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Trib US House Endorsements The

Trib US House Endorsements

The Trib makes endorsements for the US House in Illinois. Shimkus is no real surprise and no real prize. Kirk and Crane are endorsed, though one has to note the endorsement for Crane is not that warm. Tim Johnson is endorsed for…being alive and Republican. Shouldn’t there at least be a bit fo snarkiness for the fool?

And in the 12th? No endorsement for Mr. Costello or his appointment…how bad of a candidate must one be to not get the nod over an unindicted conspirator?

Carnahan-Talent Poll Numbers They are

Carnahan-Talent Poll Numbers

They are Survey USA numbers so don’t put too much stock in them, but Carnahan was ahead with 50 to 47 and a 3.8 MOE (IIRC)–the survey isn’t up yet.

Survey USA uses computer assisted polling and thus is more likely to have hangups. Other research indicates that this results in a liberal bias with conservatives less likely to respond.

That being said, looking at this poll and the recent Zogby poll, it seems to me the likely answer is we have a tie that is going to come down to turnout unless someone makes a huge blunder. Given how well these two are handled I wouldn’t expect that.

A quick note on the Zogby, the swings we are seeing are probably artifacts of his methodology. In his poll before the most recent he mentioned this was a volatile race, but in the most recent he didn’t mention this. There appears to be little reason from any polling going on to believe either has opened up much of a lead.

Election day will likely determine this race. (posted at both sites)

Link Here

Where’s the Outrage The worst

Where’s the Outrage

The worst political line ever. And J-Ry might as well adopt it with this. Regardless of what you think of Blago, that is game, set and match. With a little over two weeks out, J-Ry is off message, out of control and blowing all press coverage into process and not substance.

By the time the opponent gets you into this corner you are in trouble. The only hope is to have a pithy response that stresses your issue. The worst strategy is to run around asking “Where is the Outrage?”

What does Blago get? No tough questions which is too bad because they are both lying about education funding.

Keller on NYC Anti-Smoking Ordinances

Keller on NYC Anti-Smoking Ordinances

Bill Keller surprises me with a good column on Bloomberg’s efforts to outlaw smoking bars. As an later in life asthmatic, I find the argument that smoking is a liberty a bit hard to take. It is a choice that infringes on my ability to breath well. And thus I see fewer bands–and that is bad. Smoking is a choice that is fine as long as other’s choices don’t affect me. I may have the choice to avoid a bar, but why should I have to because other people can’t cope with their addiction?

How to Bring the Japanese

How to Bring the Japanese out of Economic Doldrums

Keep choosing to be uncompetitive in the clean car race. Guest blogger Eric Rauchway at Altercation makes the valuable point that by dragging our feet, Japan is moving ahead. Gregg Easterbrook has done some great work on how the US Government under both Clinton and Bush have created an incredibly inefficient program to supposedly encourage better gas mileage. The Bush continuation is missing from TNR Online (or I’m too stupid to find it). However, he has instituted the same mechanism for fuel cell cars.

J-Ry loses it Ummmm…what is

J-Ry loses it

Ummmm…what is the J-Ry campaign message? Everyone is unfair to me so elect me? Because I have yet to hear a coherent message. Blago isn’t the biggest prize ever, but he stays on message (as inane as that message may be–my name is not Ryan). J-Ry is running one of the worst campaigns this side of the ’86 Larouche debacle. Even Dawn Clark Netsch was coherent.

Another day of process and no message. Another day of not giving the voters a reason to vote for J-Ry.