One Rumor
ArchPundit
Kerry +2 in the early afternoon in Missouri. Still expect a Bush win, with some analysis Kerry -2, Claire +2.
2004
Blunt Guys Solemn
Word on the street is they aren’t happy with what they are seeing. Claire’s are cautious, but feel good. Cook’s people rattled, but no one knows why. ABCD—who knows?
Robin confident and Federer strong, but not enough to win
Bush probable, but I have one report that has Kerry, very, very close in Missouri.
Zogby has called it for Kerry and I’ve heard Luntz has too. Be optimistic, but keep working and keep getting people to the polls.
Senate side, not so good, but still early.
North Saint Louis County
Going Very well as well. Diatriber is working a van and it continues to be a strong day as he earlier reported in the ACC. It’s busy.
Let me suggest you drag your ass to a poll if you haven’t and get in line. It’s that busy and it’ll shorten the time you wait.
Polls are likely to be late getting votes to the counters because the lines will still be being processed after 7.
Federer’s Flailing
Any chance Federer had went out the window with high turnout, but Kurt snapped a pic of his latest hit piece. Lot’s of chutzpah from a guy who worked with a guy who exploited grannies.
ACC for Missouri Turnout
Huge, huge turnout. Perhaps a record. High everywhere so hard to say if it’s a distinct advantage for Dems which is the usual expectation.
Long waits and huge turnouts. I’m trying to get a sense of what the campaigns are thinking, but not hearing so far–feel free to send tips to archpundit@yahoo.com (even if you have other addresses send it to archpundit@yahoo.com).
Here in DC there is a general sense of cautious optimism amongst Dems, but no hard numbers.
One Last Illinois Presidential Poll
Rod McCulloch’s Illinois Poll reports a 10 point lead for Kerry.
The October Illinois Poll of 1200 likely Illinois voters, was conducted October 28-31, 2004. The Illinois Poll is a monthly statewide poll conducted by McCulloch Research & Polling, a Chicago-based firm. ?It appears that there will be no surprises in Presidential politics in Illinois tomorrow,? pollster Rod McCulloch said. ?Senator Kerry should win by about the same margin that Al Gore did in 2000.?
According to the poll, Senator Kerry holds a ten-point lead in Illinois, a state considered to be a ?Blue? or Kerry state from the beginning of the campaign. Former Vice President Al Gore won Illinois by a full 12% in 2000 (54-42%).
The Democratic stronghold of Chicago fronts Senator Kerry to a huge lead (76-21.8%). Suburban Cook County, formerly a reliable Republican region, also would vote for Kerry, by a margin of 58.5-38.4%, according to the poll. President Bush does hold a lead in three of the other four regions of the state, including the still solidly Republican Collar Counties (55-41), Northwest Illinois (50-44), and Central Illinois (51-44). The poll shows Senator Kerry holding a slight lead in Southern Illinois (48.5-47.0%).
McCulloch is a Republican, but is also working to become the goto guy on Illinois polling so he has incentives on both ends. That said, I’m not one who likes to argue over affiliation. McCulloch’s work is good from what I’ve seen, though all polls have limitations.
Flailing Like The Big Loser That He Is
Keyes, who earlier told GOP leaders of his intention to make provocative campaign statements to get attention, ratcheted up the rhetoric further as he declared that there was no difference between Catholics who support Obama and Germans who voted for the Nazi Party.
He’s in the wrong state, the HarshBishop in Saint Louis however would be a good match
“Any Roman Catholics who vote for Barack Obama are committing, in the opinion of the pope and the Holy See [Vatican City], a mortal sin,” Keyes told reporters after a Crusaders Ministries service on the South Side. “He stands for the destruction of innocent life. He stands against the respect for the male-female family. On embryonic stem-cell research, on all the key issues of conscience, he stands for the position that has been identified by the Catholic Church as objectively evil.
“Catholics who vote for him make themselves part of that evil, just as the folks in Germany who voted for the party that eventually led to the Holocaust.”
Hey, If you can Elect a Dead Man, let the Recently Dead Vote
Trib has the problem of figuring out whether voters are dead or not for the election.
Travelling
I will be posting from the road and from DCCC HQ in DC on election night so keep checking in though during the day tomorrow I’ll be flying until later afternoon. This will be at the top all day as a guide to the next couple days.
For those from Missouri, Click Here to Filter All Missouri Postings (none until later Monday).