March 2007

Comparisons

“Did you know that Bill Clinton wants to give healthcare to people who have never worked a day in their life? God teaches prosperity”

–Robert Tilton circa 1994/5 at 4 AM on my teevee

 Today

“If you’re sick and your next-door neighbor is sick, but you can see a doctor and he or she can’t, that isn’t how God intended it to be,” Blagojevich said from the front steps of the Fourth Presbyterian Church, where he attended morning services with his wife and two young daughters. “Everyone — everyone — should have access to affordable, quality healthcare.”

I do think it is a moral imperative to provide universal health care and that is informed by my religious faith, but I can make the argument without invoking Jesus or God.  And I do.   Because of the comparison above.

H/T Rich 

Daily Dolt: Sheila Simon Should Wear Pearls

If Tom Roeser didn’t exist a satirist would have to invent him. 

…Sheila Simon has evidently chosen to stress the same plainness-and she has a lot of plainness to dramatize. Spectacles remind people of her father: there are such things as contact lenses-her neglect of them is no accident. Toothiness is a trademark of the Kennedys as, in lesser known degree, of the Simons, her father and mother.

She need not stick with toothiness; there is an industry known as dental cosmetics but she has chosen to. No woman needs to surrender to plainness willingly. Eleanor Roosevelt was told by her mother that she had to offset her plainness with charm and anything else she could muster. She did. She became-take my word for it-one of the most charming women alive, wore pearls to offset a long, scrawny neck, had her teeth straightened and pulled inward from outward, her hair done by a highly-paid professional and wore higher heels than normal to emphasize height which gave her great dignity (all of which she had in abundance when I met her). Sheila Simon would be advised to go the Eleanor Roosevelt way. Everybody knows she’s Paul Simon’s kid anyhow; while married, she has chosen to carry the family name.

This man hosts a weekly radio show.  Why?

He also attempts to back up his claim that Wright is antisemitic:

The “occupation” applies to Gaza and the West Bank. When the Egyptians owned the West Bank nobody charged them with being occupiers nor did people so assail the Jordanians who held the West Bank and much of Jerusalem for the same length of time. After Israel won a war over those who wish to drive it into the sea, they became “occupiers.” What about us with California and Texas-does Dr. Wright want us to return these to Mexico? What about France and Alsace-Lorraine, should France return it to Germany?

Now, one must assume he means the Gaza Strip in relation to the Egypt.

But more to the point, George Bush believes that the West Bank and Gaza should become an independent state as the 1948 partition meant to do.  The Palestineans have been screwed by Arab governments and, in fact, treated more harshly often by the Jordanians. The basic problem is Jordan no longer controls the West Bank and hasn’t since 1967.  Even more problematic for the argument is that Jordan formally recognized Israel and signed a peace treaty in 1994 and argues for a two-state solution.
The challenge in the case of the West Bank is Syria and internal rebellion within the occupied territories.  Complaining that someone identifies an occupied territory as occupied is bizarre.

The problem is how to provide a second state while guaranteeing security for Israel. I think Dr. Wright oversimplifies the situation and understand why the occupation continues in terms of Israeli security, but it is an occupation and like all occupations undertaken by democratic governments, it hurts the occupier and its own civil liberties.

The point being is that while Roeser’s addled brain claims Wright is anti-Jewish, Roeser never offers any evidence that Wright is anti-Jewish other than to claim that those seeking to have a two state solution, claim that all muslims seek to destroy Israel (not true–see above) which doesn’t address anything Wright  said, and finally, that Wright should be criticizing Jordan for it’s occupation forty years ago.

IOW, look over there…quick…while I realize my argument is silly so I’ll bluster and whine.

Everyone’s for a Free Market Until They Get One

I’ve been somewhat quiet on the whole electric rate increase because everything has been pretty predictable to date.

The entire problem was predictable though.  A rate freeze meant that power for residential homes was not going to develop competition. Since rates were frozen there was a limit as to how much could be charged by alternative providers given the freeze on prices to the larger utilities.  This was problematic on several levels. First, alternative producers were discouraged from entering the market until after the freeze was over since there was no reasonable way to compete given the low prices mandated in 1997.  Second, even green power was discouraged since it is generally slightly higher than market rate for power. The selling point is that people can pay just slightly more and have far less impact on the environment. However, with a rate freeze in place, the difference between the two prices became larger and any green supplier would understand this and be afraid to invest in the market.

The choice for a rate freeze was made because the bill required that utilities divest their power production to at least affiliated companies.  That reasonably meant that the utilities deserved to be compensated for the sunk costs.  The state agreed in the legislation, but handing out money to utilities regardless of the reason behind it isn’t terribly popular.  Hence, a rate freeze was put in place for 10 years providing consumers some benefit as a trade-off.

