most of the movement is towards her. I wouldn’t take it for granted though, she’s insisting on money:

“It’s flattering, but at the same time, too, there are other candidates out there being considered,” she said Friday. If she ran, she said she would need “the support of the party, various financial commitments and people commitments.”

Two red flags. She appears to be Judy Barr Topinka’s candidate which will set off the right wing. Second, her big sponsor has long been Eddie Vrdolyak. Even more interesting is her husband has business ties to him and Fast Eddie is often rumored to run a loose ethical ship. More than anything, isn’t it time to exile that clown from both parties?

4) Robert Plummer. Random construction guy promises to put $5 million into his own campaign. And people are using the office computers to promote his candidacy

A political neophyte who is unknown other than having lots of cash. That is certainly a winning strategy for everyone this cycle.

5) Orion Samuelson. He’ll have a really good radio commercial I bet. He seems to have the good sense to insist on guaranted funding too. Now, who isn’t already thinking of Les Nessman and turkeys falling from a helicopter?

6) Throw in the towel.

7) Beg Paul Vallas to come back and switch parties

8) John Cox. Well no one actually likes the guy, but he does have some cash to put into the race.

9) Corinne Wood. The choice if you just want to sit back and watch the fireworks as the Pat O’Malley faction works to elect Obama.

10) Borling. Fairly popular with many Central Committee Board members, but kind of hard to choose a guy, heroic as he is, who only got 3% of the primary vote.

11) Norm! Held back from security at debates because no one can vouch for who he is.

12) The OberFurher. The President hates him. He is insisting on getting party support. Latino numbers are bad already. An open invitation to Barack to travel to every pocket of Latino voters in the Country and provide a contrast between the parties for them. IOW, not going to happen.

13) Jonathan Wright. Who?

14) Kathuria. Resume Line: An answer to a trivial pursuit answer asking who President Barack Obama beat in his first US Senate election.

Hull Was the Party Leader’s Choice?

errr…Matt Yglesias argues this, but it is a gross misreading of the Illinois political scene and the national party in the state. The myth has grown that Hull was the frontrunner and had the organizational support because he had the ability to self-fund. Certainly some looked at that as a positive, but I think I’m a reasonably good analyst for Illinois politics and I had Hull in the third position up until the last few weeks. The reason was he had some organizational support including Mell and behind the scenes, the Governor. But the candidate most friendly to national party leaders was Dan Hynes who has a father who is a national committeeman and was tied into the party hierarchy.

Even then though, Barack was always considered a strong contender. I dare say no one thought he’d win the race with over 50%, but no one argued that the organizational preference of the party was for Hull.

The organization isn’t a single thing in Illinois for one thing. Hynes was tied to the old ethnics. Barack had the ascendant black leadership headed, but not ruled by the Jacksons and Hull had the Governor’s folks. Adding to it both Pappas and Chico had elements of the leadership supporting them.

Hull himself followed a Corzine like strategy, but he did it solely on his personal fortune, not at the behest of the DSCC which largely stayed out of the deal.

In short, national blogger doesn’t get Illinois politics.

Via Os-Blog which covers similar points.