Dan Seals Wants to Back the Obama Agenda

Seriously, this is a bad thing to Mark Kirk…

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So the majority of his District that will vote for Obama in the fall is out of sync with Mark Kirk. Interesting admission.

In the last two months I think we’ve seen Barack Obama has unified the Kerry-Dukakis Coalition.

I think we hit Republican bottom in 2006 and I don’t know about you, but I feel stronger now.  I feel that the country was pretty shocked by what they saw about Senator Obama lately.  Our job is to move the focus beyond just him to other things the Democratic Party stands for.

I hope you begin to decide to work on Election Day. This will be a huge one. Dan Seals will have millions of dollars from Washington coming in, wants to join up with Nancy Pelosi, wants to back the Obama agenda.

Does Anyone Doubt That George Bush Has Been a Decisive President

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According to Mark Kirk, George Bush’s problem is that he makes a lot of 51-49 percent decisions and “cheeses” off a lot of people.

Never mind that the man has the longest record of low approval in the modern Presidency, has created huge deficits, and start a war with faulty intelligence and no planning, it’s those tough choices he makes that have led to that.

Apparently the mask of moderation disappears when Kirk is talking to Republicans alone.

Does anyone doubt that George Bush has been a decisive president?  He’s absolutely been a decisive president.  But the reality of Washington is that all of the easy decisions are not made in the Oval Office.  The Oval Office is for the 51-49 issues.  That’s the whole purpose of that office.  And so, you make too many of those 51-49 decisions, you’ve got 49 percent of the country that’s cheesed off at you.  And that’s the reality of being in the White House.

We Are All Gonna Die!

And the parallels between Bush and Blagojevich continue:

“This is an emergency,” Blagojevich told reporters after the announcement. “Children are being shot and killed. And for lawmakers to say we can’t do it, that’s exactly the reason why there’s so much violence out there today and so we’re just not gonna take ‘no’ for an answer.”

No lawmakers had yet said that they couldn’t do what the governor wanted. Blagojevich briefed just a couple of them beforehand, so how would he even know how lawmakers felt? The governor hadn’t submitted legislation containing the proposal, so lawmakers hadn’t even seen it. Heck, they probably hadn’t even seen the press release at that point.

What he meant was that he would make the choice very clear to the General Assembly: “If you don’t vote for my capital plan, then you’re siding with the killers.”

As if the Statehouse atmosphere wasn’t poisoned enough with broken promises, stalled legislation, rising deficits, corruption allegations (most of them against the governor himself) and general dysfunction, now we’re going to be subjected to crud like this?

Fear-mongering doesn’t work forever. Bush’s use of the tactic isn’t producing the results it once did, partly because we’ve become almost dulled to the overuse of fear and partly because he’s been so discredited in the public’s eyes.

Blagojevich is even more discredited than Bush, if the polls are correct, so it’s doubtful that this gambit will work to persuade a skeptical General Assembly and an angry public to climb aboard. Just the opposite.

And that’s too bad because his plan is pretty good.

Many of Blagojevich’s plans are decent or at least a good place to start negotiating. The problem is that he doesn’t negotiate in good faith and he thinks any criticism is an attack on him and not a policy disagreement.  And those who disagree must be demonized.

The most bizarre thing from this proposal is that he insists it must be passed immediately, but then ties it to the Titanic of bills currently.  Blagojevich, like Bush, is quickly becoming background noise. If he loses Jones, he’ll simply be a bystandard.

Cheney is the Model of a Good Vice President

Really.

Other presidents, however, have looked more to substance and seasoning. Jimmy Carter chose Walter Mondale, Ronald Reagan went with Bush, Bill Clinton opted for Al Gore and George W. Bush selected Cheney. Each had his critics, but they had in common the most important attribute: being plausible presidents. When the prospective Democratic and Republican nominees of 2008 weigh their decisions, that quality should be first among all.

The lesson the Trib editorial page takes from the last 7 years is that Cheney would make a plausible President…

Really?

