Obama has the lead in the Daily Southtown poll with 28% to 23% for Hull and 22% for Hynes. The key thing is that Obama’s movement is outside the margin of error, so while, as with any poll, there is lots of room as to where the candidates may actually be, Obama is going up. The significance of this shouldn’t be understated, much of Obama’s base are notorious about deciding late so doing well now means he is ahead of schedule. Hull does slide some, but not as bad as the sounds of doom we are hearing in the media. For those in the Chicago media market, the divorce allegations are making very little noise downstate. Hynes shows an increase, and while I’m sure they’d like to be higher, his GOTV operation is strong so this is a very close race amongst the top three.
here’s my fear (as an Obama supporter and occasional political paranoid with a tradition of voting for primary losers [still getting over Vallas v hot rod]). Mell senses Hull can’t win (maybe not losing many votes but consistently polling well below the leader(s)) and Obama rising. Not being able to stomach an independent African-American in that position, he signals his captains to start switching the votes to Hynes. Danny boy pulls it out. Yikes! I’m writing in or voting libertarian again.
except for one thing: mell hates the southwest side irish – hynes, madigan, etc. and they hate him
well, i hope you’re right. it seems to me they’ve lined up behind the same candidates in the past, but maybe those weren’t southwest side Irish guys. i guess Daley doesn’t count since he’s not so close to Madigan/Hynes? did not the southwest irish guys have their peeps voting for hot rod? (i know Vallas was from Beverly but he didn’t seem to get any meaningful support down there , did he?)