2007

Missing Jim

Jim Capozzola passed away tonight. He wrote Rittenhouse Review and back when blogging was just beginning he wrote one of the most important pieces on the DC Press corps.  You probably haven’t read it, but if you read Atrios, Markos, Yglesias, etc., on the DC press, Jim is the guy that crystallized in many of our minds what is deeply wrong with that city.  Jim was one of the first people to link to me outside of the small bunch of Illinois blogs as I recall.  He linked to me back before December of 2002 and was a major source of traffic for me in 2003

We only traded a few e-mails over the years, but he was always funny.  His health had been declining and I forgot to spin by as often in the last year, but he was a fantastic and funny writer who I will miss.

Pony

Charles’ tracking put’s the Bush Approval Trend at 28.9 percent.  A new low.

Excellent analysis

The question remains one of how long the current slide can continue. Historically, presidential approval has rarely fallen into the 20s. While some polls are still giving readings in the 30s, the trend remains sharply downward. However, we are now approaching historic lows. An approval trend of about 29% implies we should see a range of polls between 24% and 34% if the trend stabilizes at its current level. Further decline would predict at least some individual polls that threaten to reach the all time low of President Truman at 22%. Given President Bush’s remaining substantial support among Republicans (CBS puts Republican approval in the current poll at 66%, but with Independent support slipping to 18%.) , a loss of that loyal support would seem necessary for a fall to such historic low levels. (Truman had much less support from Democrats than Bush has enjoyed from Republicans.)

Such a bottoming out would seem to require an open breach with Congressional Republicans, as a signal to rank and file that support of the President is no longer expected. With the immigration bill off the table, pressure for a break on that score is actually less now than last week. Iraq looms as the greater challenge, though that requires a shift of position from Congressional Republicans who have staunchly supported the war and criticized Democrats for supporting withdrawal. The double trick will be for Republican Congressional leaders to offer a face saving rationale for a change in Iraq policy while at the same time criticizing their party’s president for a failed policy. We’ve seen some efforts along this line last week. But will the floodgates open or can the President retain the support of his party on the most important issue of his presidency? If he loses that support, we will probably have to rescale the y-axis of our plots.

Bush Republican support is still at 66 percent which I find amazing given all that his administration has gone through.

The Man-Child Strikes Again

The Governor, after promising legislative leaders not to mess with the July 4th Holiday, calls a special session on the 5th.

Okay, those in the Lege who weren’t completely blaming him before, are now. I can understand a certain level of frustration in the Governor’s office given he introduced a fairly dramatic plan that did a lot of things he had been accused of ignoring and then getting pounded by everyone. I think he was gaining some momentum before I ended up taking an unplanned blog break, but that was all lost and this sort of thing is going to prolong the problem, not solve it.

Dan has a decent take on the how the caucuses operate and I think it’s important to note how he describes Madigan and the other caucus heads. They do have a lot of power, but they also have it partially because they listen to their members and their members’ concerns. They are far from innocent in creating this fiasco–well, actually the Republicans are since they didn’t have any say until overtime.

On substance, The Governor has some decent points. However, when he screws with people like this, he loses any power to leverage those decent points.

He loses all respectability with attacks like this one on Fritchey, Harris, and Feigenholtz.

The most telling story is the one Fritchey talks about where the Man-Child refuses to talk without the leadership

Now, who does that remind you of? Gee, an executive leader who refuses to talk with those he needs to resolve something with unless all of his conditions are met first.

Kennedy and Ideological Drift

Adam puts up another post that sums up the Supreme Court’s term and links to the TNR piece about Kennedy that demonstrates he’s not the moderate swing vote on the Court at all.

The TNR article references Epstein et al. which found that Kennedy has not drifted at all ideologically and is one of the most consistent judges on the Court.

2 of the four authors used to live with me and Lee was at Wash U while I was in residence.

Obama: Supreme Court ruling an obstacle to opportunity

WASHINGTON, D.C. – U.S. Senator Barack Obama today released the following statement on the Supreme Court’s diversity ruling.

