ArchPundit

Two Joyce’s For the Price of One

Joyce first points out that The Nature Conservancy has an agenda:

The Illinois chapter of the Nature Conservancy had gathered to begin charting the largest river-restoration project ever undertaken in the state. The non-profit environmental group wants to bring back the lakes, marshes and forests that once thrived in this area, reconnecting them to the Illinois River, which is now barricaded from the land by a 20-foot tall levee.

The Nature Conservancy calls its project key to restoring the Illinois a river that some have described as near death and habitat that has been disappearing at an alarming rate. By restoring the land and the way it interacts with the river, scientists hope to improve the river’s water quality and re-establish homes for many species of plants and animals, some rare and threatened.

They also want to revive some semblance of the rhythm of flooding and recession that nature uses to control rivers more effectively than any levee ever built. The 7,600-acre swath of manicured farmland that the scientists eyed from their perch is a common example of how the modern world has transformed the Illinois and other large flood-plain rivers.

The Illinois River used to boast 400,000 acres of flood a plain-vast stretches of land that absorbed rising waters and spread them wide. It was a thriving system that diffused the river when it swelled too big and rejuvenated the land that had grown dry in its absence.

That isn’t exactly a crazy agenda. But to the paranoid…..

She then goes on to rant about the 1993 being a 500 year flood ignoring that if you cut the channel down enough–the 500 year floods become 25 year floods. Along the Illinois River the flood waters towards the mouth were the same as in the flood in the 1940s.

Now Joyce calls herself a good conservative, but look at this quote:

FEMA no longer permits building in floodplain areas and brings counties into compliance with the threat they will lose their flood insurance program if they do not abide. Could the next step be that this land can no longer be farmed?

Well, no, the next step would be that if you want to build in areas that are naturally inundated with water the taxpayers aren’t going to cover your stupidity and let you pay for your own bad choices.

Since I was gone last week, her column went uncritiqued.

From the quoted material:

The government of King County, Washington (which is dominated by Seattle) is gearing up to steal 65 percent of the property of landowners in rural King County as the environmental evangelists and their friends in the major media cheer them on. King County is set to pass 500 pages of new regulations that will make rural King County property the most highly restricted property in the United States.

Unfortunately, that doesn’t address what the actual bill does which is to identify critical areas and then set restrictions on environmentally sensitive areas. Sort of changes the whole interpretation, no?

Best quote comes after that though:

Rarely do board and council members read the small print much less research the issues on which they are making decisions that will permanently effect their communities. It is very possible they will find they have sold their birthright and that of their neighbors — not for a bowl of porridge — but for a government grant or an “incentive based program.”

I’ll take a guess and say they read more than Joyce did. Why, o’ why does the Leader not fact check this idiot?

Replacement Watch

Unfortunately, this thing got big enough that Jack! will probably leave the ticket. Some counter views in comments and that would be great for Democrats all over the ballot, but I’m guessing not. With Dillard and others shooting for him, Jack! is going to quickly figure out, not only is the establishment out to get him, but the establishment has the ties to the GOTV operation.

Who will the Republicans choose to replace him? Here is a list of potentials with some brief thoughts

Edgar—he won’t get in unless the national promises money. The NRSC probably won’t.

Topinka—looking for 2006

Jim Thompson–just kind of doubt it–see Edgar as well

Wood–LOL–Social Conservatives for Obama

Gidwitz—yeah, sure. Placeholder.

Rauschenberger–Doubt he’d take it. It’s a fools errand for most and he’s not a fool. Says nice things about it, but many ways to avoid that behind the scenes.

Jim Ryan–LOL–ummm…already did his service for a losing cause

Any of the Congressional Delegation? Nope–have to give up the seat and no one wants to take on Obama without more preparation.

Oberweis–Only in my dreams. Apparently the Prez hates him according to McCulloch. Can’t blame him.

McKenna–will ignite a civil war between social conservatives and social conservatives—LaHood’s guy after all and LaHood is not popular with social conservatives right now.

Peter Fitzgerald—over the Speaker’s dead body

It doesn’t look good. The GOP doesn’t care if the candidate wins–it wants to avoid a disaster down ballot. I’m not sure Oberweis or Gidwitz can avoid that sort of disaster–Gidwitz isn’t a bad guy, just a nobody to the public.

Topinka/Edgar/Thompson/Wood may actually have fewer full blown conservatives show up as well given the right wings’ anger at the party.

It’s going to make for a fun retreat over the weekend for the GOP.

White House Ban on Seeing Farenheit 9/11

Steve at Absit Invidia covers what appears to be a ban on White House personnel from seeing the movie. If that is what the White House is most worried about….we need a new set of priorities.

Even more strangely, there is a move to get the FEC to declare TV commercials as violations of FEC law. I suppose the law could encompass such ads, but wow would that be an ironic twist on campaign finance reform. And I kind of doubt it.

[CAMPBELL] BROWN: Real quick?we?re almost out of time?but how?how?given how the Bush administration is reacting to the 9/11 film, which is, you know, banning their staffs from going to see it or anybody…
[CHRISTOPHER] HITCHENS: What?

