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Nobel’s get it right I

Nobel’s get it right

I can’t believe they picked Smith and Kahneman are excellent choices. Kahneman and Tversky and Smith have opened a whole new line of inquiry that really allows us to test how people behave. Econ has always assumed that peopel are rational. In many cases though, we saw evidence to the contrary. Experimental economics is giving us the ability to investigate how people make decisions under different conditions and explode rationality into a useful concept beyond its theoretical parsimony. And go to Dynamist.com for some articles on Smith and his work.

Sully’s blows a gasket Mr.

Sully’s blows a gasket

Mr. Sullivan blows a gasket here under South Dakota Shenanigans attempting to take Josh Marshall to task. Notice the time stamp: 12:17:39 AM October 14th.

Mr. Sullivan meet Mr. Marshall:
Mr. Marshall does address the South Dakota massive voter fraud allegations. And, well, ummmm….it appears to be one person. Quick get Kit Bond on that podium now! Notice the time stamp:
October 13th, 2002 — 1:14 AM EDT

BUT THE HRC WAITED FOR THE ENTIRE NEWS CYCLE!

Zogby has Illinois wrong I’m

Zogby has Illinois wrong

I’m really not that critical of Zogby. He has experimented with some intriguing techniques to solve the reduction in response rates. However, the last few polls are funky. Here is some continuing evidence of the problem. CBS 2 has Blago and J-Ry at the same numbers as several polls including Zogby’s last one and the Durbin-Durkin race is dead on with others.

The other problem is inane political reporting.