Thanks

This isn’t Kos or Atrios, but ArchPundit had over 3600 visits yesterday. I’ve had bigger days, but not for regular coverage, so thanks for stopping by. I appreciate it.

And remember–you can advertise on ArchPundit now. See the right side–and donate to Barack while you are there…..

“The Death of a Committeeman”

By Joe Bailey in comments:

The 19th Ward has been slipping out of Tom Hynes’ control for a few years now. His aldermanic candidate, Ginger Rugai, got a big scare last year, he barely carried Lisa Madigan in the ’02 primary, and, of course, last night was an unmitigated disaster. Here’s why:

Age — Hynes’ core precinct captains are all near or at retirement age. They got involved in politics in the early and mid-’70s with Hynes. Several have taken the City’s early buy-out plan. Many of them have a short-timers’ mindset, i.e., “I’m gone in a few months anyway, why should I waste my Saturday knocking on doors.”

Changing demographics — The ward is more racially, economically and politically diverse than it was 20 years ago. There are about 4,000 black votes in the 19th. Obviously, they voted for Obama. But Barack got almost as many white votes in the ward, (probably close to 3,700.) Homes in the Bevery and Morgan Park neighborhoods routinely sell for a half-million dollars or more — they’re not being bought by Streets and San workers who owe their jobs to the 19th Ward organization. Hundreds of affluent, liberal-leaning lawyers, doctors and stock brokers have moved into the 19th. They voted against Rugai for alderman and for Obama yesterday.

Vallas — Tom Hynes stayed nuetral in the ’02 gubernatorial primary, refusing to endorse his 19th Ward neighbor Paul Vallas, who was extremely popular throughout the neighborhood, (Without Hynes’ support, Vallas still got 2,000 more votes in the ’02 primary than Danny got yesterday in the 19th.) Some 19th Warders blame Hynes for Vallas’ narrow defeat, arguing that if Hynes got behind Vallas early he could of raised a more money and softened Blagojevich’s labor support — the key to Blago’s victory. Always cautious, Hynes didn’t want to choose sides and make any enemies for Dan. In the end, he made some enemies in his own back yard by not supporting Vallas. A lot of Vallas die-hards got their revenge yesterday.

Dart — Hynes was always quick to put a brick on the career of former State Rep. Tom Dart, worrying that Dart would get in the way of Danny’s ascent. This stirred deep resentment among Dart and a loyal group of his followers. Dart ran Obama’s 19th Ward and suburban operations during his unsuccessful run against Bobby Rush for Congress in 2000 — Hynes backed Rush. Dart has not been active in ward politics since his statewide defeat for Treasurer in ’02, but his backers have long memories — they voted for Obama.

Tom Hynes had a great run. He quietly became one of the most powerful men in Illinois politics, cleaned up a traditionally corrupt Cook County office, (Assessor,) and built a great ward organization. Yesterday proved his time has come and gone.

Obama Vs. The Republican Field

It doesn’t look like O’Bama will be getting more votes than all of the Republicans together. With 11,713 precincts out of 11,745 precincts reporting Obama is down by about 10,000 votes. Still a stunning result and more importantly it seems to indicate some real problems for Republicans statewide.

I have some thoughts, but what else does everyone out there think could have caused this low turnout for Republicans?

The Stakeholder On Bean’s Victory

Melissa Bean’s victory is covered over at the DCCC’s Blog the Stakeholder

In fact, Bean is already a hardened campaigner, having won an impressive 43% against Crane in 2002 – with limited resources! Bean’s campaign is already thriving. She has raised over $150,000 – five times the amount she raised at this point last cycle.

Not only is she a great candidate in a very winnable race (CQ has moved it into the “competative” category), but she is getting a lot of love online.

Hence why I’ll be mentioning her a lot!