Testing the New Site
ArchPundit
Testing the new site.
2006
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for the next few days. The other accounts will be back up soon.
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John Lovitz Does Topinka
How can I be losing to this guy:
57% negative rating for Blagojevich, 47% of the vote. Topinka has 58% approval and 38% of the vote. Whitney only runs 10-12 points behind in popularity even with a 59% rating of no opinion.
Rezko indictment: 52% say it has no impact on their vote
Hey Buck
Bite me, just bite me.
100% Correlation
YDD has the comment of the day over at Capitol Fax:
Southern Illinois Boy – Let me help you out. Those indicted and implicated are all friends, appointees, employees, major campaign contributors, or political allies of Governor Blagojevich.
In scientific terms, that’s a correlation of roughly 100%.
Generally there is a rule in stats–if you find a correlation near 100% you are essentially using proxy measures of the same phenomenon.
Clear now?
Very Little New
Rich picked out about the only new piece.
I’d say that pretty much puts the lights out on the Topinka campaign unless she has some magic tactic she hasn’t used yet.
Fortunately, We Always have the Illinois GOP
That Andy McKenna is doing a heckuva job!
IL-6 Bare Duckworth LEad
Her campaign released a poll yesterday showing it 44-43
Pollster has the 5 poll average at 44.8% Duckworth to 43.2% Roskam. It’s going to come down to turnout so take the day off–I’d be up there if I had any vacation.
CQ’s Illinois Roundup
Phil Hare is looking safer with CQ moving him from Democratic Lean to Democratic Favored. Besides just being a crappy candidate, Zinga isn’t raising much cash in a quite difficulty District to run in.
IL-08 Leans Democratic
IL-10 Republican Favored because of the political environment
IL-06 Pure Toss up.
Hastert and Shimkus are mentioned, but no one else.
What’s Great About Roskam on Social Security
And for the record–it’s a good ad in terms of effect even if it’s a perfect example of truthiness. It’s exactly the kind of ad that makes Peter seem more moderate and likeable. He’s a movement conservative through and through–his demeanor is probably his biggest assett in defusing that issue.