Predictions: A Healthy Kerry Win

I’ll cover the Missouri race at least and stay safe with a large Kerry win–around 50%, but Edwards coming in around 25% and Dean around 12%. The rest of the happy campers will come in behind. Clark’s campaign is DOA here and of course, in my liberal nabe, I got some Kucinich lit. Al won’t register above 1% though I think some city wards breakdowns will be interesting for him.

Blake Ashby on the Republican side will break 1% in U City, but nowhere else. Yo Blake–say hi the next time you are in chat and maybe I’ll say something nice!

Why is Kerry doing so well here? Hell if I know. Really. I think it might be the large number of undecideds once Gephardt dropped out and then he was the frontrunner. Given the state was silent until Wednesday, it seems momentum mattered here more than anywhere else.

Edwards is showing some strength here, but just hasn’t had time.

Kerry picked up four endorsements on Sunday, from the Post-Dispatch, the Kansas City Star, The Columbia Tribune and the Springfield News Leader.

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