ArchPundit

It’s a Good Bill

Maybe it’s my contrarian nature, but the Governor is doing the right thing on the landfills bill and it’s not his fault that Mell had another eruption. In fact, the administration is learning and starting to move the sujbect away from the personal and to the policy on this issue which is what they should do.

The bill itself should be uncontroversial and despite Mell’s protestations about other issues, giving the state government the ability to act when public health is at risk isn’t a terribly novel power.

“There are so many aspects of this bill that my agency has needed for so long to increase our regulatory oversight, our enforcement, our ability to address abandoned open dumps in the state of Illinois,” IEPA chief Renee Cipriano said. “To say this is focused on the alderman is simply untrue.”

Part of the problem is the Governor has so annoyed the press that a story like this is too good to pass up, but there’s some glimmer of hope they are learning finally. The other part of the problem is regardless of what Mell says about wanting to keep this private, he’s the one who brought the personal into the public again. The administration deserves credit for the bill.

DeLay’s Deflation

Lynn Sweet discusses his current problems and how they are unlikely to result in him ever making Speaker. I think this was highly unlikely even before for the simple reason he is the kind of guy who is unlikely to get a unanimous vote in his own caucus. Unless the Republicans had a fairly large majority, there is a faction of Republicans who would have never voted for him including those who defected from reelection of Newt Gingrich in his last election as Speaker. Jim Leach and Chris Shays stick out as two examples who never would have tolerated the guy as Speaker.

The more interesting question to me is what happens to Hastert if and when DeLay gets taken down. Hastert won’t directly be challenged within the Republican caucus, but without a strong partisan in support of him as DeLay has been his effectiveness would be decreased. Unless DeLay’s replacement was as effective positioning for Hastert’s position would become the Caucus sport.

Whether Hastert wants to put up with that is an open question to me because part of the reason the Republican Caucus has been so effective in the House is that there was one power structure that essentially restrained any effort to come up with competing solutions from competing factions. Everything is cleared through leadership and there is no gain from going outside because you lose leverage within the Caucus. Without enforcement of that, the process breaks wide open. A breach causes even more problems for governance because the way a majority traditionally overcomes such factious politics is by spreading pork around. While the drunken sailors are having fun now, there’s going to be less and less money to throw around as pork as the budget stands now. No one would want to end their reign under such annoying conditions. It’s entirely possible that if DeLay is removed, but Majority Whip Blunt moves up one, the apparatus could stay in place and that would lessen the problems inherent in the job, though in the long run, ambition will win out.

Even more fun, is Gingrich pointing out that the stalling and combative strategy DeLay has developed is a bad way to handle the situation. The reason I’m convinced DeLay is toast has to do with two factors. First, the drip, drip, drip just attracts the press to further scrutinize the guy and he’s played fast and loose enough over the years that eventually something is going to stick. Second, his tactics have been to be more boisterous and to raise his profile.

The second is the fatal mistake–he’s fine as long as he’s out of the limelight, but his style and his politics is well out of the mainstream and he creates a great target to hit every Republican in a moderately competitive district. By publicly leading on the Schiavo fiasco and now publicly defending himself, he becomes the target and the debate which is exactly what the Democrats want.

The only thing I think Sweet gets wrong is that DeLay is a realist–a realist wouldn’t be heightening his profile. DeLay thinks he’s on a crusade and he believes he is an essential part of it. He’s not going willingly. He may resign, but it will because his whip organization comes back with a number that says he loses a vote as Majority Leader. .

What’s For Lunch

“Some are inspired geniuses mindful only of the greater good; some are connivers mindful only of personal good; most are wondering what?s for lunch.”
Ken Herman of the Austin American Statesman

Mark Brown:

Legislating can be a tedious process, even for legislators.

Sen. Donne Trotter (D-Chicago) is playing with his microphone. The microphones are adjustable.

Trotter makes his microphone stand up straight. He makes it bounce. He makes it twirl around. How does he do that?