But now the bill has come due since there is no such thing as a free lunch.   Because rates increased and there is no effective competition (a little in the business sector, but not much even there) people are complaining about the increases since they hit at one time instead of over the 10 years.  Beyond that there is no downward pressure on the prices because of no effective competition.

The amazing thing about the deal is that the power companies didn’t phase in the increases over time since anyone could have predicted the public reaction.  Smart politics would have meant 10% increases for 3 or 4 years until the price caught up with costs.  Ameren especially decided that wasn’t the way they were going to go and have probably shot themselves in the foot.  Almost assuredly some sort of limit is to be placed on the utilities under the current situation.

The worst thing that can happen though is a three year extension of the rate freeze under the same conditions.  The impact of such an extension would go beyond just current rates, but it might well discourage competitors from entering the market ever if the concern is that the State Lege will step in to tamper with the market regularly and drastically.

Obviously, barring Ameren coming to its senses, there will be intervention in the market.  The best way to do it is to limit the increases over the next three years to about 10 percent per year. That’s greater than the cost increases per year, yet small enough people can adjust to them.  At the end of the period the increases would be limited to 15 percent per year until effective competition is present and then the limits would disappear.

This does several things a market will eventually require. Immediately prices will still be going up, though not as dramatically as they were before providing a clear signal that investment in power production is worth it in Illinois.  That signal also means that knowing for sure there will be a 10 percent increase for 3 years and then 15% increase allows companies to project their future costs against potential prices giving them a reasonable measure of security that if they invest, the State Lege won’t cut their legs out from underneath them later.

There’s one final step that should be taken.  The state should offer a subsidy on all green power provided in the State of Illinois. This would lower the cost to consumer’s directly, but also provide an spur to market driven investment in green power making it more cost effective as an alternative to traditional fossil fuel sources. Additionally, it would have positive effects on more traditional forms of air pollution.

Will it happen?  Probably not.  The level of anger is so high at this point, I tend to think punishing Ameren has taken over any impulse toward improving the future power generation.

The hysterical part of the debate are the shots being taken at Emil Jones by conservatives.  The bill was passed by a Republican Senate and a Republican Governor and a Democratic House.  The people who like to throw around terms like socialist at Democrats are now infuriated that a Democrat thinks the market should be given the time to work.  Funny that.

Today’s Tosser

Tom Roeser:

All of this concerns the latest doctrine of political correctness. To criticize the Mormon religion is okay because a white Republican running for president is a Mormon. To criticize the Trinity United Church of Christ pastor is not okay-even though he has talked against the Jews-because Obama belongs to that church and the criticism of his church defines you as a racist. Besides, Jews aren’t that big a deal anymore in the political correct lexicon. They used to be. Not now. The super-sensitive holy of holies category is gay. You are a bigot if you criticize gays. Criticize Jews-aw, well, some of them have it coming.

Who is criticizing the Mormon religion?  I know of many conservative evangelicals and fundamentalists, but not so much in terms of liberals.

Now, when has Wright ‘talked against the Jews?’  He’s criticized actions of the Israeli state, but that’s not attacking a faith, that’s attacking a political position. Notice, how Tom cannot actually offer an instance of antisemitism. Strange that.

One can criticize Wright all they want.  The issue is that people have tried to turn him into a black supremacist by misrepresenting the church’s positions.  The church has been compared to the Branch Davidians.  Now, does anyone think Wright is buggering little girls and declaring himself the Messiah?  Nope. The only guy declaring himself the Messiah and having any actual power is the very conservative Reverend Moon.

That’s not the worst part of the post though:

Well, he has a daughter, that’s so-what. She looks like him which is rather a shame but she accentuates it. Doesn’t care to overcome it. She has horn-rimmed glasses and the same huge teeth but there is so much that can be done with women’s looks-I remember how Eleanor Roosevelt charmed me–that I fully believe Sheila is doing her old man once again, cultivating the art of plainness. She is a law professor at Southern Illinois University. So here’s the drill, liberal-watchers. The liberals are determined to have another go at plain, homely old Paul Simon through his daughter, dowdily dressing dully to show she’s honest. So she’s running as destiny’s tot for mayor of Carbondale and the liberal media hearts up here are going patty-pat, patty-pat.

Does Tom Roeser really want to get in a discussion over looks?

Akin to the Branch Davidians

Seriously, what kind of a moron would compare Trinity to the Branch Davidians? Sean Hannity.
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Is it really that hard to understand that African-American communities face challenges distinct to being an African-American community? And that Christianity might play a role in that?

BTW, Hannity is trying to claim to being a good Christian in the bit (not work safe)

Prostitution as a family value.