Zorn’s Tongue Lashing

On the affair is quite good

Let me point out something else from Jack’s statement:

e just spent a weekend in this country thinking about fatherhood. I couldn’t be with my son this weekend, but he sent me the most beautiful picture. It’s a picture of him in a James Bond costume. He’s got an oversized tuxedo on, and he’s got a hat that is way too big, and kind of askew. He’s got this look on his face, and I think he’s trying to be cunning, but he looks a little bit sad. It’s the most adorable picture that a Dad could ever want. And, of course, he writes this “I love you” note in large handwriting that’s kind of shaky.
==================
What Dad would not try to keep information about your child that might cause them harm away from their eyes? And even the things that Moms and Dads say to each other about each other ? these things should be kept away from children.

He’s still using his child.

Assignment Desk Done

Rod McCulloch was on NPR and I just chatted with him briefly.

I won’t use exact quotes since I couldn’t transcribe everything down on a spur of the moment, but the essence is his response to many of the media folks is that the next time he risks his career, believe him.

Overall, he’s a good Republican and it hurts him to see the Party hurt and this is exactly “why he did what he did–to avoid this sort of trainwreck.” He’s not happy to see this happening or gloating, but quite disappointed.

Two things stuck out:

1) Jack is continuing to be deceitful–on WBEZ this morning Jack said he did take his wife to places in the cities that made his wife uncomfortable. I’ll link to it later if I can find the archive, but this clearly means there is a creeping story coming out from Jack.

2) Party leaders who are well respected put themselves on the line and have every right to be angry.

And remember there is still the full file floating out there somewhere so anything not in the redacted version is still likely to come out.

A Long Walk Off a Short Pier

Or

We did go to one avant-garde nightclub in Paris

First, Jack lied. Regardless of the veracity–that is an embarrassing revelation. Interestingly, he is refusing to answer the question of whether this is embarrassing as if that is friggen obvious. Either your ex-wife lied about your sex life or you tried to coerce her to have sex in “avante-garde” nightclubs.

The hysterical thing about the whole deal is pointed out in today’s Capitol Fax (subscription required). Miller:

WORST PRESS CONFERENCE EVER Which political genius in Jack Ryan’s campaign scheduled a dramatic release of unbelievably damaging information on a Monday? The way this is done is you drop a ton of documents on the press corps late Friday afternoon and get the heck out of Dodge. Hopefully, the whole thing blows over by Monday, when people are paying attention again. Now, Ryan’s facing a whole week of bad news, if he’s lucky.

In Team Jack!’s defense, you can’t make a turd smell good, but not angling for a Friday release is perhaps the biggest mistake of a mistake prone campaign next to not addressing this garbage, say back last July so it could blow over.

But no, we had to do this the hard way. The only problem now is that it gives the Republicans the time to force him from the ballot (well from my perspective a problem) and replace him. While there is no statute relevant to replacing him, it is likely that a judge would institute whomever the Republican Party’s Central Committee approved. Edgar is reportedly furious with a capital A for “avante-garde” my ass for being lied to by Jack! about the content of the files. Jack! reportedly only told Edgar his side of the story. As Miller pointed out elsewhere in today’s Fax:

Needless to say, I doubt Brenda Edgar approves of this sort of behavior, even if it is only alleged behavior and even though the former Mrs. Ryan issued a statement yesterday calling her ex a good man and a loving father. Mrs. Edgar is a cocoa and cookies kind of woman. As far as I could tell, cages, whips and mattresses in cubicles were not allowed at the governor’s mansion when she was around. Sources say that Jim Edgar is one furious man right now, and probably still a little sore from having to sleep on the couch last night. “You dragged my good name into THIS?!” I pity the fool.

Unfortunately, Edgar might be mad enough to take the nomination if/When Jack! steps down from the ballot. The other rumor—Big Jim!

