Rich makes a point over at Capitol Fax about the meme from Republicans that the tax on big trucks is causing the industry to flee to Missouri.
I don’t have time to check relative growth in border states, but a basic point here is that between 2002 and 2006, there has been an increase of 29,994 licensed fiscal trucks which are trucks over 8,000 pounds. I actually got the numbers because someone in Rich’s comments was claiming what a dramatic drop in licensed trucks one would observe statewide.
What is interesting is that out of 103 jurisdictions (102 counties + Chicago), only 3 counties showed any sort of decline
Williamson lost 697 Deep south, but not directly on the border
Macon lost 487 Decatur–not a border county even.
Johnson lost 8 Not quite border, but deep south again.
Two things strike me about these three counties–all three have economies in the crapper more than most other communities and they don’t have great access to interstates. Decatur has some, but I’d rate it lower than any of the other four Central Illinois cities (combining the two twin cities).
Following with single digit increases were Pope, Wabash and Lawrence which are all far south and have crappy economies.
Overall there is a 20 percent increase in licensed fiscal trucks from 153834
to 183828. This is just a quick analysis, but I’d say that if Blagojevich knew about these numbers it might actually provide a strong talking point for him. I don’t have time to check into bordering states and their relative growth, especially along the border, but it’s hard to believe that a 20% increase would have been much more without the tax.