Democrats
Obama 39%
Hull 24%
Hynes 22%
Pappas 8%
Chico 5%
Skinnner 1%
Washington 1%
Republicans
Ryan 32%
Rauschenberger 26%
Oberweis 19%
McKenna 13%
Borling 6%
Wright 2%
Kathuria 1%
Hill 1%
Voter turnout 32%
Corrected because I forgot Hill.
I think your Steve number may be a bit high, but I will not be surprised if he finishes second and I think he has the best/only chance to beat Ryan
Probably, but I like making bold predictions. Yours look pretty good.
Clearly you and I diverge on Hull and I confess that my perspective may well be skewed by the fact that a) I am not downstate and b) I have grown to seriously dislike him both as a person and as a candidate in the course of this campaign. My opinion of hynes has actually gone up which I thought was not really going to happen.
However, In a low turnout election, I like the machine to pull out and I think name rec will get pappas and chico a bump. I have seen quite a bit of chico signs in andersonville – signs of his growing gay community support.
My Illinois Senate Predictions
I’m calling this race closer than most of the polls are showing.
Democrats
Obama 39%
Hynes 34%
Hull 12%
Pappas 8%
Chico 5%
Skinnner 1%
Washington 1%
While I think Obama will pull it out, Hynes just might give him a scare tomorrow. I have a really hard time believing the SurveyUSA poll showing Obama at 50% with Hynes trailing in second at 20% anywhere near an accurate representation of what we will see in the primary.