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The Innovative Aaron Strangelove

“While I have offered innovative ideas based completely on President Reagan’s successful strategy to end the Cold War, my opponents are operating cynical campaigns of being quick to attack while offering no substance on the issues what-so-ever themselves,” said Schock. “The people are tired of cynical candidates who run for office while avoiding dealing with our nation’s challenges while problems get worse. Our country needs leaders who are willing to address problems instead of waiting until they become a crisis.”

As I mentioned before, the policy he advocates is directly contradicted by the policy of the Reagan administration.  Reagan sought to strengthen the NPT framework and worked towards moving South American nations away from developing nuclear weapons.  To do that , he didn’t threaten China, he used diplomacy.

The Full Embrace of Teh Crazy

Via Bill Dennis, Schock’s entire response:

(PEORIA) Representative Aaron Schock responded to opponent Jim McConoughey’s criticism of Schock’s recent comprehensive proposal to seek ways of preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, by pointing out that there are three alternatives:

1. Seek new ways of pressuring China and Russia to heed their UN Security Council responsibilities by voting for the third set of United Nations sanctions on Iran. Sanctions that nearly all foreign policy analysts believe would force the Iranian regime to abandon its nuclear ambitions, or fall from power because of the economic collapse the powerful sanctions would cause inside Iran.

2. Do nothing and allow Iran to continue to flout the will of the International Community by continuing its unrelenting drive to acquire nuclear weapons. Without the third set of international sanctions, Iran will continue to be in a position to have nuclear weapons within a year and become a nuclear terrorist nation.”

3. Go to war with Iran.

“I favor the first option, which is the only option that will resolve the Iranian threat diplomatically and peacefully,” said Schock.

“Iran is a regime that has used every weapon it has ever acquired,” said Schock. “I do not intend to go to Congress and sit idly by while Iran gets nuclear weapons. This is a grave threat to our country and it requires tough diplomatic strategy to resolve peacefully without an invasion or war.”

“It is unacceptable to stand by while our nation is put in a position where the only option to prevent Iran from getting nuclear weapons is to go to war,” said Schock.

Schock continued, “The fulcrum here is China. We need to introduce new diplomatic prods to China to get them to do what is right. The Chinese are hard to move diplomatically. The one thing that gets their attention is Taiwan. We must have China’s support to enact the sanctions which will end this crisis and it is naïve to think otherwise. The Chinese need to know how seriously we consider the threat of Iran acquiring nuclear weapons. I do not want to sell nuclear weapons to Taiwan, I want China’s cooperation in dealing with Iran.”

The first step in the diplomatic dance that is necessary to prevent Iran getting nuclear weapons is to strengthen our President’s hand in negotiations. My comprehensive proposal on the Iranian threat will undermine the Iranian regime by their own people and get China’s attention to become a partner in stopping this threat from Iran.”

“While I have offered innovative ideas based completely on President Reagan’s successful strategy to end the Cold War, my opponents are operating cynical campaigns of being quick to attack while offering no substance on the issues what-so-ever themselves,” said Schock. “The people are tired of cynical candidates who run for office while avoiding dealing with our nation’s challenges while problems get worse. Our country needs leaders who are willing to address problems instead of waiting until they become a crisis.”

In his news conference today, McConoughey made a stunningly naïve comment when he said it’s not for Congress to play a role in developing foreign policy. If he really believes that maybe he intends to abolish the House International Relations Committee. America’s Constitutional Founders certainly envisioned a role for Congress in working with the President and sometimes Presidents have successfully used tough Congressional proposals as diplomatic weapons to effectively negotiate with adversaries.

The only thing on foreign policy that McConoughey has offered so far in this campaign is to advocate pulling our troops out of Iraq and placing them in Kuwait and Qatar. That is hypocritical considering his comments today that it is not for Congress to play a role in foreign policy. It is also naïve in that it assumes these countries would be willing to host American troops right after America cut and ran in Iraq.

McConoughey is now on record as being soft on Iraq, Iran and China. He is running in the wrong primary.

Don’t Taser Me Bro

Err.. the police blogs and message boards are in a tizzy that people actually criticized officers for tasering an 82 year old woman with a hammer.

It is certainly true that one could use a taser when attacked with a hammer.  However, a 5’1″ 82 year old? There’s a bit of commonsense that says you might be able to disarm her without a weapon.  In or out of use of force guidelines, if you feel horribly threatened by an old woman with a hammer to the point you do not think you can take it away from her, you might have worked with the landlord to get a hold of the family first.

Just a thought.

Ledes That Suck

Hunter. Who else?

The indisputable force of Hillary Clinton, her tenacious lead for the Democratic nomination, has finally “fired up” Barack Obama and made him “ready to go” — to use his own campaign refrain.

Now reading the rest, let me suggest something.  I write a lot of sentences that are awkward and have too many clause. However, I’m writing a blog.  She is not.  Someone edit the woman.

Learn To Read a Poll Asshat

Mark Blumenthal points out that Mark Halperin is a miserable fucking excuse for a journalist.

Yesterday, I wrote about an aspect of the way the media has been covering the campaign that “makes me want to scream.” Today, we have a story about a new poll in New Hampshire that may turn me into Howard Beale.

