February 2010

It Sometimes Rains in the Sahara Desert, but it’s Still a Desert

Snow storms not a falsification of global climate change

 

“As for snowfall that could actually increase in the short term because of global warming. We have all heard the expression ‘too cold to snow’ and we have always expected precipitation to increase.

“All the indicators still suggest that we are warming up in line with predictions.”

This winter seems so bad precisely because it is now so unusual. In contrast the deep freezes of 1946-47 and 1962-63 were much colder – 5.3 F (2.97C) and 7.9 F (4.37C) cooler than the long-term norm.

And with global warming we can expect another 1962-63 winter only once every 1,100 years, compared with every 183 years before 1850.

Dave Britton, a meteorologist and climate scientist at the Met Office, said: “Even with global warming you cannot rule out we will have a cold winter every so often. It sometimes rains in the Sahara but it is still a desert.”

Scientists point out that the people must distinguish between climate and weather. Weather is what happens in the short term whereas climate is the long term trend.

 

I get the sense that most of the talking heads on Fox would see a rain shower in a desert and set up a soybean farm.

Daley’s Windowdressing

Via Progress Illinois who has kept watching the legislation

 

The Trib covers Daley’s plan to increase the Inspector General’s power to investigate Alderman, but apparently not increase the budget:

 

The proposal provides a minimum level of funding for the inspector general’s office, but Ald. Joe Moore, 49th, who proposed a similar measure last year, said the level of funding specified in Daley’s proposal would not increase funding to the office.

As a result, the inspector general’s staff could be spread thin between investigating the Daley administration and City Council, if aldermen approve the changes as is, Moore said. Moore’s proposal called for a minimum funding level that was 50 percent greater than Daley’s.

 

Perfectly predictable and utterly useless. Council should tell him to shove it until he’s willing to put increased funding from the current amount as the minimum level of funding.  In some respects that’s not the end of any such effort because budgets could later change that minimum amount, but that should be the absolute lowest funding the Council should accept.

 

Hey David Hoffman?  How about weighing in here.  Who knows, it could be your first policy proposal for the next election…

Burning Down the House

Democrats are waiting until March to pick a Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor.  I mean, why could that possibly be a bad idea?  It’ s not like every Democratic politician in the state will be vying to get on the ticket with the attached constituencies feeling terribly aggrieved if their particular choice is not chosen.   Awesome–what could go wrong?

 

It’s like the idea of putting Dawn Clark Netsch on the ticket.  I’m a big fan, but can you imagine the power ticket of Pat Quinn and Netsch gathering up the intellectual reformer vote? It would be epic.  And think about putting Netsch on a ticket where we have a new Democratic President facing rabid hate from the right wing base, bizarre conspiracy theories, health care and jobs on the agenda, and a resurgent GOP.  What could go wrong there?

Nothing like March Madness to let everyone get revved up and ready to fight over their constituencies and feel aggrieved when it doesn’t turn out just like they want it. If there is ever a time to get together and make a decision it’s now.  We don’t need long drawn out interviews, we need a Gubernatorial candidate to pick a few choices, go to Madigan and Cullerton, and then take the consensus out of that to the Committee who barring a really bad choice blesses the choice and we move on while the Republicans are hopefully going through a full recount.

Take for instance:

 

Pierce personally favors state Rep. Karen May, D-58th, because she has a strong record on the environment and ethics. Additionally, she would provide the Democrat’s November ticket with a representative from Chicago’s collar counties, he said.

Pierce rejected the notion that House Speaker Michael Madigan, the state Democratic chairman, would be able to push through his choice.

“We’re all independent, elected officials” on the state central committee, Pierce said. “It’s not like the legislature where the speaker can hold bills in committee. We have a vote and it depends on the person.”

 

First, Pierce just made the process harder and why would you directly criticize the Speaker when you want to push someone? Seriously?