“Today’s Supreme Court ruling has placed a serious obstacle in the way of achieving the vision of America first outlined in the landmark case of Brown v. Board of Education, where we see racially integrated education as the best way to reflect our great diversity, unite our nation, and make real our promise of equal opportunity for all.

“Though we have come a long way in those fifty years since Brown, our schools remain segregated by race, as well as resources and opportunities.  Three-quarters of black and Latino school children attend predominantly minority schools and white children are even more likely to attend racially isolated schools.  And yet, hundreds of school districts across the country have taken noble, yet modest, steps to address this problem, while still accommodating parental and student choice.  They have done so because they too believe that our nation’s prosperity depends on our children learning to understand each other better, work together, and solve problems together

“This wrong-headed ruling underscores the critical importance of a President’s appointments to the Supreme Court and a Justice Department’s commitment to civil rights enforcement.  It is the but the latest in a string of decisions by this conservative bloc of Justices that turn back the clock on decades of advancement and progress in the struggle for equality.  Chief Justice Robert’s opinion reflects a disturbing view of the Constitution that equates voluntary integration with Jim Crow segregation – a view that is both legally and morally wrong.  The policies that led to racially diverse schools in Seattle and Louisville are a far cry from the policies of racial subordination that led to blacks-only and whites-only schools in the pre-Brown era.  To equate the two is to turn a blind eye to our nation’s history.  

“I filed a brief in these cases, along with several of my colleagues in the Senate, which explained to the Court that a racially diverse learning environment has a profoundly positive educational impact on all students, and I remain devoted to working toward this goal.  The Congress has the constitutional power and responsibility to address the resegregation of our schools, and I am committed to using that authority.  I will immediately call for hearings to determine the most effective steps that Congress can take to move forward.  And as President, I will appoint Supreme Court justices who understand the constitutional importance of Brown.  Those Justices will ultimately vindicate Brown’s promise, as Justice Breyer and today’s dissenters put it, of “one law, one Nation, one people, not simply as a matter of legal principle but in terms of how we actually live.

The Pointlessness of Kennedy’s Concurrence

Is well captured by Scott Lemiuex

The opinion was predictably narrowed by Kennedy, who provided the swing vote but (exactly as Dahlia Lithwick predicted) holding out that a future program may theoretically take race into account. This probably won’t be terribly meaningful in practice (particularly since the federal courts are rapidly abandoning the desegregation orders necessary for Kennedy’s distinction to be relevant.)

The ruling regarding Louisville is that the system has no vestiges of segregation and thus the standard for those places covered by past desegregation efforts are pretty much gone. Even with past discrimination, modest efforts at integration will be restricted since almost all of the cases have settled or ended.

Oh, and since I’m linking to LGM, I should share what it’s like going to a ballgame with 2/3 of Lefarkins (Farley and djw). We were in Daytona for the AP Government and Politics Reading and took in a game of the Daytona Cubs managed by Jody Davis!

[kml_flashembed movie="http://www.youtube.com/v/3xsZKTb5wZY" width="425" height="350" wmode="transparent" /]

That was pretty much most of the evening. It was quite fun.

More of Breyer’s Dissent

Indeed, the consequences of the approach the Court takes today are serious. Yesterday, the plans under review were lawful. Today, they are not. Yesterday, the citizens of this Nation could look for guidance to this Court’s unanimous pronouncements concerning desegregation. Today, they cannot. Yesterday, school boards had available to them a full range of means to combat segregated schools. Today, they do not.

The Court’s decision undermines other basic institutional principles as well. What has happened to stare decisis? The history of the plans before us, their educational importance, their highly limited use of race.all these and more.make clear that the compelling interest here is stronger than in Grutter. The plans here are more narrowly tailored than the law school admissions program there at issue. Hence, applying Grutter’s strict test, their lawfulness follows a fortiori. To hold to the contrary is to transform that test from ‘strict. to .fatal in fact..the very opposite of what Grutter said. And what has happened to Swann? To McDaniel? To Crawford? To Harris? To School Committee of Boston? To Seattle School Dist. No. 1? After decades of vibrant life, they would all, under the plurality’s logic, be written out of the law.