BROWN: I know. Is it the right approach?

HITCHENS: I didn?t know that.

But, if so, then it would be something to add to my long list of misgivings about the Bush administration.

Uh, yeah.

Why It is Hypocritical?

Thinking through this, Kevin Murphy made some good points in comments about whether Ryan was hypocritical or not–he saying not. But I think I can find an example that does show Ryan’s hypocrisy—meeting with Concerned Women of America.

Kevin’s view is that most conservatives say, hey, you’re maried–go have wild monkey sex together and I think that fits for many. But others would frown on behavior like going to a sex club and engaging in sex with your partner and CWA is one of those organizations. Ryan courted them.

This also seems interesting from the perspective of if he is running and attracting support from CWA, there’s a disconnect somewhere between what he thinks is acceptable behavior and those he is courting.

So What About these Political Ambitions

From the inbox one person pointed out that Jack!’s political ambitions have been long held and at least since he married Jeri Ryan according to his response.

Does that make him just a guy who used teaching to burnish his resume? A teacher friend brought up the same point recently and suggested teaching was all for show.

Here, I’ll defend him. While my first reaction is the same, I still believe that public office is an important service to your community. Teaching is another way to be an important contributor. So while ambition and plotting may be involved, I’ll assume the best of Ryan in this case–that both are extensions of a desire to serve.

Naive on my part? Maybe, but so what?

Barack probably had thought of running for office when he went to work as a community organizer. Do I fault him for that? No.

I certainly see where the notion comes from, and don’t think it is absurd, but ultimately, there are worse things than political ambitions and I don’t want to try and interpret their ‘soul’.

Is it a Meta-Sin?

Christopher Hayes has a thoughtful argument in The New Republic arguing that the scandal is based on a meta-sin. One thing that is troubling about the story is that in-itself is that his sex life is his business. But what I think the author misses is in the last paragraph:

The point is not that a candidate’s private life is sacrosanct; it’s fine for the press to inform us of the personal moral failings of our potential elected officials. The point is that Ryan shouldn’t be taken to task by scolds for mishandling embarrassing allegations when it is these same scolds who incorrectly define the allegations as embarrassing in the first place.

I think it would be embarrassing that you take your wife to a swing club on three different occasions and in one she ends up crying because to which you respond, crying doesn’t turn you on. Disqualifying no. Embarrassing yes. Bombshell–not quite, but Wycliff agrees that was a poor headline.

Often embarrassing sex information is buried pretty quickly if you disclose it. We know about John McCain’s dalliances in his first marriage and no one cares. Other politicians have other issues as well. Ryan played a game of chicken in which the allegations aren’t that great, but he made a huge effort to conceal them magnifying the entire issue.

The second thing is that while going to a club with your wife isn’t the worst thing in the world, it is embarrassing to many. Suburban women and downstaters simply don’t understand the reason one would go to a sex club. It’s just out there to them. And it appears to be embarrassing to Jack Ryan who tried to have the file sealed to avoid such a disclosure. If there is nothing embarrassing in the file, than why was it sealed? One part for his child, but much of it because of the political damage it might due–he even says Jeri’s accusations are made to hurt his potential ambitions in the file.

What led to the media frenzy is that Ryan denied there was anything there. This creates two problems. First, he lied. Second, it gave people something to blackmail him with. So say he wants to appoint a strong, independent US Attorney, the Illinois GOP had a trump card on him.

So, not a meta-sin. But an allegation about a fairly minor incident that by hiding he made seem a lot worse than they probably are. If it is a meta-sin the start to tearing down the views about sex lives is to be honest about them and not act like the “scolds” Christopher laments.

I do think it is a good article and an important one in checking ourselves and how we react to ‘sex scandals’.

UPDATE: Eric Zorn has a different take on it. While I generally agree with Zorn’s logic, I don’t think Chris’ point is a bad point in thinking about the scandals.

Kass Points Out Jack!’s problem

I don’t care about his sex life. It’s his judgment that worries me.

The politics were a natural extension, from Hull to Ryan. Yet Ryan persisted in thinking that his own divorce files would remain sealed. He chirped and flashed those teeth, a mannequin of a political candidate animated only by his own narcissism.

It takes great ego to run for high public office, to withstand competing agendas and their agents, and constant criticism, both valid and spiteful. But persisting in the belief that the information in those files wouldn’t come out suggests a mind unwilling to face reality.

The U.S. Senate is not a place for people like this.

And a man who still thinks he can win political office after being accused by his wife of having taken her to sex clubs and asking her to have sex in front of strangers has a serious wattage deficiency.

If you disclosed early and dealt with it in a forthright manner that avoided the feeding frenzy, it would draw a couple stories from time to time, but I still think it was manageable.

But most importantly RYAN KNEW THERE WAS AN UNREDACTED FILE OUT THERE ONCE ROD MCCULLOCH POINTED OUT THE ALLEGATIONS IN MARCH! It was pointless to argue about whether the files should be released there was a copy floating around. Ryan knew McCulloch had seen the contents because McCulloch was accurate and kept on going like it was no big deal.

The GOP has dodged a bullet by the Trib suing to open the sealed files.