October 2007

Ding, Ding, Ding

He even linked nicely to me lately even though I make fun of him, Andrew Sullivan hits the nail on the head for Obama:

A lot of people are asking if he will and whether he should directly attack Clinton. Of course he should attack Clinton, and, if he’s smart, he’ll focus on her endorsement of the Kyl-Lieberman amendment and her shilly-shallying over torture. But what he should really be doing is attacking Giuliani. The major worry many Democrats have is that Obama cannot stand up to Rudy-style “all-my-opponents-are-terrorists” politics. Give Rudy hell, tonight, Obama. That’s what you really have to prove.

Oh, and bloggers are even having a harder time getting the campaign to respond. Let me put this point on it–you know all those stories about the homophobic preacher even though the other campaigns have homophobic preachers all around—it would have helped to talk some folks through it.

Chuckles is Back

Charles Murray is talking about them smart Jews:

Of more concern: whether Jews should brag about their big brains, even if studies show them to have high intelligence. “You’ve got to talk about these things carefully,” said Murray, who learned the hard way. “Only an Iowan raised as a Presbyterian could get away with talking about Jewish IQ the way I can because Jews get so embarrassed about Jewish IQ: ‘We know we’re smart but don’t tell anyone else.’ ” By coincidence, the AEI forum came on a day that was rather good for Jews in Washington.

I’m an Illinoisan raised as a Presbyterian and I also have basic comprehension of statistics and why this qualifies as one of the most inane discussions even for one held at AEI.   At least Sullivan isn’t trained in statistics.  Murray’s an embarrasment and should go the way of John “Mary Rosh” Lott at AEI.

Oh, wait, AEI is full of very serious people.

Mea Culpa on Immigration

I got a bit of an earful on the immigration post–much of which was valid.  From the most recent poll from Democracy Corps I am starting to see the issue:

So here’s where the issue is–it isn’t salient on it’s own, but the Republican position framed as the Republicans like the issue benefits them when they can raise the salience.  Given this is about the only position they have with popular support this cycle, expect to see lots of immigration commercials.

And, dammit, Rahm was right, though I think there are fairly easy ways to innoculate oneself without moving to the right which is what participants have told others he said and creates an even bigger problem in the long run, but innoculating oneself by calling for comprehensive reform that includes enforcement is certainly reasonable.

At Least They Could Find Osama

Imagine John Boehner’s tears if a Democrat said this:

“This is the world we live in. It’s not this happy, romantic-like world where we’ll negotiate with this one, or we’ll negotiate with that one and there will be no preconditions, and we’ll invite Ahmadinejad to the White House, we’ll invite Osama to the White House,” said Giuliani.

“Hillary and Obama are kind of debating whether to invite them to the inauguration or the inaugural ball.”

Memo To Lipinski, Make sure you don’t drive away with anyone on the hood of your car

In touch with the people:

Meanwhile, U.S. Rep. Dan Lipinski (D-Ill.), a subcommittee member who requested Monday’s hearing, said he remains optimistic that a funding deal will be worked out in Springfield before Sunday when the CTA will eliminate 39 bus routes and Pace will stop running shuttle buses to suburban Metra stations due to huge budget deficits.

“I am confident the state and local governments will address the immediate needs,” Lipinski said.

Differing from others who testified, Lipinski maintained that “fortunately, Chicago already has a world-class transportation system.”

His views were not well received by disabled transit activists who disrupted the hearing for about 10 minutes, chanting, “We need transit now” and “What about the money for the CTA?”

Confident Springfield will work things out… that makes exactly one person who believes that.

They Aren’t Paying Attention…

As the blogosphere has declared every candidate out there has made fatal mistakes over and over again, it’s important to remember, the average voter doesn’t know much about any of that

[O]ur polling data show that much of this is sailing right over the heads of the average Republican voter out there across the land. Most startlingly – at least to me – the latest USA Today/Gallup poll indicates that 74% of Republicans say they are unsure where Rudy Giuliani stands on the issue of legal same sex unions. That’s little changed from January when we first asked this question.

Republicans are a little more knowledgeable about the fact that Giuliani is pro-choice on abortion. Still, more than half of the Republicans we recently interviewed said that they were unsure about where he stands on this issue — which has received a great deal of intense pundit and commentator scrutiny [link added].

The Trib Comes to Blagojevich’s Rescue

With virtually no one left to demonize in the state, Rod gets a gift from the Trib, one of the few institutions Democrats cannot stand more than Blagojevich.

He shows no inclination to resign from office. And while the state constitution does allow for his impeachment by the Illinois House and trial by the Senate, it’s doubtful legislators could bring themselves to such drastic action. So the realistic question becomes this: Given the multiple ineptitudes of Rod Blagojevich — his reckless financial stewardship, his dictatorial antics, his penchant for creating political enemies — should citizens create a new way to terminate a chief executive who won’t, or can’t, do his job?

What’s bizarre is this is the one time where traditional conservatism probably has the right idea and that is to let the popular will be funneled through elected officials.  And the Trib goes with populism. Absolutely wrong about absolutely everything on the editorial page.  If there is enough desire to remove him from office, the Lege can do it.  Or change to a parliamentary form which can adapt easily to varying election cycles.

Ultimately, while I cannot stand this Governor and even with those low expectations he keeps not meeting them, the problem is larger than just him. If you are going to change the government, change everyone–or allow everyone to be changed.  Dissolve the government and call for elections.  Allowing it to be done for only one branch will, in the long run, leave part of the problem in place. If you remove a Governor who replaces him? The Lieutenant Governor? In the particular case that would be fine, and hysterical to see Pat Quinn being the conciliator, but usually it leaves the problem in place.  Have a new election?  Remember, we just had one.

What is the Trib thinking?

Wanting to get rid of Rod Blagojevich is a natural and perfectly normal impulse for anyone paying attention, but ultimately, we are talking about the structure of state government. If you are going to have set election terms and separate branches between Executive and Legislative, the stability lost in recalls is a significant problem.

I’m not necessarily against some sort of recall, but the system should match the incentives and in the case of recall, it’s a tool to call an election when it suits your interests.  That only makes sense if everyone has to stand then and you recall the government, not just one pain in the ass.

The one time the Trib’s traditional conservativism would be advisable and they go all populist.

What is the Trib thinking?