Footlik Goes Up
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Call It A Comeback
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Matt Stoller has a flyer from New York
I spoke to a New York state party insider who told me that candidate numbers have been dropped ten points in local elections to be held tomorrow because of immigration, across all major voting blocs. The right-wing speaks entirely in coded language about tribalism, and it’s beginning to hurt our candidates badly.
In non-Latino Districts it’s about the same in Illinois from what I’ve seen/understand from those looking at such numbers, only it’s not salient yet–but just such a bill was scheduled for consideration either in the Veto session or in January. I have a feeling it’ll get buried in the House pretty damn quickly.
The driver’s licenses for undocumented workers makes sense from a policy perspective, but getting over the hurdle of explaining it is too much.
Blagojevich firing a whistleblower is just the rule of law.
(in the comments, not Rich’s post itself)
Illinois Review wants the Governor impeached
Strange cognitive dissonance hits Illinois Blogs.
Charles Murray is talking about them smart Jews:
Of more concern: whether Jews should brag about their big brains, even if studies show them to have high intelligence. “You’ve got to talk about these things carefully,” said Murray, who learned the hard way. “Only an Iowan raised as a Presbyterian could get away with talking about Jewish IQ the way I can because Jews get so embarrassed about Jewish IQ: ‘We know we’re smart but don’t tell anyone else.’ ” By coincidence, the AEI forum came on a day that was rather good for Jews in Washington.
I’m an Illinoisan raised as a Presbyterian and I also have basic comprehension of statistics and why this qualifies as one of the most inane discussions even for one held at AEI. At least Sullivan isn’t trained in statistics. Murray’s an embarrasment and should go the way of John “Mary Rosh” Lott at AEI.
Oh, wait, AEI is full of very serious people.
Outrageous! Daley promises to find out why minority contractors do so poorly with Chicago government.
Fun with YouTube
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Imagine John Boehner’s tears if a Democrat said this:
“This is the world we live in. It’s not this happy, romantic-like world where we’ll negotiate with this one, or we’ll negotiate with that one and there will be no preconditions, and we’ll invite Ahmadinejad to the White House, we’ll invite Osama to the White House,” said Giuliani.
“Hillary and Obama are kind of debating whether to invite them to the inauguration or the inaugural ball.”
As the blogosphere has declared every candidate out there has made fatal mistakes over and over again, it’s important to remember, the average voter doesn’t know much about any of that…
[O]ur polling data show that much of this is sailing right over the heads of the average Republican voter out there across the land. Most startlingly – at least to me – the latest USA Today/Gallup poll indicates that 74% of Republicans say they are unsure where Rudy Giuliani stands on the issue of legal same sex unions. That’s little changed from January when we first asked this question.
Republicans are a little more knowledgeable about the fact that Giuliani is pro-choice on abortion. Still, more than half of the Republicans we recently interviewed said that they were unsure about where he stands on this issue — which has received a great deal of intense pundit and commentator scrutiny [link added].
One of the pet peeves of many who watch Democratic campaigns is the weird obsession with broadcast TV buys over cable TV buys. The Nicki Tsongas race involved huge broadcast buys that were a waste of money given they were targeting people in the area who could not vote in MA-5. Republican candidates often use cable buys to more effectively target buys geographically and even more so, reach likely voters by picking shows with the right demographics.
The theory is that because of the way many Democratic Ad makers take a percentage of ad buys, it encourages choices to go on broadcast.
Pera’s campaign has gone cable:
From now until late-December the ad will be regularly appearing on a cable channels
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Also, CQ chimed in on the race:
Challenger: Democrat Mark Pera, Illinois’ 3rd District ($240,000 raised, $181,000 cash-on-hand)
Incumbent: Rep. Dan Lipinski ($305,000 raised, $321,000 cash-on-hand)
Primary: February 5
Pera, a lawyer, is running to Lipinski’s left and criticizing the incumbent’s votes against abortion and embryonic stem cell research, while the incumbent will emphasize a record that includes service on the Transportation and Infrastructure Committee. Other Democratic candidates in the Feb. 5 primary election include Palos Hills mayor Jerry Bennett, who reported receipts of $56,000 and cash-on-hand of $50,000, and lawyer Jim Capparelli, who took in $12,900 and has $4,400 left to spend.
If you want high comedy, check out Capparelli’s report that is almost as bad as Mike Kelly’s last cycle. Not one donor has an occupation or employer listed.
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It’s not that hard to lead on the issue–and it’s about time someone said this.