Illinois Congressional Races

19 Nobel Laureates Endorse Foster

It’s true they aren’t going to work many precincts, but this groups is pretty impressive:

Alexei Abrikosov
Peter Agre
James W Cronin
Johann Deisenhofer
Jerome Friedman
Sheldon Glashow
Roy Glauber
David Gross
John Hall
Dudley Herschbach
Roald Hoffmann
Harold Kroto
Leon Lederman
Douglas Osheroff
David Politzer
Norman F. Ramsey
Sherwood Rowland
George Smoot
Frank Wilczek

Smoot was the first name I recognized–he pretty much confirmed expansion with his work in cosmology.  The great humor here is that assuming Foster goes to the general election, two off the three Republcians probably don’t accept that the Big Bang occurred, while Foster’s supporters proved them wrong in oh so many ways.

I believe there are only two physicists in Congress right now–Vern Ehlers from Michigan and Rush Holt from New Jersey.

IL-10: Tenth Best Funded Challenger

 CQ

10) Illinois’ 10th District (North and northwest Chicago suburbs — Waukegan)

Challenger: Dan Seals, Democrat ($567,000 raised, $499,000 cash on hand)

Incumbent: Republican Rep. Mark Steven Kirk ($1.8 million raised, $1.5 million cash on hand)

Seals, a marketing executive, made a strong candidate debut as the 2006 Democratic challenger to Kirk, whose 53 percent vote share in the anti-Republican political environment was far less than he received in his two other re-election campaigns in the politically competitive, mainly suburban 10th District north of Chicago.

The Feb. 5 Democratic primary will attract more attention than did the 2006 Democratic primary, a low-profile race that Seals easily won. Seals this time faces a strong primary opponent in Jay Footlik, who as a former aide to President Bill Clinton was chief liaison to the American Jewish constituency. Footlik reported raising $480,000 and had $414,000 left to spend as October began.

Kirk, one of just eight current House Republicans from districts President Bush did not win in 2004, has raised more campaign money than any other House Republican this year.

One of the advantages of a primary is that everyone is pushing for money and it brings headlines too…

Mea Culpa on Immigration

I got a bit of an earful on the immigration post–much of which was valid.  From the most recent poll from Democracy Corps I am starting to see the issue:

So here’s where the issue is–it isn’t salient on it’s own, but the Republican position framed as the Republicans like the issue benefits them when they can raise the salience.  Given this is about the only position they have with popular support this cycle, expect to see lots of immigration commercials.

And, dammit, Rahm was right, though I think there are fairly easy ways to innoculate oneself without moving to the right which is what participants have told others he said and creates an even bigger problem in the long run, but innoculating oneself by calling for comprehensive reform that includes enforcement is certainly reasonable.

Memo To Lipinski, Make sure you don’t drive away with anyone on the hood of your car

In touch with the people:

Meanwhile, U.S. Rep. Dan Lipinski (D-Ill.), a subcommittee member who requested Monday’s hearing, said he remains optimistic that a funding deal will be worked out in Springfield before Sunday when the CTA will eliminate 39 bus routes and Pace will stop running shuttle buses to suburban Metra stations due to huge budget deficits.

“I am confident the state and local governments will address the immediate needs,” Lipinski said.

Differing from others who testified, Lipinski maintained that “fortunately, Chicago already has a world-class transportation system.”

His views were not well received by disabled transit activists who disrupted the hearing for about 10 minutes, chanting, “We need transit now” and “What about the money for the CTA?”

Confident Springfield will work things out… that makes exactly one person who believes that.

When You Don’t Let Media Buyers Make the Buying Decisions

One of the pet peeves of many who watch Democratic campaigns is the weird obsession with broadcast TV buys over cable TV buys.  The Nicki Tsongas race involved huge broadcast buys that were a waste of money given they were targeting people in the area who could not vote in MA-5.  Republican candidates often use cable buys to more effectively target buys geographically and even more so, reach likely voters by picking shows with the right demographics.

The theory is that because of the way many Democratic Ad makers take a percentage of ad buys, it encourages choices to go on broadcast.