Via The Page we learn of a new telephone survey of just 401 “likely primary voters” conducted November 1-4 by Boston/New Hampshire television station WBZ and Franklin Pierce University (story, results, tables). Given the small sample size (which includes likely voters for each primary), the initial intent may have been to focus on issues of interest to all primary voters rather than the usual trial-heat results. Issues were the focus of the poll story that WBZ broadcast last night. But that is not the way it worked out in their online article.

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The lead:

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and New York Senator Hillary Clinton continue to hold on to their lead in the latest WBZ/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire Primary Poll.

The story also characterizes Hillary Clinton’s “lead” as “very strong.”

The problem? The WBZ/Franklin Pierce poll did not ask a question about vote preference (at least not that was referenced in the story or any of the materials posted online, and our calls to the number provided in the PDF were not answered). Here are the two questions they asked that were referenced in the story:

Mark Halperin is very serious though.

Mark Halperin Meets a Real Journalist

Claims Lynn Sweet got her secrecy column on Obama from Clinton Researchers

Mark Halperin is a miserable fucking excuse for a journalist.

Lynn Sweet has been taking Obama to task on transparency for some time. In fact, the first column I noted was on September 10, 2004. I have a few more references interspersed at this search, but that isn’t even all of the columns/posts she has done on Obama and transparancy.
There are a couple cases where I think she was being a bit nitpicky, but mostly I cannot disagree with her. Obama has said he wants to run a more open campaign and she’s doing a straight up story on whether he’s meeting his own goals. The best was probably when she tracked down Bill Burton’s office before the campaign had even created a campaign office.

Sweet does something Halperin might consider doing–she looks up facts and then reports them.

Hello McFly

Markos in the Hill

For seven years, Americans outside Washington observed Bush and his Republican allies break every single promise they ever made to the American people.

They haven’t captured Osama bin Laden, dead or alive. They haven’t accomplished our mission in Iraq. They haven’t guaranteed insurance for millions of poor children. They haven’t “defend[ed] the Constitution of the United States” from attacks on our civil liberties.

Meanwhile, Bush and his svengali Karl Rove consistently achieved new heights of hyperpartisanship — always quicker to demonize the opposition than to compromise. So in 2006, the nation struck back with a resounding message — unitary Republican control was no longer acceptable. A wave of new Democrats was elected to oppose the Bush Republican agenda. House Democrats won the national vote by a solid 54-46, while Senate Dems crushed their Republican rivals, 54-42.

But D.C. is a funny place. No one seems to have gotten that resounding message, certainly not Bush and the new Republican minority. More surprisingly, Democrats also failed to get the message. On issue after issue, the Democratic norm has been to capitulate to the slightest pressure from the GOP. And while the public has meted record-low approval ratings for this Congress in response, the lesson apparently remains unlearned.

Whether it’s Iraq funding or the Michael Mukasey confirmation, Democrats continue to give away the store without receiving any concessions in return. It’s a one-way street in a town that has ceded Article I of the Constitution for a unitary, non-compromising executive. The public is sick of this administration’s betrayals. Why aren’t Democrats?

Kotowski’s Sales Tax Cap

Because lord knows the County Board needs adult supervision:

I’m not generally a fan of this sort of limitation as it can lead to serious long term problems, but I think the current County Board needs to be limited.

Other interesting things Dan has been up to:

12?October?2007 – Senator Dan Kotowski By: Kotowski Staff
SPRINGFIELD, IL – Illinois State Senator Dan Kotowski (D- Park Ridge) says people continue to be priced out of Cook County’s Suburban because of skyrocketing property taxes, but the Park Ridge Senator says help is on the way.The bill extends the 7% property cap for an additional three years. It also increases the maximum exemption from $20,000 in the first year to $33,000, then phases it out over the next two years by reducing it to $26,000, and finally to $20,000.“This law will provide immediate property tax relief for people in our district.” Kotowski added, “It addresses the real and frightening prospect that people are being taxed out of their homes.”

Kotowski said, “I voted to override the governor’s veto because of the pressing and serious needs of property owners in my district. This law is a good first step to reduce the burden on homeowners, and to review and improve the property tax assessment process. It also will provide much needed property tax relief to veterans based on the extent of their disability.”

Kotowski concluded, “We need to do a better job of keeping people, families, seniors and veterans in their homes. They ensure that businesses thrive, schools succeed, and communities stay strong. This law keeps us moving forward in that direction.”

Those of you who follow the blog too closely, probably know I have a bit of an obsession with property taxes as I did help on some of the ratio studies done in relation to Missouri’s school funding disputes.

The Governor whined about the bill because it wasn’t permanent, but that misses an important point. In general, you shouldn’t get a permanent cap because market forces should eventually reach an equilibrium. For the last several years a housing bubble has been going up and up and up and, in fact, the ratio studies for the next cycle are likely to show further increases even though property values will be slowing. By capping the rate of increase temporarily, you can make sure the rates don’t go up too fast for owners to effectively plan for the increases.

In the long term, people shouldn’t be shielded from increasing values, but in the short term, market fluctuations are a significant problem and in a setting with incredible rates of default, reducing those increases is good policy. Using the Governor’s strategy of a permanent cap, people would have every incentive not to sell property and slow the housing market over the long term.

There’s no perfect policy, but Kotowski’s solution is a pretty decent way of addressing a pretty unstable market.