A secretive control freak who has shown nothing but contempt for the rule of law was a great choice.  A man who manipulated the country to war by fearmongering and little evidence?  A man that targeted Joe Wilson for retribution because Joe Wilson told the truth.

Really?

But it gets better.  Who would make a good Republican VP?  Condoleeza Rice, Tom Ridge, Lyndsey Graham, or Joe Lieberman.  Rice has been an incredibly ineffective Secretary of State and was bullied around by Cheney.  She has no major accomplishments as Secretary of State and has shown no ability to even deal with her supposed specialty–Russia.  Lyndsey Graham is excited that he could buy rugs in a Baghdad marketplace and now he cannot, but he swears it’s going great.  Tom Ridge apparently noticed the strange pattern of security alerts being tied to political events, but didn’t do anything about it as head of Homeland Security.

Don’t worry, it’s not about ideology, it’s about seriousness:

Pay less attention to these individuals and their ideologies than to their attributes: Every name here exemplifies the qualities of experience, substance and seriousness that are indispensable in a vice president.

They are all serious people you see. Very serious people who got us into a war based on faulty and misleading intelligence and insist that if things get better we have to stay, if things get worse we have to stay, or more simply, we have to stay.

But take the Democrats–every one of the ‘serious’ Democrats voted for the war.  Apparently, only those who didn’t see one of the biggest mistakes in American foreign policy are serious.

Idiots.

MoveOn Ad Competition Winner

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My favorite was this one:

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I have to admit the first is better for a general audience.

The Question is Seldom Asked; Is Our Children Learning

Despite the desperate claims of Big Tent Democrat, the polling shows virtually no difference between Obama and Clinton against McCain in regard to white voters who are lower income, there isn’t any evidence that there is a problem for Obama any more than there is for Clinton.

From the Diago/Hotline poll:

White Voters

McCain 51%

Clinton  40 %

McCain 51%
Obama 38 %

Under $30,000 year voters

McCain: 37 %

Obama 50 %

McCain 37 %

Clinton 55 %

Women
McCain  37 %

Obama  51 %

McCain 37 %

Cllinton 52 %

So the only real difference is Obama does slightly worse with those under $30,000 in a general election match-up, but then actually does slightly better than Clinton in the 30-50 K bracket.

The reality based community understands several things that BTD doesn’t:

  1.    Demographic blocs in primaries don’t translate into demographic blocs in general elections
  2. The people who actually vote in Democratic primaries overwhelmingly vote Democratic in the general election
  3. Obama does just as well in most categories in a general election match ups and better in other categories to the point that as of right now, there is very little difference in general election match-ups. Overall, the differences amongst these groups in a general election match up is very small so the notion that this is a great weakness for Obama is a simply a fiction.
  4. Just as Clinton would have to shore up some voters, Obama needs to shore up some voters, but the polling to date indicates only small differences based on gender, income, and race.

Trying to portray preferences in the primary as evidence for a weakness in the general when general election polls show little difference indicates there is someone with a problem with reality, it’s just not who BTD thinks it is.

I Must Be in the Front Row

So I am on the Steve Earle e-mail list and got a notice that pre-sale was going on for Saint Louis a while ago.  Didn’t think much of it other than I wanted to go so I bought two tickets.  They ended up being front row center. It was a fantastic show.  Here’s a clip from earlier in the tour:

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Busy on Tuesday, but we’ll see.

Daily Dolt: Yes, Fox News, A Black Man Ran For US Senate in Illinois in 1858

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And argued to allow new territories to include slavery. He was not the Douglass who born a slave, escaped to New York and then became an abolitionist leader.

But they hosts insist they have read the debates. Sure. I haven’t read the full debates. I doubt they even know what topics they covered.  Small historical irony–Stephen Douglass used Frederick Douglass’ approving comments of Lincoln against Lincoln.

