Latino vote for Governor
Patrick Quinn: 83%
Bill Brady: 13%
Latino share of voters: 6%
Latino contribution to Quinn: +4.2
Latino vote for Senate
Alexi Giannoulias: 84%
Mark Kirk: 15%
Latino share of voters: 6%
Latino contribution to Giannoulias: +4.1
If the Dems win, that’s the difference, though so are one hundred other factors given the closeness.
The early numbers are looking good–better than I expected for Governor and Senator.
What’s interesting about the above, Brady and Kirk are not extreme right wingers on immigration. In Brady’s case, it’s really his one moderate position so these results are interesting.