And what of respect for democratic local decisionmaking by States and school boards? For several decades this Court has rested its public school decisions upon Swann’s basic view that the Constitution grants local school districts a significant degree of leeway where the inclusive use of race-conscious criteria is at issue. Now localities will have to cope with the difficult problems they face (including resegregation) deprived of one means they may find necessary.

And what of law’s concern to diminish and peacefully settle conflict among the Nation’s people? Instead of accommodating different good-faith visions of our country and our Constitution, today’s holding upsets settled expectations, creates legal uncertainty, and threatens to produce considerable further litigation, aggravating race related conflict.

And what of the long history and moral vision that the Fourteenth Amendment itself embodies? The plurality cites in support those who argued in Brown against segregation, and JUSTICE THOMAS likens the approach that I have taken to that of segregation’s defenders. See ante, at 39.41 (plurality opinion) (comparing Jim Crow segregation to Seattle and Louisville’s integration polices); ante, at 28.32 (THOMAS, J., concurring). But segregation policies did not simply tell schoolchildren .where they could and could not go to school based on the color of their skin,. ante, at 40 (plurality opinion); they perpetuated a caste system rooted in the institutions of slavery and 80 years of legalized subordination. The lesson of history, see ante, at 39 (plurality opinion), is not that efforts to continue racial segregation are constitutionally indistinguishable from efforts to achieve racial integration. Indeed, it is a cruel distortion of history to compare Topeka, Kansas, in the 1950’s to Louisville and Seattle in the modern day.to equate the plight of Linda Brown (who was ordered to attend a Jim Crow school) to the circumstances of Joshua McDonald (whose request to transfer to a school closer to home was initially declined). This is not to deny that there is a cost in applying .a state-mandated racial label.. Ante, at 17 (KENNEDY, J., concurring in part and concurring in judgment). But that cost does not approach, in degree or in kind, the terrible harms of slavery, the resulting caste system, and 80 years of legal racial segregation.

* * *

Finally, what of the hope and promise of Brown? For much of this Nation’s history, the races remained divided. It was not long ago that people of different races drank from separate fountains, rode on separate buses, and studied in separate schools. In this Court’s finest hour, Brown v. Board of Education challenged this history and helped to change it. For Brown held out a promise. It was a promise embodied in three Amendments designed to make citizens of slaves. It was the promise of true racial equality.not as a matter of fine words on paper, but as a matter of everyday life in the Nation’s cities and schools. It was about the nature of a democracy that must work for all Americans. It sought one law, one Nation, one people, not simply as a matter of legal principle but in terms of how we actually live.

Not everyone welcomed this Court’s decision in Brown. Three years after that decision was handed down, the Governor of Arkansas ordered state militia to block the doors of a white schoolhouse so that black children could not enter. The President of the United States dispatched the 101st Airborne Division to Little Rock, Arkansas, and federal troops were needed to enforce a desegregation decree. See Cooper v. Aaron, 358 U. S. 1 (1958). Today, almost 50 years later, attitudes toward race in this Nation have changed dramatically. Many parents, white and black alike, want their children to attend schools with children of different races. Indeed, the very school districts that once spurned integration now strive for it. The long history of their efforts reveals the complexities and difficulties they have faced. And in light of those challenges, they have asked us not to take from their hands the instruments they have used to rid their schools of racial segregation, instruments that they believe are needed to overcome the problems of cities divided by race and poverty. The plurality would decline their modest request.

The plurality is wrong to do so. The last half-century has witnessed great strides toward racial equality, but we have not yet realized the promise of Brown. To invalidate the plans under review is to threaten the promise of Brown. The plurality’s position, I fear, would break that promise. This is a decision that the Court and the Nation will come to regret.

I must dissent.