Pera’s campaign has gone cable:

From now until late-December the ad will be regularly appearing on a cable channels

[kml_flashembed movie="http://www.youtube.com/v/pzC9TOpg1lc" width="425" height="350" wmode="transparent" /]

Also, CQ chimed in on the race:

Challenger: Democrat Mark Pera, Illinois’ 3rd District ($240,000 raised, $181,000 cash-on-hand)
Incumbent: Rep. Dan Lipinski ($305,000 raised, $321,000 cash-on-hand)
Primary: February 5

Pera, a lawyer, is running to Lipinski’s left and criticizing the incumbent’s votes against abortion and embryonic stem cell research, while the incumbent will emphasize a record that includes service on the Transportation and Infrastructure Committee. Other Democratic candidates in the Feb. 5 primary election include Palos Hills mayor Jerry Bennett, who reported receipts of $56,000 and cash-on-hand of $50,000, and lawyer Jim Capparelli, who took in $12,900 and has $4,400 left to spend.

If you want high comedy, check out Capparelli’s report that is almost as bad as Mike Kelly’s last cycle.  Not one donor has an occupation or employer listed.

But Why Mark Pera?

A big part of the time talking about IL-3 is spent bashing Dan Lipinski. And for good reason, but there’s another aspect that I’ve neglected and that is why I support Mark Pera.

I was somewhat skeptical of Pera run after the Sullivan race last time. John was a great, great guy, but just wasn’t able to put a campaign together. So when I was trying to organize the regional caucus for Yearly Kos I ended up e-mailing a ton of people and one was Pera and his early campaign advisors. He sounded like a nice guy and that’s not always a good sign. Also, there were rumors of a more establishment candidate who would have good access to fundraising and I’m not above choosing electability.
However, I got the chance to sit down and talk with him for a bit at Yearly Kos and I was very impressed. Mark was sitting down outside the main hall doing some reading before Pat Botterman took him around to chat with some folks. The first thing I noticed was how easy going he was. I sat down to chat with him and he was one of the most approachable candidates I’ve met. We comfortably talked about our families and jobs before even getting into the politics.

This kind of easiness is important when campaigning and being able to listen well is often the best characteristic of a good candidate. Too many Democrats launch into rants about policy or such without establishing that personal connection.

When we turned to politics, he pulled off what I consider an essential element of a good candidate–he was passionate, but not the angry guy shaking his fist. He talked about the stakeholders he had met with and the general frustration they had with Lipinski including pro-choice advocates, embryonic stem cell research advocates, immigration rights activists, anti-war activists, and civil liberty advocates.

Finally, he told me he took a leave from work to campaign full time. Challengers cannot run effective campaigns part time. There is simply too much work to do in raising name recognition and fundraising to make that work.

Checking into Mark’s background was interesting as well. He was a private attorney until 1996 when he ran for the State House losing by a few points to a Republican. Instead of going back to private practice he went to work for the State’s Attorney’s office which is like a reverse career pattern for most lawyers. If a lawyer is going to work in an SA office, they do it early and then either make that their career or move on to make more money in private practice. He didn’t and likely took a decent pay cut compared to his previous work.

And he worked on interesting cases working on public utilities and the environment. He took part in the closing of the incredibly dirty Premcor refinery and pointed out the folly of the reverse auction con in Illinois for electric utilities. The choice to work for the State’s Attorney office on such issues is an incredible testament to his commitment to the public.

There’s another aspect of his background that impressed me as well. He came from the are and worked his way up. He worked in the steel mills in East Chicago and Gary before college and largely worked his way through school. It’s quite a contrast to a guy who was handed his seat in Congress by his Dad.

It’s easy to want to beat Lipinski, but that doesn’t always mean you getting a great candidate–in this case we are.

Mark is progressive, committed to the race, and has incredibly life experiences that would make him a fantastic candidate to represent IL-3.

There’s a lot of talk that Lipinski is a placeholder for a few years until a young potential party guy is ready for the seat–this is the time to elect a guy who can work within the system, but who is also independent. Let’s take that opportunity and convert it.