One more
ArchPundit
Adlai!
I’ve long argued this is more like 1982 than 1994 and we may well be headed to just that sort of recount. Get your talking points ready!
2010
Too Close–I’m Drinking Beer–See You In The Morning
We are down to where the votes are left and while downstate came in a bit late, it now appears split where the votes are. It’s anyone’s game in the Senate race and possibly a split decision which would be fitting.
Bean is up slightly–against a complete fucking whackjob and Seals is down 5,000 votes, but I don’t know where the votes are there.
Quinn is still holding on–I think he may take this. WTF.
Bean Down
A few hundred. Dandy. So Illinois may go down four or down 2 for Congress.
Alexi and Kirk still splitting, but Kirk winning the important one.
Halvorson and Foster Probably Going Down
Seals is really close, but still down and I don’t know where the votes are.
Illinois likely to lose 3 Dems–may regain 1. May.
Kirk up 13,000 For General Alexi up 7,000 in Special
Because nothing can be made clear tonight.
Hoffman within 2% with 2/3 reporting
As I recall from past years, the D areas report late–he might pull this out.
Phil Hare is probably going down
It’s a weird district so it’s still possible it will switch, but Hare is down 54-42 with 62 percent in. That’s truly a shame. Other races aren’t clear yet, but I think that one’s done.
I Think Think The Illinois House Stays Democratic
Two bellweather seats in Karen May and Daniel Biss seem to be going okay with Daniel and her pulling away. I think that will be enough to hold the chamber.
The problem is if the downstate numbers fall out of the bottom because of Quinn’s poor performance we could lose some unexpected races down there.
Latino Vote Heavily Democratic
Latino vote for Governor
Patrick Quinn: 83%
Bill Brady: 13%
Latino share of voters: 6%
Latino contribution to Quinn: +4.2
Latino vote for Senate
Alexi Giannoulias: 84%
Mark Kirk: 15%
Latino share of voters: 6%
Latino contribution to Giannoulias: +4.1
If the Dems win, that’s the difference, though so are one hundred other factors given the closeness.
The early numbers are looking good–better than I expected for Governor and Senator.
What’s interesting about the above, Brady and Kirk are not extreme right wingers on immigration. In Brady’s case, it’s really his one moderate position so these results are interesting.
Hacking Cough of Death
The children brought home some plague and I’ve been recovering. Almost back to normal today and will be posting later.
It’s going to be a bad day–the only question is how bad and I honestly cannot tell with all of the weird polling problems this year. So go out, vote and get your lazy friends off their asses.