Talk about your slap down between the old and the new. I don’t know who wins that race, but I want to be around to watch it. I’d have to give it to Barack on youth and contrast and Big Jim being out of the spotlight for so long as well as demographic changes in Illinois. If either man happens, Barack needs cash. Badly. On the good side, I think we could say goodbye to any ads on either side about gay and lesbian rights.

Rauschenberger is probably choice three and is playing the loyal foot soldier poo-pooing the claims.

Now doesn’t Jack! take on a whole new meaning?

Governor Flowbeejevich Whines

Why is Democracy for America Chicago doing the the Flobeejevich’s dirty work for him?

Here’s the message from the Illinois for Dean listserv:

To the people of Illinois:

When I was elected Governor, I made a promise to the working people
of Illinois that I would fight to protect those things that are most
important to them and their families ? their health, their safety,
and the future of their children.

Back in February, I presented the General Assembly with a balanced
budget for the coming fiscal year. My budget will invest $600
million more in health care for working families, seniors and
children. My budget will invest $400 million more in the education
of our children. My budget will send 8,000 at-risk children to pre-
school. My budget will give more money to state police and to
investigators to help keep the people of Illinois safe.

But now, with the state’s budget deadline looming in less than two
weeks, legislators are dragging their feet in hopes of forcing me to
accept a “no-growth” budget that will make 150,000 people lose their
healthcare and send schools across the state into a financial
quagmire.

I will not do that. I will not compromise my values, because they
are the values of the people who elected me. A no-growth budget is a
no-future budget, and I will not sign away the future of Illinois.

I am asking you to join me today as I fight for your values, your
families, and your state. Call 1-866-757-1032, and tell your state
representative that you want a state budget that is best for you and
your family. Let your representative know that you’re watching
what’s happening in Springfield, and that you expect your elected
leaders to represent your interests, do the right thing, and support
my budget.

Thank you.
Sincerely,

Rod R. Blagojevich
Governor

What the good Governor fails to mention while invoking Howard Dean is that his budget puts the pain on future generations. This is a man who wants to mortgage the future of the State of Illinois on the backs of future taxpayers. Why? Because he can claim that he held the line on taxes—which is BS too if you look at the fee increases this clown has suggested.

Governor Dean was attractive to me because he made a very coherent argument–that to have social justice you must first have fiscal responsibility. You cannot spend money now that you do not have and hope to create a sustainable budget. It will backfire eventually.

The Flowbeejevich has suggested a program of borrowing to pay for current operations. Borrowing is an important tool for government when it is making long term investments such as roads or school construction, but a horrible idea when paying for current operations. After all, what do you do when you can’t borrow anymore? You cut operations because you can’t cut debt payments.

If the good Flowbeejevich had, say, taken on a really hard issue like school finance reform for rural schools, I might give him a little slack. Instead, he has avoided hard issues and tried to demagogue on a few small ones and now he is trying to sound like a reformer. He isn’t reforming anything. He is trying to “run business as usual” TM by borrowing from taxpayers of the future to make his administration look good to taxpayers of today.

There is another example of this kind of irresponsibility and it is Schwarzenegger in California who has sold bonds to cover current state expenditures.

Of course, last year the Flowbeejevich tried to make the budget work by a series of one-time financial changes. The problem again is how do you cover the structural costs you are hiding in a current budget the next year? Maybe you can do it for three or four years, but ultimately the bills come due.

So call your State Lege Members and tell them to back a budget that doesn’t operate under smoke and mirrors. A no-growth budget isn’t perfect, but it certainly leaves us in a position to address problems in the future. Either we deal with structual problems now or later. If later, those programs he claims to be defending today will suffer tomorrow.

That’ll Hurt the Team

Okay, so let’s just say that you decide you are going to run for high office. You may have a thousand reasons for doing so, but you want to be Senator and an opening comes along. You jump in, make a lot of noise, position yourself interestingly and have a great shot of winning your party’s primary though you would face an uphill struggle a state that is increasingly leaning the other ideological direction.

But you have some embarrassing information in your background. What do you do?

Disclose it, getting it out early in the election cycle and avoiding being sandbagged with it in an election? No. Of course, not.

