I didn’t do so well at predicting individual House races missing quite a few, but I did predict there would be no Democratic losses and in the macro I said 30-35 seats. That looks to be on target as the final tallies are still coming in.
On the Senate, I did far better–missing two. Lamont and Pedersen.
Governors–I missed four–AK, ID, MN, and NV. AK and ID are obvious, MN damn close and NV–apparently the scandal wasn’t a big deal.
On Illlinois races:
My predictions Actual
Madigan 70-28-2 72-24-3
White 68-30-2 62-33-4
Hynes 67-31-2 63-31-4
Giannoulis 50-44-6 53-41-4
Blagojevich 48-40-10-2 49-40-10
Stroger 55-45 54-46
IL
SEN +3 D 34-24-1 It looks like +5. Amazing.
IL
House +3 D 68-50 It looks like +1
So sticking to Illinois and the macro situation I do better.
I’m still quite happy.