Dude, When the Constitution Party Won’t Take You

Alan Keyes beat out for the Constitution Party nomination for President:

The Permanent Candidate has failed to win the nomination of the paleoconservative Constitution Party. Eric Garris reports:

Last night, CP founder Howard Phillips strongly denounced [Alan] Keyes as a warmonger, neocon, and egomaniac. Phillips was subsequently attacked by Jim Clymer, the CP national chairman.

In spite of Keyes bringing in a lot of delegates, the CP remained true to their anti-interventionist views and rejected Keyes.

The nomination instead went to the antiwar conservative Chuck Baldwin, by a vote of 383.8 to 125.7. It’s a small but satisfying victory for two noble though possibly lost causes: the movement to end the occupation of Iraq and the transideological coalition to get Alan Keyes to shut up.

I pointed out a while back that the California affiliate of the Constitution Party is the old American Independent Party, a group formed as a political vehicle for the segregationist George Wallace. Jim Antle of The American Spectator, who has done the best reporting I’ve seen on the CP race, tells me that the California delegation backed Keyes, a black man — while the party’s two black state chairs were Keyes’ leading opponents. It’s a complicated world, innit?

When Illinois Review and I agree, it’s truly transideological.

My Memories of Harold Washington

Growing up in central Illinois Chicago was always the boogeyman of Illinois politics where the Machine ran everything and ‘the blacks’ were dangerous.  Democrats were inherently bad so the entire spectacle was interesting to watch.

However, I also spent my summers in Covington, Georgia where my Dad lived.  Covington’s main claim to fame  was being the setting for the first episodes of the Dukes of Hazzard.  Race in semi-rural Georgia was a lot different than race in Central Illinois.  It’s hard to imagine two cultures more different within the United States, but a small town in Georgia 10-15 years after the 1964 Civil Rights Act was far different from Bloomington Normal even as conservative as the towns were.  Molly Ivins said of being a southern liberal:

“Once you figure out they are lying to you about race, you start to question everything,”

After spending about 7 summers prior to 1983 (about the time my Dad moved further south to essentially a northern culture in Florida), watching the 1983 Chicago Mayor’s race on television opened my eyes to many things I’d never seen before.  People said they believed in Civil Rights in Bloomington Normal (after all we were only down the highway from Everett Dirksen’s home district), but a black man as Mayor of Chicago terrified them even as they were three hours a way.  I was always assured when I’d talk about Georgia and how African-Americans were treated that we were different, after all, Lincoln was from Central Illinois and much of the beginnings of the Republican Party were in the area and it had been strongly in favor of abolition.

But the reaction to Harold made woke me up to the reality that African Americans didn’t receive the same treatment in Chicago or in Central Illinois, we just hid it better.  African-Americans in Central Illinois didn’t live in the shacks I’d saw in Covington and would never see people living in again until visiting Nicaragua.  I didn’t see the abject poverty in Central Illinois. I didn’t see swimming pools that were effectively segregated by social pressure.

But I did hear the fear and anger in the voices of those people when Harold won.  To them, Chicago would be destroyed and the riots of 1968 would return.  Bernard Epton’s “before it’s too late” captured their attitude perfectly. (I’d mention my grandmother here, but apparently that would be throwing her under the bus)

As Molly Ivins said, once I figured they were lying about race, I started to question everything.  Harold wasn’t just some random black man though who showed revealed the deep seated bigotry.  He was a genuinely likable guy who was not angry at what he faced.  He was a guy who could laugh and reach out no matter how much whites rebuffed him.  When you heard Jesse Jackson or Gus Savage, they seemed angry–and often with reason, but it was hard to relate if  you did not understand where they were coming from.  Harold was different using humor to disarm race and then speak quite plainly to an audience without changing what he said to different audiences.

Harold Washington died before I was even old enough to vote and I never lived in his city while he was Mayor.  That said, I learned more about the people around me because of him and he has always been one of my political heroes. He was a very flawed man as well, but the thing we have forgotten since his time is that perfection often comes at the expense of experience.