Just another mystery of the legislative process.

but rather a statewide Pentecostal revival

Dan Proft replies to the Cross guys and includes this bit:

On paper, Keyes could have provided a legit challenge…it lasted for about a week before Keyes embarked upon the Road to Damascus by himself. Wish that would not have happened but the easiest thing we could have done was just sit back and watch Barthwell get beat 70-30, and then blame the moderates. Instead, we attempted to make a legit run at Obama with someone with the capacity and skills to make that legit run. Because that person chose not to run a campaign but rather a statewide Pentecostal revival, I regret it as much as anyone. And that is the difference, I suppose…I don’t run around professing the Keyes campaign as a model to be followed, blithely asking people to believe that getting 27% of the vote was a job well done.

Except that no one in their right mind could have thought Keyes wouldn’t have been running a statewide Pentecostal Revival. In 1996 and 2000 the guy ran a nationwide Pentecostal revival (all the more strange since he’s Catholic) with stunts like handcuffing himself to the building at a television station which excluded him from a debate and generally having eruptions during the debates to which he was admitted.

If you don’t believe me, go to the August 2004 archives where I point out what a loon he is and pretty much predict his performance.

The problem of those like Proft who are trying to sell the story differently is that they thought it was a quick and easy way to make a name for themselves in Illinois politics. Instead of promoting party building, they ran a guy who could get lots of attention and they got exactly what they wanted–but sometimes you don’t know what you really want.

And, of course, Greg Blankenship made a similar point from having worked with Keyes.

But speaking of Keyes, he’s been attending the Confronting the Judicial War on Faith. And for $15 you can get a DVD of Alan’s session or the entire event for $99.

Getting back to the message though,

Atrios quotes Congress Today

Christian conservatives and a core group of congressional supporters are launching a significant new push to restructure the federal judicial system to reflect a more explicitly biblical world view, in the hopes that these changes will pave the way for broader social and political changes, leaders of the movement said.

The great question to ask is *which* Biblical world view and watch them devolve into doctrinal disputes.

Give the Guv a Break

I just heard some jaws hitting the floor, but this time he’s getting screwed by much of the local press. His order to force pharmacies to dispense pharmaceuticals that the pharmacy chooses to carry isn’t being explained very well. Carol Marin, in defending the Governor, doesn’t even do a good job.

An LA Times piece points out what the order actually does and why it should be non-controversial.

If an individual pharmacist will not provide birth control pills because of moral or religious beliefs, the drugstore must have a plan to ensure that the patient receives the pills promptly.

In most cases, that means having another pharmacist on hand to dispense the drug.

The policy does not require that all drugstores carry contraceptives; many don’t, especially in Catholic hospitals.

But if the pharmacy has them, it must dispense them to anyone with a valid prescription ? or risk suspension of its license, said Susan Hofer of the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation, which oversees pharmacies.

This isn’t about requiring every pharmacy to carry contraceptives, it’s about when they choose to carry a pharmaceutical, a legal prescription must be filled.

The Governor didn’t waiver on this, he didn’t grandstand, and he didn’t do anything but order pharmacies to do what they’ve already chosen to do. I’m happy to criticize him when he deserves it, but with that comes a responsibility to point out when he does the right thing. This is one of those cases.

Quick Update: The Trib’s editorial does a good job on the issue.

And I wonder whether there may be some connection between the perception in some quarters, on some occasions, where judges are making political decisions yet are unaccountable to the public, that it builds up and builds up and builds up to the point where

Apparently enforcing a trademark ruling by a higher court is making a political decision to the Good Senator Box Turtle.

Hale’s going to prison for a long time.

Or maybe Senator Cornyn (R-Box Turtleville) would argue the poor, poor boy was entrapped.

And if this guy was upset about med mal limits, the judiciary isn’t the one pushing further limits so he must have misplaced ‘frustration.

And you know, what kind of judge tries a man for rape?

At some point attacking courts as a convenient target has a toxic effect of decreasing trust—a trust that is generally well deserved in the federal court system. But also a trust absolutely essential to the well working of a society. Just because you don’t always win doesn’t mean the Courts aren’t doing their job.

However, if the Republicans think this crowd is the way to win elections–go ahead. I’m not stepping in the way of a party trying to jump off a cliff.