You get the records sealed and assume the information is safely tucked away. This is a dumb assumption given your name has been out there as a candidate for a while and people always get ready for a strong challenger. But then the press decides they should have access and sue for release. Do you fight it? Yes. Why? Because now you are in a box. Then you say that there is nothing embarrassing in the files. A dumb answer.

Because when the judge says he’s going to release a big section of the file. You say:

“Is there anything in there that might be embarrassing to me? Maybe. But that’s not the criterion.”

So now you have lied to the media that already is annoyed with a campaign tone that was at least clumsily negative and has been rather poorly run. You have apparently lied to the Speaker of the House of Reps, the Senate Majority Leader and other party leaders in the State.

So assume the best at this point and say you have some minor embarrassments in the file–who has your back? No one. You have to fight it off and have character whispered about for months. And you are still off message talking about things that only highlight one of the strengths of your opponent–a remarkably charming family.

Say it is more than just a little embarrassing? Be expecting a call from the Illinois GOP Leadership to step down from the ticket and essentially asking for your head. Of course with no direct law to replace you, they have to rely on the Courts to let them to replace you, further angering them and further making this campaign season a long one for them. Jack Ryan will be a curse word in the IL GOP under this scenario.

In bizarro world, a few court decisions could easily land the GOP without a Senate Candidate or a Presidential Candidate for the fall election–something that would devestate down ballot races–which is what they care about, because Jack, they’ve already written you off.

Just Buy A Gun and Use It?

I’m going to prioritize the next few days in writing to responses to e-mails and the sort. Jeff Berkowitz responds to the my defense of 24/72 hour waiting periods by bringing up a woman who is being threatened under an order of protection:

Well, imagine it. Imagine a battered woman who called the police in Chicago to enforce a protective order and to protect herself form her battering husband, but police arrived a gunshot too late. So much for the efficacy of Protective Orders. A Women’s issue, perhaps?

Or perhaps a basic issue of gun safety. If someone is buying a firearm and planning on effectively using it in 72 hours they are setting themselves up for either hurting themselves or a bystander. While the common myth of how effective handguns are for personal safety suggest you point and shoot, it’s a bit more complicated than that. Add on top of that the great fear in such a situation and someone who is planning to use the firearm without practice or training is buying into a false sense of security. A false sense of security promoted by ‘gun rights’ advocates. Far more effective means of personal security are available for someone not trained to use a firearm in the short run.

Of course, if someone is first interested in buying a firearm, the waiting period in Illinois is much longer because Illinois prudently requires a Firearm Owner Identication Card that takes a couple weeks to receive.

Ultimately, the 2nd Amendment has never been ruled an individual right. One can argue with that all they want, but it doesn’t change it. That doesn’t address whether something is reasonable policy, but in this case, one has to ask why cooling down periods are a bad thing. If someone is a responsible owner, what is the rush to use the firearm in under 24 or 72 hours?

Beyond background checks there is a good reason for the waiting period and that is it reduces easy access to guns from people in excited states. No one legally entitled to own a gun is limited, but people who make decisions out of fear or anger are given a cooling off period. From personal experience, the scared woman on the other end of the line doesn’t know about FOID cards let alone how to clear a chamber.

Most importantly, the argument that quick access to firearms is a safety issue backfires on those trying to make it.

Go Read about Davis

Long Story short, my e-mail is funky, I didn’t get on the ball for guest posters and my internet connection is funky too. So ArchPundit will be slow for a couple more days–if I owe you an e-mail, it’ll have to wait until I get back.

But go check out the Capitol Fax–Rich Miller interviewed Danny Davis on his participation in Rev Moon declaring himself the Messiah.

Davis wouldn’t budge, comparing the elaborate ceremony to a “fraternity or sorority meeting,” or rituals performed by the local Elks lodge. “That’s kind of the way I regard these ceremonies.”

I seem to remember the rope and a brick, not declaring oneself the Messiah in my day.