Hynes is up with African Americans 45-38, while Quinn is up amongst Hispanics 44-36. That’s interesting on both accounts. Obviously Tom Hynes’ campaign against Washington has been discussed to death, but Quinn has had a pretty rock relationship with Latino legislators. Amongst whites they are tied.
Ideologically, Quinn is up only 44-40 amongst liberals which should be where he picks up a big portion of his votes. Hynes does better with women and Quinn with men.
I think the most telling number is in Quinn’s favorability amongst Democrats though. He has 38 percent approval and 38 percent disapproval. That’s pretty tough to fix and could likely be toxic in a general election.
Quinn’s strongest base is with the elderly where he leads Hynes by 10.
In the GOP race for Governor, most fascinating is that the conservatives are split relatively evenly between the candidates. For all of the ideological battling, there isn’t anyone running away with that group of voters. While conservatives have certainly gained in the Illinois Republican Party ideologically, they are hardly a homogeneous group. To me, this is why the Tea Parties are far less effective in Illinois than places like Misery.