2004
ArchPundit
Weller Poll
We now have two partisan polls fighting it out
A Public Opinion Stratgies (R) poll; conducted 10/20-21 and 23 for Rep. Jerry Weller (R); surveyed 400 likely voters; margin of error +/-4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: Weller and professor Tari Renner (D).
General Election Matchup
Now
Weller 55%
Renner 27
Undec. 15
It’s impossible to gauge such polls, but the hard part to believe in this one is that Renner hasn’t moved in the past two months. That’s not right. Does it mean that Renner was as close as his last poll? Not necessarily, but Weller is at 49% favorability-just barely under 50%. Renner has to run the table, so help him out.
Obama – Keyes Polls
Real Clear Politics has the summary of the polls on the Senate and Presidential race in Illinois.
Since August 6th the entire reported movement including the ABC poll tonight for Obama is from 64 % to 70 %.
Keyes has moved between 28 % and 17 % with, get this, Keyes highest number to date coming before and as he announced on a poll that was done from 8/6 – 8/7. Familiarity has not bred fondness.
Given Keyes’ past behavior it is hard to imagine he’ll beat 25% and may not crack 20% if GOP turnout is depressed.
Normally, I wouldn’t want to rub it in, but the first question a reporter needs to ask him after his historic drubbing is what he thinks of polls now.
I’m sure he’ll rant about how everyone was out to get him, but it should be a fun explosion to watch.
Well, that’s Different
John Cox is apparently a fan of when sci-fi based on unknown political officers in a Midwestern City take over the world.
Check out his new commercial which is strange in a sort of Trekker meets the X-Files meets Blade Runner paranoid way. For a moment, skip over the url that should make you giggle too and see a bit of political advertising that is most likely to result in people wondering if the Onion is running satirical commercials tihs cycle.
And Then We’re Going to South Carolina
Thank you Steve Rauschenberger. Barack stumped for Inez Tennenbaum in South Carolina on Sunday too.
Moment of Zen
From the Daily Show last week–Carville and the Douchebag of Liberty criticizing Stewart.
Synergy Alert
I have two articles in last weeks Arch City Chronicle. The most recent edition with the articles is on the left as 10-13 in .pdf format.
One article is on Alan Keyes and his movements meaning for regionalism and the other is an analysis of Amendment 3 in Missouri.
Poop Valhalla
Close the office door first. Triumph is on a tear–all credit to Paul Begala who takes it and laughs.
Thanks to Ran for the heads up
He also has a fine link to what Gary Busey and George Bush chatting might be like
Historical? Probably
I’ve sent this to some folks, but I might as well as let everyone take a look at an Excel file that has all of the two party canidates since 1920, the %, the total votes and the two party votes and percentages. Fun to play with. By most chances, Obama is certain to beat the previous high, though without Franzen or Kohn getting any support, the high for two party vote is a good question. Regardless, nothing at which to sneeze.
Truth Girl indicates that it made it into an Obama e-mail. Frankly, I’m so lost on e-mail right now, I didn’t see it, but see the original post here.