March 2006

The Quote from Weller’s Office

Grand Old Partisan raised some questions concerning the City News Article that were reasonable.

There is something else I’m tracking down that made me not even flinch about the quote, but still a reasonable question so I tracked down the journalist, James Taylor, who wrote the story. He graciously allowed me to print the quote from Weller’s office in Taylor’s voice describing the situation

The quote followed the man being informed of our poll and the results and it also followed our reply to questions about the newspaper, ie. who are our primary readers, area we circulate in and a statement, “Aren’t most of your readers black and Democrats…”

“We don’t think that the opinions of African American voters will have a big impact on this election.”

Taylor’s reasoning for not naming the staffer is not the usual one, but I think makes a good point. He doesn’t want the staffer to be a scapegoat. You might disagree with Taylor on it, but I see his point and personally think its a good idea.

Taylor also said the poll was a survey of the general public and readers. As I mentioned before, the methodology what you’d expect from a full blown pollster, it’s an interesting finding for a paper that serves a defined community. Again, I wouldn’t hold it up as gospel, but as an interesting story for the community served.

Grand Old Partisan also questions whether or not a staffer in a Congressional office would answer that question–my take is that it isn’t that uncommon. Some offices are sticklers for avoiding that sort of thing, while others are pretty loose so it didn’t stick out to me, but a reasonable point to make. I’m pretty confident in Taylor’s reporting and while I don’t take the poll overly seriously, it’s interesting which I’m betting is what they were shooting for.

And thanks again to Taylor who was very quick to reply and quite helpful.

It’s Tightening

Republican Poll Numbers from Research 2000 conducted for Post-Dispatch and KMOV

Judy 36%
Uberweis 25%
Gidwitz 19%
Brady 11%
Martin 1% (funny, usually a name like Martin is worth a few points itself)
Undecided 8%

Lots more good stuff, but this is the biggest news.

Gidwitz and Oberweis’ twin attacks really might throw this into a three way race–at this point, Brady is dead in the water and doesn’t have enough money to rise above the noise. Oberweis needs some of those to break his way, and Gidwitz needs his and Oberweis’ attacks to move people away from Judy towards him.

Best Line of the Week

Rich has a column that wins hand down for the best political column in sometime, but Lynn Sweet’s column on the 3rd District has a great line:

The poll also shows that if enough people know about how William Lipinski sneaked his son into office, it will change their opinion of if he deserves another term. Happy to oblige.

I don’t have high ethical expectations of Illinois politicians, but the Lipinski switch really was quite brazen.

She also mentions those of us who pointed out her blog before it went with a big public announcement–and of course, she’s welcome. I’m a big fan of reporters having a chance to report the small tidbits that don’t fit in a column and have the basic source material available. It’s a huge addition to the news organizations and I am a big fan of her columns anyway.

Kelly: A Financial Planner

Under the category of when your campaign can hurt your business, the man claims to have $78,001 cash on hand having only raised $43,900. It’s Bush Math!

It’s as if negative numbers hadn’t been discovered yet. I’m pretty sure this is not a good sign for his business, his campaign, his legal situation, nor if he were by some miracle to make it to Congress, his ability to know a damn thing about the federal budget.

Pre-Primary: Sullivan D-IL-03

Raised: 18544.84
Spent: 33872.55
COH: 13832.48

John had a tough time because he was working during the day until the first of the year. The problem right now is he doesn’t have enough for a killer mail piece–and so against my general philosophy of throwing money in at the last minute to candidates–go donate and volunteer now!

Two things here–Lipinski hasn’t done bumpkus in running for office except perhaps planting a clown. He hasn’t done any mailing, nor any other voter outreach besides parades. He’s relatively vulnerable. Second, I think John has his weaknesses as a candidate to date, he’s it and he’s right on the issues. If John can get his message out to Democratic voters, he wins. This isn’t a choice between progressives, but between two conservatives and a moderate-liberal Democrat.

Pre-Primary: Pavich D-IL-11

Since he’s unopposed this isn’t a high impact report.

He gave back $6500 which is the only oddity–refunds of donations that were too large. It’s not that uncommon, but still unusual.

Raised:11145.18
Spent: 27117.03
COH:174939.53

Things that bring a smile to my face–$5000 each from UAW and SEIU. His fundraising is probably centered on March more than anything so this isn’t a very important report–the Union money is key and it’s primary money so he can go back to the well on March 22nd.