May 2003

Oh where, Oh where is ArchPundit?

Actually tracking down some news–more on that later. The next few weeks plan to be hectic–about the time that Tom Spencer will be getting back from grading AP exams in Texas , I’ll be heading to Colorado to do the same.

Between now and then I have some deadlines so blogging will be inconsistent, but I have some larger posts in the pipeline so perhaps I’ll offer up some quality over quantity.

As regular readers can tell, I’m still blogging pseudonymously, but that may or may not change in the near future. Either way, I’m less guarded about it with some changes in St. Louis recently. IOW, I’ve pretty much been given the green light to bloviate at will. With Kos becoming public, perhaps it is a trend.

Now if Sid would just admit he is Atrios, all would be good.

Federal Injunction Denied for Meigs

US District Judge James Moran declined to issue an emergency order barring the City of Chicago from taking further action on Meigs. He went further to suggest he may not have authority over the case,

"I don’t think I have jurisdiction to take any action," Moran said. He noted that if the Federal Aviation Administration is concerned about Meigs’ closing, it can involve the U.S. Attorney’s office. But it has yet to do so.

Jack Ryan Pledges $6 Million to Campaign

Jack Ryan (nonimations for how to refer to him given the plethora of Ryans are being taken) pledged to spend $6 Million of his own money in a race for the US Senate, but not to entirely self-fund.

Dandy, more millionaires self-funding for their first race at an office and starting at the Senate. Hey–why not the Presidency?

On a serious note, let me address a concern I received yesterday for my comments concerning millionaires. First, those who gain their political clout by accident of birth are not any better and the two most obvious Illinois examples are Lisa Madigan and Dan Hynes. Madigan had at least been in the Legislature, Hynes simply ran for statewide office with no experience on his father’s name. In both cases I was skeptical–but you didn’t get the treat of my complaining about it because they started their runs before this blog. I would argue that Madigan beat one of the strongest candidates for Attorney General ever–in the primary. John Schmidt was uber qualified and a great candidate and the Party should have chosen him. They didn’t.

In both cases, a moderate Republican might have even caught my interest, but Birkett and Lauzen made Madigan and Hynes look like excellent candidates.

My ultimate problem with candidates jumping over many people who have dedicated their lives to public service. Public service in the form of elected office consists of skills that being a businessman or a kid dont’ necessarily teach. Understanding unintended consequences and how to incorporate those ideas from those you disagree with are important skills and I would prefer people learn them at lower levels–whether it be in city government or the state legislature.

Are there some who make the transition well? Yeah. Of course–Hynes and Madigan are good examples and I’m sure some millionaires have done quite well jumping over others. I do have concerns about some including Corzine and Kohl (especially early in his career) who show some deficiencies in how they go about their jobs. And to admit the obvious, long periods of service certainly don’t guarantee a strong performance. Peter Fitzgerald didn’t simply leap to national office, and I aside from ideological differences, he ran his office poorly and was ineffective as a legislator.

In the Senate race and other races around the country, millionaires are starting to treat the Senate as a personal playground. Simmons entered the race today. Oberwies, Hull, Jack Ryan, John Cox,and Andrew McKenna. How many years of elective office do they combined have (and I’m not including precinct captains)—0. Some might be good Senators–Hull probably would be, at worst, okay. McKenna, other than ideology, seems to have the temperment and experience working with government. The others? Who knows. I’d rather seem them play in the farm league first.

This doesn’t even include Corrine Wood who, like Fitzgerald, at least didn’t start at the top. On the other end, Hynes is a legacy, but the other candidates have worked their way up. And even Hynes has had a position for the last 5 years in which he has performed well.

The notion that the US Senate could become a millionaires club full of those who decided to run for it because they could disturbs me. It doesn’t mean every self-funded candidate is bad, but it does mean we should be skeptical of them.

Machine Rumors for the Presidential Candidates

While the Illinois Democratic Machine is often made out to be a singular body of movement, this is a poor representation of a body that has a variety of factions fighting for the upperhand. Groupthink is probably a better term for way consensus is reached and the groupthink around Presidential candidates is interesting.

People working in politics in Chicago seldom get out right statements about who is good to support, instead leaving little clues about who is favored. So one might say that he is going to an Edwards fundraiser and receive a non-committal nod, sorta like that is interesting. Or one might mention Gephardt and get an approving nod.

And, of course, there are no shortage of rumors who the Machine Leaders think are the best Presidential Candidates such as Daley’s supposed affinity towards Howard Dean, while thinking that Kerry has the best shot in the general election.

