July 2007

On the Bright Side

Shimkus not teaching students this crap

“When I taught government and history,” Shimkus added, “by definition, what is the best form of government, the most simple, is a compassionate monarchy – a monarchy that loves and respects its citizens and … is able to make easy decisions without the weight of a bureaucracy we’d have to fund.”

Shimkus taught in a private high school before he was in Congress.

There is a reasonable argument about liberalism versus populism. In the Political Science literature, Ryker’s Liberalism versus Populism makes a case that liberalism is more realistic, and certainly Fareed Zakaria has talked about the importance of developing institutions and conditions for democracy to flourish.  There may be a need for transitional arrangements before going directly to elections and certainly, as in the United States, you limit democracy to not interfering with individual rights.
However, no one in the right fucking mind says the best form of government is a , the most simple, is a compassionate monarchy.

Inherent in such systems is corruption and censorship.  Even within a Constitutional Monarchy such as Great Britain’s before it became a democracy, people censored and thrown in jail without adequate due process.

Of course, even Great Britain respected Habeas Corpus.

But What Are You Going To Do About It Mark? Concerned Kirk is Concerned

Kirk criticized the Libby Commutation:

There were detractors in the president’s own party, including north suburban Congressman Mark Kirk (R-Northbrook), who expressed his disappointment.

“He was indicted by a grand jury and convicted beyond the shadow of a doubt by one of the best prosecutors in America, Patrick Fitzgerald, and didn’t have a single member of a 12-member jury stand up with him,” Kirk said. “At that point, if you’ve done the crime,” you should do the time.

Are you going to have another meeting with the President where he ignores you and you do what he tells you to do, Mark?

The message from the lawmakers was “we’re all with you now, but we have concerns about where we will be next year,” a House GOP leadership aide said.

A GOP House aide told CNN that the meeting was a “proactive step” by the White House to meet with lawmakers who had reservations about Bush’s troop increase in Iraq to make sure they would not support a new Democratic proposal that would pay for the Iraq war in stages.

The aide predicted that there will be “no defections” when the proposal comes up for a vote today.

Bush said Wednesday that he would veto the bill.

Expressing concerns doesn’t change anything.  Voting against the President might.  Concerned Kirk isn’t going to do anything on his own though

Illinois: Seals Officially Kicks Off Second Try to Oust Kirk

Roll Call

http://www.rollcall.com/issues/52_144/atr/19061-1.html

Roll Call
Illinois: Seals Officially Kicks Off Second Try to Oust Kirk
June 21, 2007

On Wednesday Dan Seals (D) officially launched his bid for a rematch with Rep. Mark Kirk (R) in the 10th district.

Seals, who captured 47 percent of the vote last year despite being a complete unknown, does not have the Democratic field to himself, however.

Business consultant Jay Footlik (D) already said he would return to the area from Washington, D.C. — he grew up in Skokie, which is not in the 10th district, but has not lived in Illinois since high school — to run.

Local Democrats had hoped to clear the field for Seals, who in the words of one party activist who did not want to be named, had “earned it,” but they could not dissuade Footlik from running.

“I had a primary last time as well, and I’m a business person,” Seals said. “I’m used to competition and I welcome him to the race.”

Seals does not hide his disappointment with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee but said this is a new cycle.

“They didn’t really play much of a role in the last campaign, much to my chagrin, but this time they are paying close attention,” Seals said.
Read More

Democrats Make a Play for Hastert Seat

Democrats Make a Play for Hastert Seat
June 28, 2007
By Nicole Duran,
Roll Call Staff

It would be difficult to find a Republican, or Democrat, in Washington,
D.C., or Illinois who thinks former Speaker Dennis Hastert
(R-Ill.) will seek a 12th term next year.

Even with the tantalizing prospect of an open seat dangling in front of
both parties, Democrats seem to be the only ones mobilizing.

"I think it speaks to the real appetite for change in the district and
the frustration on the part of voters that not much is being done in
Washington," said Thomas Bowen, campaign manager for physicist Bill
Foster (D).

Foster already has a team in place, dropped his first mailing and
declared this week that he intends to spend $1 million of his own money
to secure the 14th district Democratic nomination and another $1 million
if he makes it to the general election. But he will not have the
Democratic field to himself.