KEYNOTE SPEAKERS INCLUDE
Congressman Lamar Smith, David C. Gibbs, Esq., attorney for Terri Schiavo’s parents, Chief Justice Roy Moore and former Ambassador Alan Keyes.

SPEAKERS INCLUDE
Alan Keyes, Phyllis Schlafly, Tony Perkins, Mike Farris, Howard Phillips, Bill Dannemeyer, Morton Blackwell, Bill Federer, Rick Scarborough, Don Feder, Kay Daly, Janet Folger, Jan LaRue, Tim Lee and Patrick Reilly.

Keyes, Schlafly, Constitution Party loon Howard Phillips, local wingnut Federer and Judge Roy Moore…

If DeLay Goes…

What happens to Denny? I doubt they’d change midcourse, but one has to wonder without DeLay propping him up, does he stick around for another cycle?

Just a thought, but it’s becoming very clear that DeLay is a goner whether he knows it or not yet. I prefer for him to stick around because he’s a fine public face for the national Republican party from my perspective.

The question appears to me to be how hard does he fight and who does he take down with him. He’s a mean bastard, and I’m certain he has a scorched earth plan for those who turn on him in this case. Given the other scandals, he won’t be the only one touched.

Gaming Money Is a Pittance

Blagojevich introduces an idea to increase education funding by $300 million

State funding panel recommends an increase in funding of $2.3 billion.

I’ve usually said this guy gets the political game very well, but I can imagine few instances where such a disconnect exists in that short of a time span.

No one can get to $2.3 Billion instantly so that isn’t very realistic, but the nature of the problem is pretty clear. Further, Rich Miller pointed towards Tom Cross’ effort to move any money increases from the foundation formula to categorical aid.

Categorical aid goes to all schools and covers nearly 38% of state spending. It goes to cover special populations and other services, but it isn’t adjusted for need as the state formula is, yet the state formula accounts for about 60% of state funding meaning the flow of resources under the categorical aid goes to places that have more capacity for self-funding of districts in a relative sense.

Moving that pot of money to categorical will only worsen the situation for older suburbs and rural areas. Overall, the money is a pittance to Chicago that has a $5 billion annual appropriation or an operating budget of $3.667 Billion with 1.7 billion of that being raised locally.

The structural problem is that the state expects most districts to raise its own money for schools. That works great for relatively wealthy suburbs with high property values in areas with high concentrations of students, but no matter how you look at it outstate it creates a real problem.

From the 2001 ISBE description of the issue

You see that Chicago had an Equalized Assessed Valuation of $34.5 billion compared to a downstate EAV of $47.2 billion with many of those districts and units being spread out and not able to have any gains from gains in efficiency through size. Certainly districts in Champaign or Normal do, but not the smaller rural districts. The capacity to tax oneself is nearly impossible in many of these small towns.

By underfunding the basic formula, everyone is leaving them out. Others can fund themselves through property taxes, but there just isn’t much to tax in many downstate communities. Categorical assistance doesn’t help as much because it doesn’t cover basic operating expenses and it isn’t distributed with a formula related to capacity of the District as the general formula does. Moving money to categorical hurts these rural and small town schools. By fully funding the formula, these schools get a decent base level of support.

This is why a tax swap is so often mentioned here and elswhere. By moving the money from local sources to a state level, it can more equitably be distributed and then local communities can decide if they want to pay more for extra services.

The basic problem is that it hurts suburban districts that are politically powerful so any deal is unlikely to work without a general tax increase that involves some sort of hold harmless function for them in terms of state funds. This hold harmless condition is why Blagojevich won’t touch it–there is no way to generate that much cash without a general increase in taxes meaning sales or income.

This sort of log roll also increases opposition from those who feel that well funded suburban districts aren’t very tight with the taxpayers money. To some degree that is true, but that is largely a local governance issue in which local people vote for the school boards and the local tax rates. While a hold harmless deal would take pressure off such districts, nothing now is really forcing them to be that tight with money either.

In the long run, some sort of swap will eventually occur. In the short term, Blagojevich’s approach of leaving the money in the general fund is the best solution.