November 2008
ArchPundit
Flickr
This is a test post from 
, a fancy photo sharing thing.
Look For Pics Tomorrow
I’m driving the RV for Change around Saint Louis!
Follow the tweets here:
http://twitter.com/strikeforce08
I’m going to try and send some pics to the site, we’ll see how that works out.
Charlie Cook Downgrades IL-13 from Solid Republican to Likely Republican
IL-13 is downgraded in what pretty much has to be the last update. (sub required) Again, Biggert should be safe, but I would say if anyone in Illinois is snuck up on, it would be her.
This last update ran through a series of races largely not on the radar that may be those that fall if the wave is big enough.
Daily Dolt: Just Keep This In Mind
Illinois Review on October 23rd
Remember when Obama attempted to rationalize his 20-year association with Rev. Wright by exploiting his grandmother and calling her a racist? Well, she’s back!
This time he’s exploiting her hip surgery. Attempting to put a human face on an his otherwise cold and calculating persona, Obama is rushing to her bedside, feinting concern, and subtly implying that she’s on death’s door – from hip surgery!
I guess Obama “feels her pain”. We may soon be feeling his.
Presidential Race Prediction
Inevitably I’ll be off on this one, but it’s all for fun.
8 % national win for Obama.
I have him at 381 -406 electoral votes depending on Georgia and Arizona. We’ve seen slight movement towards him–really check the aggregators if you insist otherwise). Frankly movement towards him doesn’t have to be overwhelming to end up here–it just needs to follow and then have a turnout advantage that if you look at the McCain and Palin rallies today there is all sorts of evidence for Republicans being not to excited about voting and only a percentage or two not voting makes a huge difference.
US House and Senate Predictions
Senate: Dems pick up a minimum of 8 seats. I’m betting on 10 only because toss ups tend to flip one way in the end (see Charlie Cook’s most recent analysis on this). 7 seems solid to me and then one more is likely to fall given past history. McConnell probably hangs on. Bill O’Reilly’s head explodes though and goes on a rampage.
House: This is hard to say because of the individual dynamics so I’ll say a minimum of 20 and a maximum of 30 seats with more of a likelihood of being around 23 or so. Democrats will lose a seat unlike last cycle with at least Mahoney going down in Florida and Lampson in Texas. Bachman loses, Murtha survives. Madia in Minnesota loses. Judy Baker in MO-9 pulls out a squeaker and wins. Chris Shays loses giving Democrats complete dominance in New England in the House.