 Read More

DCCC Targets Kirk and NRCC Adds Kirk to Program to Aid Incumbents

Wilmette, IL– The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) announced yesterday that it will be targeting Congressman Mark Kirk with a series of ads focusing on his continued support for the President and his failed Iraq war policies. Mr. Kirk’s office attacked Dan Seals yesterday in response to the activity by the DCCC.

 

Mark Walker, a member of the Northwest Suburban Veterans Advisory Council, stated that, “It is too bad the needs of veterans have become political footballs, and personal attacks on candidates have already begun.”

 

He continued, “We all should be working together to meet these needs. Dan Seals has shown a direct and personal interest in Veterans’ issues, and has asked for input from local veterans, specifically on benefits for veterans and their families, healthcare, the VA claims process, and PTSD challenges.  He has shown a sophisticated understanding of funding and budgeting shortfalls for veterans at the national level.”

 

Meanwhile, the National Republican Campaign Committee (NRCC) added Congressman Kirk to a list of their most vulnerable incumbents.   By adding Mr. Kirk to the ROMP (Regain Our Majority Program), it’s an acknowledgement of his vulnerability and the competitive nature of the race taking shape for 2008.

 

View the press release from the DCCC at: http://www.dccc.org/news/headlines/Dems_prepare_attack_ad_GOP_targets06282007/

 

View the DCCC video at youtube.com: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JZl1y6K5FkM&mode=user&search

 

View the press release from NRCC: http://www.nrcc.org/news/view_article.asp?id=274

[kml_flashembed movie="http://www.youtube.com/v/JZl1y6K5FkM" width="425" height="350" wmode="transparent" /]


Happy 4th of July

He’s Saving Us Per Diem

Fritchey reports in from London:

Having spent the last six days in London, I figure that it’s time to share my thoughts on a few random different topics, the first of which being to preemptively answer why I didn’t postpone my trip in order to remain in Springfield, as well as my thoughts on the upcoming special sessions (which experience has shown me are never that special).

Had I thought that anything substantive was going to occur requiring me to postpone my trip, I would have done so. But the last couple of months of (in)activity in Springfield left me relatively confident that nothing of consequence was on the verge of happening. For better or worse, it appears I was right.

And no the title isn’t a shot at Fritchey.  He has some good analysis below.

Just Ran Across These Comments

===This is absurd. I will eat my computer if the Republicans lose 30 seats in the House and the safe money says they retain the Senate. John Kerry guaranteed at least 4 points across the board when he demeaned our fine men and women in uniform. But he’s been doing that for 35 years now.

==Look for Republicans to make huge advances in the next week… polls are already showing a Republican surge as the economy races further ahead (Oil at record lows and the Dow blowing past 12,000). The Dems were never as far ahead as the polls indicated as the samples were skewed over and above the normal 5-6 pct. Dem bias.

Those are from a resident troll last summer and fall who disappeared after November 4th.  We hope that it wasn’t from heavy metal poisoning while ingesting his computer.

Usually

Campaigns with lots of small donors brag about it to cover up disappointing results.

 Obama’s campaign isn’t usual.

Plouffe brings up the the basic points about polling this far out.  He forgot one example though from 2004.

September 2003–5 1/2 months from election day
Hynes 10
Hull 9
Obama 8
Chico 7
Pappas not included

January 2004 2 months out
Hynes 14
Obama 14
Pappas 14
Hull 10

Survey USA January
Hynes 20
Obama 19
Hull 19
Pappas 18

Survey USA February
Hull 29
Hynes 19
Obama 19
Pappas 14

I was wrong on two counts during that race. First, I thought it would be a turnout race on election day. It wasn’t.  Obama blew the field away.  Second, I argued that Hull would be in a close race with Hynes and Obama at the end.  With the shape of this primary season, money is going to be vital for Florida and then February 5th–more than in any other year. The ability to ramp up fundraising for those without a lot of money early on is going to be a real problem for those contests.  Obama and Clinton clearly will have the resources, but not only will Edwards or any other candidate have to do well, they’ll have to run the table to get the free media they will need to compete while getting their fundraising in gear.

Few are paying attention right now. As we get into the fall and October and November, Obama will need to be increasing his numbers then, but for now, the fight is over organization and dollars–something he has put together before.