Who knew, Da Mayor could write for most national publications.

Dean’s Internet Campaign

Quickly becoming one of the young stories of the election cycle is Howard Dean’s effective use of the internet. Ryan Lizza covers it mentioning how a piece of his was fisked,

Anyone who writes critically about Dean can expect his copy to be chewed up by this army of zealous Dean Internet scribes. When I wrote a piece recently that contained a few paragraphs about Dean, a member of the Dean2004 blog team filed an almost 2,000-word entry slicing my article up into sections with labels such as "true," "false," "inadvertently true," and "foolish." Not content with this, the Dean blogosphere recently established a rapid-reaction team called the Dean Defense Forces (DDF)?an e-mail list of hard-core Dean supporters who swiftly push back with e-mails, letters to the editor, blog entries, and phone calls against anyone spreading anti-Dean sentiments. "When he gets attacked, we’ll respond," pledges the DDF’s organizer, Matthew Singer, a 20-year-old college student in Montana who once blogged about Dean on his own site, Left in the West.

What is interesting about this is how decentralized the system works not even using campaign resources. Two problems come to my mind, though I’m sure Trippi has thought of them. First, fisking (an unfortunate technique in the first place) isn’t likely to make its way into the larger discussion unless the refutations are made readable and accessible to the uninitiated. The rapid responses have to be done in a highly public way to matter. Given many reporters are obviously reading blogs this problem may be solved.

Second, there is a potential downside–what happens when a supporter goes bonkers? Does a campaign want to be associated with someone with difficult positions? I mean, the whole anti-evolution movement amongst wingnuts in the Republican Party doesn’t hurt them, but what about a blogger who writes stuff that doesn’t jibe with the campaign? Does it start to influence those who read it and confuse the separation of views between supporters and candidates?

I raise the issue because Dean’s blog links to me and I was thinking about it during the Santorum dustups. Dean went after Santorum for equating gay relationships with various forms of disturbing relationships including polygamy. I argue that while polygamy is almost always a problem in practice, the essential issue of religious liberty for marriage is the same as for gay marriage. Could this ultimately hurt a candidate?

I doubt it–at least this early in blogging, but I can imagine such issues becoming important in the future.

Meigs Lawsuit Thrown Out

The lawsuit to stop the destruction of Meigs Field was thrown out and the restraining order was dissolved.

The judge noted Northerly Island, on which Meigs was sited, was created as parkland. It was turned into an airport in the late 1940s at the urging of Chicago newspaper publisher Merrill Meigs. The airport’s owner is the Chicago Park District.

"The original intended use of the land was as a public park," Maki said.

The judge also rejected the plaintiffs’ allegations the city violated the state’s open meetings law by making a significant public policy decision behind closed doors, and violated state law by making alternations to a runway without first getting approval from the Illinois Department of Public Transportation.

Daley deserves lots of the criticism he gets for being heavy-handed and essentially anti-democratic. In this case, he was right. This lawsuit is nothing more than an attempt to thwart public processes that have been working for nearly 10 years now.

Opponents of closing Meigs continue to sue in federal court and are seeking an emergency injunction.

Hmmmmm…any bulldozer sitings out there?

Millionaires, Millionaires

We haven’t even gotten to the Republican Candidates and more Democrats are jumping into the Illinois Senate Race. Trial Lawyer John Simmons joins the race promising to largely self-fund. ‘

My first reaction is Who? What? Huh?

I suppose he has a point that a fractured field could lead to an opening, but something jumped out at me,

Simmons, 35, lives in Edwardsville, near St. Louis. As the only Downstate Democrat, he could grab much of the Downstate vote, while the six Chicago candidates split the metropolitan area vote.

The problem is that Southern and Metro-East Dems are labor heavy with Hynes already having much of labor wrapped up in the region and many of the state lege members such as Vince Demuzio. Costello hasn’t committed (AFAIK), but he looks to be backing Hynes. Simmons is going to have a hard time finding daylight in Metro-East with Obama taking the African-American vote. Central Illinois is either labor or goo–goo oriented also providing Hynes and Obama advantages. Hull has as much money and closer ties to the Governor so I’m at a loss as to how Simmons comes out looking well.

I have some other developments that will be coming out over the weekend for the Senate race, but I find Simmons entry curiuos.

And I’ll be covering more on my comments about millionaires running for office. Let me say, my comments came off far harsher on Hull than I intended. I have a problem with the class of people who run for office without public experience, but that doesn’t mean all of the individuals who do so are necessarily bad. And it extends to political legacies as well.