But second, May?  So a Chicagoland ticket who appeals to goo-goos on reform and has a good environmental record  Just like the top of the ticket with Pat Quinn.  Because goo-goos and environmentalists form a winning coalition on their own.

 

Who could have predicted….?

 

I might as well start early.

Fine Moments in Commenting

From Dave Weigel’s blog:

 

Tony Lopez-Cisneros 59 minutes ago

When I Was A Candidate For Congress In 2002 In Chicago, The Cohen Brothers–Scotty In Particular–Contributed To My Campaign.

Scotty Was The Most Generous Of The Cohen Brothers; As He Contributed A Couple Of Hundred Dollars To My Campaign.

His Oldest Brother, Larry, Was The One Who Referred Me To Scotty If I Needed Further Funding For My Campaign.

The MEDIA & Democratic Party Officials Have Done Scotty DIRTY !

They STUCK IT To A Very GENEROUS & CARING Individual.

Apart From His Personal & Marital Affairs; Which Should’ve NEVER Been Made PUBLIC: SCOTT LEE COHEN Was & IS A VERY GENEROUS & CARING MAN.

MAY ALMIGHTY GOD AVENGE HIM OF THE EVIL THAT HAS BEEN DONE AGAINST HIM: AS ALMIGHTY GOD WILL AVENGE ALL THE EVIL DONE AGAINST EVERY INNOCENT MAN, WOMAN & CHILD !

With supporters like that how could it have gone wrong?

Where Madigan Gets Credit

I joked below about the Speaker just glaring at Cohen, but it appears he really dealt with him quite deftly:

 

A spokesman for Cohen said today the conversation with Madigan was in the form of “valued advice from a political veteran.

“Scott really values his advice,” said Cohen spokesman Baxter Swilley.

There were no ultimatums or incentives, but Madigan explained to Cohen “the trajectory of how the race would go” if he remained in, and that if he got out now he may be able to salvage a future in politics, Swilley said.

Swilley said the conversation left open the idea that if Cohen helped the party control the damage, he could begin to rebuild his name and move on, perhaps running for public office down the road.

Cohen asked Madigan for help recouping the millions he spent on his campaign. Madigan made no such offer, Swilley said, but Cohen views the matter as an “open discussion.”

“We are certainly going to ask for help,” he said. “We’re going to ask them to help us with some fundraisers.”

Swilley said Cohen wants to continue holding job fairs, like the ones he publicized in his expensive campaign ad blitz.

 

The initial thought of many was how to knock this guy out.  Despite all of his flaws, Cohen appears to be a somewhat genuine guy and it appears a fairly frank, but cordial conversation is what got him out. Speaking softly often is the right way to go and the Speaker deserves credit for this effort.

Can Cohen run for office again?

Probably.  He will need to clear up all of the garbage that has come out and start at a lower rung, but anything is possible.

Did They Speak or Did the Speaker Just Glare

Generally, the most intimidating thing the Speaker can do is glare at you.  Even if he did speak I imagine it was something like the glare and “get out, now.”

 

After Durbin’s criticism, Madigan’s office divulged for the first time that the speaker initiated a face-to-face meeting with Cohen on Friday and “strongly urged him to drop out,” Madigan spokesman Steve Brown said.

Madigan, who has controlled the Democratic Party of Illinois since 1998, has rarely faced such public criticism over his leadership of the party, particularly from someone of Durbin’s stature.

Brown insisted his boss bore no responsibility for Cohen’s election because he endorsed Rep. Art Turner (D-Chicago) for lieutenant governor. Brown also denied that the party has ever vetted candidates.

“I think the candidates all campaign actively across the state so there were plenty of opportunities for local officials to meet them,” he said.

 

You know, I don’t blame it all on Madigan by any stretch of my imagination, but to say he has no responsibility is asinine.  There’s plenty to go around especially with the clowns in the primary who all lost to this guy, but the head of the party is a part of the calculus.  Hell, even lump of nothingness Andy McKenna got out in front of Andy Martin.